> The other thing to note is that microsleeps are not consciously observable.
I beg to differ. I have personally consciously observed many
microsleeps. You must mean something other than what you're saying.
> It's notoriously difficult to evaluate one's own driving ability under the best of circumstances, which is why 98% of people think they are good drivers (real statistic).
That may be, although I don't know how one would know.
> Obviously the mere absence of a crash is not itself evidence that one is a safe driver.
Uh... I don't think that's obvious at all. It would seem to me to be
obvious that the absence of crashes is great evidence of a safe
driver. My buddy the truck driver who has logged over a million miles
without a crash is in demand because he's such a safe driver. Maybe
the absence of crashes isn't PROOF of a safe driver, but I'd
definitely say it would qualify as evidence.
> The only effective way to know if you are too sleepy to drive is via a methodical check for microsleeps, though the honest impartial opinion of another is a decent substitute.
Huh?!? How about if I start to drift across the road and I FEEL
sleepy? I think that would be a very effective way to know that I'm
too sleepy to drive. Again, you must mean something other than what
you're saying.
Let me see if I understand what you MEANT to say...
Not all microsleeps are consciously observable. There may be times
when I fall asleep for a few seconds and don't know it. Just because
I drove for a couple of weeks and didn't have any accidents doesn't
mean I didn't have any problems. I may have had some microsleeps and
didn't even know it. I could have been tempting fate. The fact that
I didn't have any accidents could have been blind luck. The only way
to make sure I wasn't really too sleepy to drive safely would have
been with some methodical monitoring system that could ensure the
absence of microsleeps. Having someone watch me would have been the
next best thing.
OK, you have a point. You don't need to tell me how dangerous
microsleeps can be. I know I have posted here about falling asleep
while WALKING down the road and waking up when I ran into the fence
along the side of the road. Of course that was in the middle of the
night at the height of zombie mode so I was quite aware of the
probabilities. I had observed microsleeps before, and I was out
walking in the cold and the dark in an attempt to minimize them. I
kept a pretty good record of how sleepy I felt on an hour-by-hour
basis, and could make a pretty good prediction how sleepy I was going
to be.
Perhaps I had a microsleep or two that I didn't know about. But if it
didn't even affect me enough to know about it, it certainly didn't
affect me enough to cause an accident. If I had had even one
occurrence of drifting out of my lane or suddenly realizing my buffer
zone from the guy in front of me was too close, that would have
registered as problem. So when I say I didn't have any problems, I
really didn't have any problems. Maybe I was lucky. Or maybe I was
just cautious enough to not drive when it COULD have been a problem.
In any case, in my opinion the blanket statement "You should never
drive during adaptation" is an exaggeration.