India Stocks Outlook: Seen volatile next week; banks likely down

[B. Karthick]

India Stocks Outlook: Seen volatile next week; banks likely down

Key share indices are likely to remain volatile next week on
lack of direction in the market.
Fears of higher inflation after the government raised automobile
fuel
prices Wednesday, and a tougher monetary stance by Reserve Bank of
India to contain it, are also likely to weigh.
There were also rumours in the market yesterday that the Left
parties
will withdraw support to the (United Progressive Alliance) government.
Talk is an announcement to that effect is likely next week, which
also
contributed yesterday's fall.
The Left is protesting against the government's decision to raise
petrol
and diesel prices by 5 rupees and 3 rupees per 1L, respectively, which
it terms as a steep hike.
Yesterday Sensex ended at 15572.18, down 197.54 points, from
Thursday.
Nifty ended at 4627.80, down 49.15 points.
India VIX or volatility index fell 12.7% from the previous session.
Market is at a very crucial level, with Sensex having bounced back
from
its support of 15300 (this week).
Overall trend is weak, and early next week we could see sideways
movement till either Sensex breaks out from the range of 15300-15970,
or
Nifty from 4468-4750.
We recommend lightening positions at every high and taking every
low
as an opportunity to accumulate frontline stocks.
Bank shares are likely to remain weak amid fears RBI might hike
cash
reserve ratio to ease inflationary pressures.
Capital goods and real estate shares also continue to look weak on
technical charts, while information technology is likely to show some
resilience

B.Karthick,
Research Analyst