Tropical forecast

[Irishcoffee]

Guess for Hurricane season '09.......


17 named
9 hurricanes
4 majors

[snowman]

A guess for tropical season '09

13 named
8 hurricanes
3 major hurricanes
2 landfalls - gulf coast
1 landfall - florida
1 landfall - n.carolina

[Irishcoffee]

Quick Invest ..then POOF! ..but she's early-- and to all thinking a
strong El Nino is coming, bite your keyboard!!

On May 14, 8:43 pm, TQ <n...@newx-forecasts.com> wrote:
> Forecaster:  Issue Date - Named Storms / Hurcs / Majors
> ---------------------------------------------------------------------------­­­­­­­­­--------
> Tropical Storm Risk:  12/5/08 - 15 / 8 / 4
> Gray:  12/10/08 - 14 / 7 / 3
> WSI:  12/23/08 - 13 / 7 /3
> Wx Research Center:  12/30/08 - 7 / 4 / -
> ImpactWeather:  2/10/2009 - 15 / 8 / 4
> D'Aleo:  3/16/09 - 13 / 7 / 2
> JB:  3/17/09 - 13 / 8 / 2
> Irishcoffee:  4/1/09 - 17 / 9 / 4
> Gray:  4/7/09 - 12 / 6 / 2
> NC State:  4/9/09 - 11-14 / 6-8 / 2
> Snowman:  4/11/09 - 13 / 8 / 3
> WSI:  4/20/09 - 11 / 6 / 2
> ImpactWeather:  4/24/2009 - 12 / 7 / 3
> JB:  5/14/09 - 10 / 6 / 2
> ---------------------------------------------------------------------------­­­­­­­­­-------
> Persistence:  16 / 8 / 5
> Climo:  12 / 6 / 3
> 10-yr MAVG:  17 / 9 / 4
> ---------------------------------------------------------------------------­­­­­­­­­-------

[Irishcoffee]

I could be in deep trouble......if i weren't Irish, i'd amend my
forecast to 10/5/2-- but i'd sooner hang-glide on a loose noose, than
change my mind

On Jun 4, 7:12 pm, TQ <n...@newx-forecasts.com> wrote:
> Forecaster:  Issue Date - Named Storms / Hurcs / Majors
> ---------------------------------------------------------------------------­­­­­­­­­­­--------
> Tropical Storm Risk:  12/5/08 - 15 / 8 / 4
> Gray:  12/10/08 - 14 / 7 / 3
> WSI:  12/23/08 - 13 / 7 /3
> Wx Research Center:  12/30/08 - 7 / 4 / -
> ImpactWeather:  2/10/2009 - 15 / 8 / 4
> D'Aleo:  3/16/09 - 13 / 7 / 2
> JB:  3/17/09 - 13 / 8 / 2
> Irishcoffee:  4/1/09 - 17 / 9 / 4
> Gray:  4/7/09 - 12 / 6 / 2
> NC State:  4/9/09 - 11-14 / 6-8 / 2
> Snowman:  4/11/09 - 13 / 8 / 3
> WSI:  4/20/09 - 11 / 6 / 2
> ImpactWeather:  4/24/2009 - 12 / 7 / 3
> JB:  5/14/09 - 10 / 6 / 2

> NOAA: 5/21/09 - 9 -14 / 4 - 7 / 1 - 3
> Tropical Storm Risk:  6/4/09 - 10.9 / 5.2 / 2.2

[snowman]

WOW! The Atlantic has exploded. Three TS's at once, two days ago we
had none. That's the neat thing about the weather, it always surprises
you.

On Aug 7, 4:35 pm, TQ <n...@newx-forecasts.com> wrote:
> Forecaster:  Issue Date - Named Storms / Hurcs / Majors
> --------------------------------------------------------------------------- ­­­­­­­­­­­--------
> Tropical Storm Risk:  12/5/08 - 15 / 8 / 4
> Gray:  12/10/08 - 14 / 7 / 3
> WSI:  12/23/08 - 13 / 7 /3
> Wx Research Center:  12/30/08 - 7 / 4 / -
> ImpactWeather:  2/10/2009 - 15 / 8 / 4
> D'Aleo:  3/16/09 - 13 / 7 / 2
> JB:  3/17/09 - 13 / 8 / 2
> Irishcoffee:  4/1/09 - 17 / 9 / 4
> Gray:  4/7/09 - 12 / 6 / 2
> NC State:  4/9/09 - 11-14 / 6-8 / 2
> Snowman:  4/11/09 - 13 / 8 / 3
> WSI:  4/20/09 - 11 / 6 / 2
> ImpactWeather:  4/24/2009 - 12 / 7 / 3
> JB:  5/14/09 - 10 / 6 / 2
> NOAA: 5/21/09 - 9 -14 / 4 - 7 / 1 - 3
> Tropical Storm Risk:  6/4/09 - 10.9 / 5.2 / 2.2

> Gray:  8/4/09 - 10 / 4 / 2
> Tropical Storm Risk:  8/4/09 - 12.6 / 6.5 / 2.8
> NOAA: 8/4/09 - 7 -10 / 3 - 6 / 1 - 2

[TQ]

Forecaster: Issue Date - Named Storms / Hurcs / Majors
---------------------------------------------------------------------------­­­­­­­­­­­­­--------
Tropical Storm Risk: 12/5/08 - 15 / 8 / 4
Gray: 12/10/08 - 14 / 7 / 3
WSI: 12/23/08 - 13 / 7 /3
Wx Research Center: 12/30/08 - 7 / 4 / -
ImpactWeather: 2/10/2009 - 15 / 8 / 4
D'Aleo: 3/16/09 - 13 / 7 / 2
JB: 3/17/09 - 13 / 8 / 2
Irishcoffee: 4/1/09 - 17 / 9 / 4
Gray: 4/7/09 - 12 / 6 / 2
NC State: 4/9/09 - 11-14 / 6-8 / 2
Snowman: 4/11/09 - 13 / 8 / 3
WSI: 4/20/09 - 11 / 6 / 2
ImpactWeather: 4/24/2009 - 12 / 7 / 3
JB: 5/14/09 - 10 / 6 / 2

NOAA: 5/21/09 - 9-14 / 4 - 7 / 1 - 3
Wx Trends International: 5/22/09 - 10-13 / 6 / 3

Tropical Storm Risk: 6/4/09 - 10.9 / 5.2 / 2.2

WSI: 7/?/09 - 10 / 5 / 2

Gray: 8/4/09 - 10 / 4 / 2
Tropical Storm Risk: 8/4/09 - 12.6 / 6.5 / 2.8

NOAA: 8/4/09 - 7-10 / 3 - 6 / 1 - 2
WSI: 8/25/09 - 10 / 5 / 2

---------------------------------------------------------------------------­­­­­­­­­­­­­-------
Persistence: 16 / 8 / 5
Climo: 12 / 6 / 3
10-yr MAVG: 17 / 9 / 4
---------------------------------------------------------------------------­­­­­­­­­­­­­-------

Updated to include WTI/s 5/22 forecast

[Shillelagh]

what are the updated #s thusfar? Seems like it has been a
snoozer....I thought AGW was going to power us to Cat. 5's prowling
the Atlantic Basin every week of summer by now?

[NEWxSFC]

6.  Fred was the last named storm...right?
2 hurricanes...both 3s.

Best forecast to date came from the _*Wx Research Center*_
...a non-profit outfit in TX (iirc) in December.

Luck or skill?  Don't recall their forecast discussion.
Anyone heard who's to blame for the belo-normal season?