Putting The MJF Fire Out
http://demrepubnepal.blogspot.com/2009/06/putting-mjf-fire-out.html
The most important thing for the MJF right now is to make sure the
party does not split. And the way to resolve all outstanding issues is
through dialogue and open voting. Bijay Gachhedar showing majority
support in both the central committee and the parliamentary party is a
turning point, if he has done that.
The physical attack on some of the women lawmakers of the MJF in
Birgunj is shameful.
Majority vote gets to make the decisions. If that means that the party
president's line of thinking ends up in the minority then he simply
has to accept that.
How to prevent a vertical split?
1. Upendra Yadav and Bijay Gachhedar should meet in person, one on
one.
2. They should go back to square one.
3. I think it is fair to say Gachhedar has to resign from the
cabinet. Or Upendra Yadav could exhibit some magnanimity and let it
be.
4. The two need to realize that there will be elections in less
than a year. If the party splits now, both factions will lose. People
who are MPs now will not come back to the parliament. They must stay
united if they are to have a shot next year.
It is ridiculous that Madhav Nepal and Girija Koirala connived to
bring about this split. The MJF had already decided to join the Madhav
Nepal government. And it had already been decided that Bijay Gachhedar
was going to get a powerful ministry. But that was not enough. The
Nepal-Koirala duo went ahead and appointed Gachhedar the Deputy Prime
Minister.
It is not easy to wake up an oppressed people like the Madhesis are.
It is not easy to unite leaders of an oppressed community. Infighting
happens very easily. That is but a symptom of powerlessness.
Upendra Yadav's Mistakes
* Why did he not get himself elected parliamentary party leader
after the April 2008 election last year?
* His leadership style has had its weak points. As the party
leader he should constantly be seeking out all his MPs and all members
of his central committee one on one. What do you think of this? What
do you think of that? He has become aloof since getting into power
last year.
* He misread the mood inside his party and inside the country
regarding the Maoists. Many people felt it was a choice between Maoist
autocracy and a new government in Madhav Nepal's leadership. For him
to try to push the line to support the government from the outside was
a wrong one.
* When a large number of his MPs came out openly supporting
Gachhedar, he should have made an extra effort to reach out to them.
Bijay Gachhedar's Mistakes
* The number one thing Bijay Gachhedar has to realize right now is
that if the party splits, he is not going to come back to the
parliament next year. He is going to lose the election next year.
* That is going to be extra true of many of the other MPs.
* Bijay Gachhedar has to realize that Prachanda, Madhav Nepal and
Girija Koirala all want the MJF to split. Prachanda offered the Prime
Ministership to Upendra Yadav without meaning to. Now Koirala and
Nepal have put Gachhedar in the Deputy Prime Minister's chair with the
sole intention of splitting the MJF. There is no other purpose.
* If Gachhedar is no longer a MP next year, he is going to be out
of the political scene for the next four years.
* And the way things are looking, the Madhav Nepal led government
might not last six months. Then what? Will he split the party just to
be Deputy Prime Minister for a few short months? That is not worth
it.
How To Seek Middle Ground?
* The number one thing for the two leaders to do is to meet in
person. Stop talking through the media. Stop talking through
supporters.
* Agree to seek middle ground.
* Upendra Yadav should come out fully wanting to participate in
the Madhav Nepal government. A lot of his MPs are unhappy that he
wants to stay out of the government.
* Upendra Yadav should even be willing to accept Bijay Gachhedar
as Deputy Prime Minister for a few months. Strike out a compromise
formula. Both Bijay Gachhedar and Upendra Yadav get powerful
ministries. Bijay Gachhedar stays DPM for six months, then Upendra
Yadav becomes DPM for the final six months.
* Bring back all the expelled leaders into the party fold.
* Claim unity.
* If they can do that, this will have been political jujutsu. You
win over Nepal and Koirala at their own game. You fooled them into
thinking you were fighting. And look what happened? The MJF got the
Deputy Prime Ministership without being the second largest party.
Starting Point
The starting point for all further negotiations has to be that
splitting the party is not an option. That will be political harakiri.
If they split, both factions will end up being irrelevant in about a
year. People will say, there used to be a Terai Congress, there also
used to be a MJF.
I think Jay Prakash Gupta and Sharad Singh Bhandari could play
important conciliatory roles right now.
Stay united now, and the MJF has a shot at the Prime Ministership next
year. Split now and Yadav and Gachhedar are not even going to be MPs
in a year.
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