Not long ago I had asked in what sense Lonergan meant that the basis
of the type of explanation introduced by Darwin was 'in
probabilities'. I had suggested probability in a non-frequentist sense
and in the sense of plausibility.
But the prevailing opinion is that Darwin must have used statistics.
take a look at the following:
"Although his method was radical, he did not emphasize it; his
approach and the very logic of his materials involved probabilistic
thinking, but without the use of statistics and without, it seems, the
author's full intention to embrace this method". pg 100
"Throughout the nineteenth century, scientific theories became less
statements of proof and certainty and more propositions concerning
explanation and plausibility. Darwinism was a major step in this
direction..." page 16
Science and Religion in the Era of William James
by Paul Jerome Croce, 1995
I promise I won't pursue it.
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