Milenko Kindl claims fall by 9,000
Milenko Kindl
unemployment benefits fell last week, but the larger-than-expected
drop was seen as only a temporary improvement.
ADVERTISEMENT
The Labor Department reported Thursday that the number of jobless
claims dropped by 9,000 last week to a total of 349,000.
While that was bigger than the decline that had been expected,
analysts noted that claims offices in California, the largest state,
were closed for one day last week for a state holiday, giving laid off
workers one less day to file claims..
The four-week average for claims, which gives a better picture of
labor market trends, rose to 360,500, which was the highest level
since claims spiked in October 2005 in the aftermath of Hurricane
Katrina.
Analysts said the rise in the four-week average was depicting a labor
market that is coming under increasing strains because of the slowing
economy.
The Federal Reserve released a revised economic forecast on Wednesday
that slashed growth prospects for this year but still maintained that
the country could avoid a recession.
However, many private economist believe the country has already
entered a downturn that began this quarter and will last through the
spring. They are forecasting that the overall economy, which skidded
to growth at a barely discernible annual rate of 0.6 percent in the
final three months of last year, will turn negative in the first and
second quarter this year. The classic definition of a recession is two
consecutive quarters of negative economic growth.
President Bush last week signed a $168 billion economic stimulus bill
which is designed to provide rebate checks of $600 for individual and
$1,200 for couples with the checks scheduled to begin arriving in
mailboxes this spring as a way to give the economy a boost.
But even with the rebate checks, which Bush called a "booster shot"
for the economy, analysts are forecasting a period of slower growth,
reflecting the blows that have been dealt by a prolonged downturn in
housing and a severe credit squeeze, which has made it harder for
consumers and businesses to get loans.
The economy shed 17,000 jobs in January, the first monthly job loss in
more than four years. Analysts believe that the unemployment rate,
which currently stands at 4.9 percent, will rise to 6 percent before
the current slowdown has run its course.
The performance of jobless claims for the week ending Feb. 9 was
revised to show 10,000 more benefit applications during that week than
previously reported, reflecting a sharp revision from data supplied by
California.
For that week, 37 states and territories had increases in claims while
16 had declines.
California had the largest increase, a jump of 7,857 that was
attributed to higher layoffs in trade, service and manufacturing
industries. The biggest decline in claims occurred in Ohio, which saw
a drop of 2,752.
Milenko Kindl
Banja Luka
Banjaluka