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Message from discussion Will Reproducibility Project unearth "an excess of significant findings"?
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Roger Giner-Sorolla  
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 More options May 22 2012, 5:29 am
From: Roger Giner-Sorolla <rogersebast...@gmail.com>
Date: Tue, 22 May 2012 02:29:59 -0700 (PDT)
Local: Tues, May 22 2012 5:29 am
Subject: Re: Will Reproducibility Project unearth "an excess of significant findings"?

That's great, Joachim. Are you using the Reproducibility Project sample of
articles specifically?

And some power-related questions: what are you doing for studies that
report no effect size (all too common in Psych Science), and repeated
measures studies that report no correlation among DVs, which is needed for
ES of the repeated measures ANOVA effects?

On Monday, May 21, 2012 10:58:57 PM UTC+1, Joachim Vandekerckhove wrote:

> Hi Roger,

> I haven't been active in this group, but I am doing exactly this right
> now. An RA is collecting all the relevant statistics now and we plan to
> write a report by the end of the summer. I'm also meeting Greg soon to
> discuss the implementation.
> I think it would be a worthwhile effort not only in order to provide an
> overview of observed power (post hoc) in the sample, but also to provide
> power-based advice to groups aiming to replicate the studies. I'm happy to
> communicate more on this if there is an interest.

> Cheers,
> Joachim

> On Monday, May 21, 2012 6:03:42 AM UTC-7, Roger Giner-Sorolla wrote:

>> Recently, Gregory Francis has had at least two papers applying the
>> methods of Ioannidis & Trikalinos to articles in psychology: one looking at
>> Bem's 2011 JPSP precognition article

>> Francis, G. (2012). Too good to be true: Publication bias in two
>> prominent studies from experimental psychology. *Psychonomic Bulletin &
>> Review*, *19*, 1–6.

>> and another looking at the closeness of desirable objects effect from
>> Balcetis and Dunning

>> Francis, G. (2012). The same old New Look: Publication bias in a study of
>> wishful seeing. *i-Perception*, *3*(3), 176–178.

>> which elicited a reply and an exchange from the authors (linked from
>> http://i-perception.perceptionweb.com/journal/I/volume/3/article/i0519ic)

>> In theory this could go on forever (a search reveals he has another one
>> in press at JEP:General) and of course the "hit list" approach doesn't
>> leave us with very firm grounds for discipline-wide generalizations about
>> false-positive bias. My personal reaction is, why go after results one at a
>> time if this so obviously reflects an endemic practice in the field?

>> Indeed, it occurred to me that we could do a lot better by looking at our
>> sample of the psychology field from the Reproducibility Project. We would
>> have to do power analyses for all studies in each articles, of course, but
>> we already have the framework in place. Although I have my own archival
>> project I want to start this summer, I'm wondering if anyone could take on
>> organizing this project, or at least give their opinion as to whether it's
>> worth doing?


 
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