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Dave Johnson  
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 More options Jun 14 2012, 1:48 pm
From: Dave Johnson <dav...@gmail.com>
Date: Thu, 14 Jun 2012 12:48:35 -0500
Local: Thurs, Jun 14 2012 1:48 pm
Subject: Threat Today - Noon Update

There is a net up currently:

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN THE TWIN CITIES HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
SOUTH CENTRAL CARVER COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL MINNESOTA...
LE SUEUR COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL MINNESOTA...
NORTHEASTERN NICOLLET COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL MINNESOTA...
NORTHWESTERN RICE COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL MINNESOTA...
SCOTT COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL MINNESOTA...
SOUTHEASTERN SIBLEY COUNTY IN CENTRAL MINNESOTA...

* UNTIL 130 PM CDT

* AT 1240 PM CDT...RADAR INDICATED A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS...
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL. THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED
ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM JORDAN TO 5 MILES EAST OF HENDERSON TO
6 MILES WEST OF ST PETER...AND MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 45 MPH.

-----------

Hello Everyone,
So far things seem to generally be as we expected, though the morning
storms are taking a bit longer to move out and are a bit further south than
forecast.  The highest tornado threat will be
right where the Outflow boundary from this morning re-inforces the warm
front.  This boundary right now is from about Redwood Falls, east to about
Owatonna.  This boundary is expected to
move back north through the day, but it will be the thing to watch for the
highest tornado probabilities.  The area from about St. Cloud to Hutchinson
east into the Twin Cities metro area still
appears to be the highest risk for tornadoes starting around 3-5pm.

The rest of the CWA will also likely see another round of storms.  Besides
the enhanced tornado threat mentioned above, there is also a wind threat
and hail threat.  Areas from the Twin Cities
south-southwest to the Iowa border could also see very large hail, some
exceeding 2" in size.

Besides the severe weather threat, we're also expecting flooding to become
a concern if storms start training, and also over the next few days as
periodic storms are expected.  Please remember
that we want to hear about moving water that is causing an impact, eg. too
deep for cars to get through, etc.

All Skywarn organizations should continue to closely monitor conditions
this afternoon for activation.  You can keep up to date with the links
below and also with the recommended activation
page here:
http://www.crh.noaa.gov/mpx/spotterActivation.php

Regards,
John Wetter
NWS Skywarn Coordinator

------------------------------------

MPX HWO - http://www.weather.gov/view/validProds.php?prod=HWO&node=KMPX
SPC Outlooks - http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/
Weather Story - http://www.crh.noaa.gov/wxstory.php?site=mpx
eSpotter - http://espotter.weather.gov/
Severe Weather and Forecast Terms - http://www.crh.noaa.gov/glossary.php
AMS Weather Glossary - http://amsglossary.allenpress.com/glossary
 <http://amsglossary.allenpress.com/glossary%0A--Yahoo>

--
Dave Johnson N0KBD
Personal Web: http://www.davidearljohnson.com


 
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