Hi Jorrit,
I have a bit of information to add to Tony's comments. As you say, simply ignoring copy number is unsatisfying, but is also where the field has been until very recently. If you would like to try correcting for 16S rRNA copy number, it is now possible to do so with a bit of extra work by using our PICRUSt software package (
http://picrust.github.io/picrust/). I'll talk a little more about how this works below.
HOWEVER, if you are new to analyzing 16S rRNA datasets, I would strongly recommend running through your data using standard workflows, and only then branching out to add in extra analyses like this one. This has the advantage that you don't need to spend a long time worrying about whether the correction will affect your data before diving in. Then you can just test it empirically by first running the analysis in the standard way, and following up with a second run that corrects for copy number, if desired. I mention this only because I have seen some colleagues get bogged down in endless cycles of quality control before even looking at the biological results (that often may not change that much based on the fine details of the analysis).
That being said, Tony's e-mail accurately describes the current state-of-the-art. Although 16S rRNA copy number could, in theory, have significant effects on conclusions about beta diversity, it is not generally corrected for, mostly because of the issues (how do you do it given incomplete reference genome coverage?) that Tony described.
However, recently it has become possible to get a reasonable estimate of 16S rRNA copy number even given incomplete availability of reference genomes. PICRUSt takes a very similar approach to what Steve Kemble (along with Martin Wu, Jessica Green and Jonathan Eisen) lay out in the paper that you sent. For us, predicting 16S rRNA copy number was an intermediate normalization step to predicting full metagenomes from 16S + sequenced genomes. However, we have compared the accuracy of our 16S copy number predictions by leave-one-out cross-validation on all sequenced genomes, and we get accuracies that are very similar to the values published by Kemble et al. Both PICRUSt and the Kemble et al approach are able to infer copy numbers by using ancestral state reconstruction to extend observed copy numbers to internal nodes. So for any organism known only by 16S and not by complete genome, the 16S copy number prediction is the copy number reconstructed to be present at the last common ancestor of that tip and a sequenced genome. Then the model of evolution is used (optionally) to build 95% confidence intervals around the prediction. So of course the method is more accurate in groups that have more sequenced genomes and less accurate in groups that have fewer.
So we now have some capability of normalizing for 16S rRNA copy number in practice. To do so in practice you'll just need to pick OTUs against a special reference set (which has greengenes + IMG genomes) in QIIME, and PICRUSt can handle the rest using the same BIOM files as QIIME. See the tutorial on the web page (above)
Since this capability is new, there has been very little rigorous research so far into how much of an effect this normalization really has, in practice, on conclusions about beta-diversity.
In the Kemble et al paper they showed that it might only matter in some datasets, and even then their analysis of clustering by beta diversity didn't test whether changes were significant, so we really don't know yet whether this normalization is important or can safely be ignored.
Cheers,
Jesse