Message from discussion
Will Reproducibility Project unearth "an excess of significant findings"?
Date: Tue, 22 May 2012 02:29:59 -0700 (PDT)
From: Roger Giner-Sorolla <rogersebast...@gmail.com>
To: openscienceframework@googlegroups.com
Message-Id: <db61e1ba-3496-4194-9c55-5ea25d08647b@googlegroups.com>
In-Reply-To: <5720d9a2-bf21-488d-a2f0-8714f27717d5@googlegroups.com>
References: <39a403c7-9f0e-44c6-a70e-dda3c822fa08@googlegroups.com>
<5720d9a2-bf21-488d-a2f0-8714f27717d5@googlegroups.com>
Subject: Re: Will Reproducibility Project unearth "an excess of significant
findings"?
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That's great, Joachim. Are you using the Reproducibility Project sample of=
=20
articles specifically?
And some power-related questions: what are you doing for studies that=20
report no effect size (all too common in Psych Science), and repeated=20
measures studies that report no correlation among DVs, which is needed for=
=20
ES of the repeated measures ANOVA effects?
On Monday, May 21, 2012 10:58:57 PM UTC+1, Joachim Vandekerckhove wrote:
>
> Hi Roger,
>
> I haven't been active in this group, but I am doing exactly this right=20
> now. An RA is collecting all the relevant statistics now and we plan to=
=20
> write a report by the end of the summer. I'm also meeting Greg soon to=20
> discuss the implementation.=20
> I think it would be a worthwhile effort not only in order to provide an=
=20
> overview of observed power (post hoc) in the sample, but also to provide=
=20
> power-based advice to groups aiming to replicate the studies. I'm happy t=
o=20
> communicate more on this if there is an interest.
>
> Cheers,
> Joachim
>
>
> On Monday, May 21, 2012 6:03:42 AM UTC-7, Roger Giner-Sorolla wrote:
>>
>> Recently, Gregory Francis has had at least two papers applying the=20
>> methods of Ioannidis & Trikalinos to articles in psychology: one looking=
at=20
>> Bem's 2011 JPSP precognition article
>>
>> Francis, G. (2012). Too good to be true: Publication bias in two=20
>> prominent studies from experimental psychology. *Psychonomic Bulletin &=
=20
>> Review*, *19*, 1=E2=80=936.
>> =20
>> and another looking at the closeness of desirable objects effect from=20
>> Balcetis and Dunning=20
>>
>> Francis, G. (2012). The same old New Look: Publication bias in a study o=
f=20
>> wishful seeing. *i-Perception*, *3*(3), 176=E2=80=93178.
>>
>> which elicited a reply and an exchange from the authors (linked from=20
>> http://i-perception.perceptionweb.com/journal/I/volume/3/article/i0519ic=
)
>>
>> In theory this could go on forever (a search reveals he has another one=
=20
>> in press at JEP:General) and of course the "hit list" approach doesn't=
=20
>> leave us with very firm grounds for discipline-wide generalizations abou=
t=20
>> false-positive bias. My personal reaction is, why go after results one a=
t a=20
>> time if this so obviously reflects an endemic practice in the field?
>>
>> Indeed, it occurred to me that we could do a lot better by looking at ou=
r=20
>> sample of the psychology field from the Reproducibility Project. We woul=
d=20
>> have to do power analyses for all studies in each articles, of course, b=
ut=20
>> we already have the framework in place. Although I have my own archival=
=20
>> project I want to start this summer, I'm wondering if anyone could take =
on=20
>> organizing this project, or at least give their opinion as to whether it=
's=20
>> worth doing?
