Hi Cédric –
Thanks for the inventory and amusing commentary.
The reaction to stock and customary PR language is emblematic of the growth and maturation of the PM market. Concerns over a routine PR slug also sharply pinpoints the unfortunate (but necessary) and widening market divide and shakeout.
Leadership in this context precisely means those firms that are best creating and communicating our shared imagination for prediction markets. They are the ones with the stronger management teams and crystal clear value propositions.
Your leaders below understand and honor the dignity of diversity to PM adoption. They respect the critical importance of PM community to growth. They comprehend the benefits of authentic conversation to innovation. Their shared focus is pull-thru for their offerings. They are active in open communities and create buzz. They are quite simply and continuously driving the prediction markets, collective intelligence and forecasting narrative to new heights.
These leaders are capturing our imagination while simultaneously building great pipelines, robust deal flow and a strong customer base for themselves. IMO, your list, with the addition of a few others, are the leaders. They are focused on achieving prosperous outcomes for their stakeholders. Period.
On the flip side, are overweening chartheads and technicians. They are oblivious to the complex social dimension of transformational PM leadership. There are ignorant to the social issues and how to overcome complex barriers to deployment, diffusion and adoption of PMs. Their narrow-band notion of leadership concerns control, measurement and management. They are arrogant and indifferent to community. They too often shun active, open collaboration. They attempt to pull down others that do not fit their strictly limited, techie world view. They take umbrage to the notion of leadership simply because they don’t understand it. They don’t know what they don’t know.
Remember, prediction markets are no longer a curious academic backwater. The techies and charties have lost control. It drives them crazy! It is a normal and encouraging stage of technology market maturation.
Take an axiom from here in Silicon Valley: technicians, developers and thought leaders make terrible business managers. We need ‘em and love ‘em (and pay ‘em a lot), it’s just that they are not leaders. Most often they lack business decorum, have little respect and zero humility. After >25ys as a successful software entrepreneur and enterprise leader, I’ve seen a lot. Patterns emerge. Trust me, unless they wise up, these folks are on the fast-track to oblivion.
Cordially,
John