>> =20
>
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That's great, Joachim. Are you using the Reproducibility Project sample of =
articles specifically?<br><br>And some power-related questions: what are yo=
u doing for studies that report no effect size (all too common in Psych Sci=
ence), and repeated measures studies that report no correlation among DVs, =
which is needed for ES of the repeated measures ANOVA effects?<br><br>On Mo=
nday, May 21, 2012 10:58:57 PM UTC+1, Joachim Vandekerckhove wrote:<blockqu=
ote class=3D"gmail_quote" style=3D"margin: 0;margin-left: 0.8ex;border-left=
: 1px #ccc solid;padding-left: 1ex;">Hi Roger,<div><br></div><div>I haven't=
been active in this group, but I am doing exactly this right now. An RA is=
collecting all the relevant statistics now and we plan to write a report b=
y the end of the summer. I'm also meeting Greg soon to discuss the implemen=
tation. </div><div>I think it would be a worthwhile effort not only in=
order to provide an overview of observed power (post hoc) in the sample, b=
ut also to provide power-based advice to groups aiming to replicate the stu=
dies. I'm happy to communicate more on this if there is an interest.</div><=
div><br></div><div>Cheers,</div><div>Joachim</div><div><br><br>On Monday, M=
ay 21, 2012 6:03:42 AM UTC-7, Roger Giner-Sorolla wrote:<blockquote class=
=3D"gmail_quote" style=3D"margin:0;margin-left:0.8ex;border-left:1px #ccc s=
olid;padding-left:1ex">Recently, Gregory Franci<font size=3D"2">s has had a=
t least two papers applying the methods of Ioannidis & Trikalinos to ar=
ticles in psychology: one looking at Bem's 2011 JPSP precognition article<b=
r><br></font><div style=3D"line-height:2;padding-left:2em">
<div><font size=3D"2">Francis, G. (2012). Too good to be true: Publicatio=
n bias in two prominent studies from experimental psychology. <i>Psychonomi=
c Bulletin & Review</i>, <i>19</i>, 1=E2=80=936.</font></div>
<font size=3D"2"><span title=3D"url_ver=3DZ39.88-2004&ctx_ver=3DZ39.8=
8-2004&rfr_id=3Dinfo%3Asid%2Fzotero.org%3A2&rft_val_fmt=3Dinfo%3Aof=
i%2Ffmt%3Akev%3Amtx%3Ajournal&rft.genre=3Darticle&rft.atitle=3DToo%=
20good%20to%20be%20true%3A%20Publication%20bias%20in%20two%20prominent%20st=
udies%20from%20experimental%20psychology&rft.jtitle=3DPsychonomic%20Bul=
letin%20%26%20Review&rft.volume=3D19&rft.aufirst=3DG.&rft.aulas=
t=3DFrancis&rft.au=3DG.%20Francis&rft.date=3D2012&rft.pages=3D1=
-6&rft.spage=3D1&rft.epage=3D6">
</span></font></div><font size=3D"2"><br>and another looking at the closene=
ss of desirable objects effect from Balcetis and Dunning <br><br></font><di=
v style=3D"line-height:2;padding-left:2em"><font size=3D"2">
Francis, G. (2012). The same old New Look: Publication bias in a study of=
wishful seeing. <i>i-Perception</i>, <i>3</i>(3), 176=E2=80=93178.<br><br>
which elicited a reply and an exchange from the authors (linked from=20
<a href=3D"http://i-perception.perceptionweb.com/journal/I/volume/3/article=
/i0519ic" target=3D"_blank">http://i-perception.<wbr>perceptionweb.com/jour=
nal/I/<wbr>volume/3/article/i0519ic</a>)<br>
<br>
In theory this could go on forever (a search reveals he has another one=20
in press at JEP:General) and of course the "hit list" approach doesn't leav=
e us with very firm grounds for discipline-wide generalizations about false=
-positive bias. My personal reaction is, why go after results one at a time=
if this so obviously reflects an endemic practice in the field?<br><br>Ind=
eed, it occurred to me that we could do a lot=20
better by looking at our sample of the psychology field from the=20
Reproducibility Project. We would have to do power analyses for all=20
studies in each articles, of course, but we already have the framework in
place. Although I have my own archival project I want to start this summer=
, I'm wondering if anyone could take on organizing this project, or at leas=
t give their opinion as to whether it's worth doing?</font><br>
<span title=3D"url_ver=3DZ39.88-2004&ctx_ver=3DZ39.88-2004&rfr_id=
=3Dinfo%3Asid%2Fzotero.org%3A2&rft_val_fmt=3Dinfo%3Aofi%2Ffmt%3Akev%3Am=
tx%3Ajournal&rft.genre=3Darticle&rft.atitle=3DThe%20same%20old%20Ne=
w%20Look%3A%20Publication%20bias%20in%20a%20study%20of%20wishful%20seeing&a=
mp;rft.jtitle=3Di-Perception&rft.volume=3D3&rft.issue=3D3&rft.a=
ufirst=3DG.&rft.aulast=3DFrancis&rft.au=3DG.%20Francis&rft.date=
=3D2012&rft.pages=3D176-178&rft.spage=3D176&rft.epage=3D178">
</span></div></blockquote></div></blockquote>
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