another case of premature suit agreement in the slam zone

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judyorcarl

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Jun 27, 2008, 3:35:37 PM6/27/08
to The Kaplan-Sheinwold Bidding System
In the European championship today, dealer held

KQJ3
AJ843
3
842

3rd hand held

A87
K62
KQJ10
AK6

I judge that 6NT is a hair above 50%, because every once in a while,
the run of S & D will reveal long C & H over dealer.

But playing in hearts at any level is surely a major blunder.

Here's how the competitors on BBO Vugraph did:

Bulgaria open:
Reached 6NT after an apparently extremely articifial auction, dealer
opening 1C

Poland open:
Reached 5H after a relay auction, dealer opening 1H

Italy women:
Reached 6NT after what appears to be Bluish cuebidding, responder
bidding 6NT over opener's 5H signoff

England women:
Reached 6H (down) after dealer opened 1H & responder Blackwooded at
her second turn

Wales women:
Reached 6H (down) after dealer opened 2H & responder Blackwooded at
her second turn

France women:
Reached 6H (down) after dealer opened 1H & responder Blackwooded at
her third turn

Italy open:
reached 5H after dealer opened 1H & responder eventually raised 4H to
5

France open:
Reached 6NT after dealer opened 1H & responder Blackwooded at his
third turn, bid 5S over the reply, then 6NT over the 5NT reply

Germany open:
Reached 6NT after dealer opened 1H & responder bid 2S showing fit,
15+. Eventually, responder Blackwooded , then bid 6NT over the 5D
reply

Sweden open:
Reached 6NT after a relay auction, dealer opening 1H

Carl

Kees Schaafsma

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Jun 27, 2008, 5:52:24 PM6/27/08
to kaplan-s...@googlegroups.com
What's the problem?
You - very useful - temporarily set hearts,
find out that 1 keycard and the Queen of Hearts is
missing, so you go for 6NT.

Regards
Kees

judyorcarl

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Jun 28, 2008, 10:37:43 AM6/28/08
to The Kaplan-Sheinwold Bidding System
Not quite no problem. What if, after you hear the no-queen response,
you feel pessimistic, like the Poles and Italians? After all,
pessimism will be justified 48.17% of the time. Must you accept the
danger of 5H instead of the security of 5NT?

Bidding 5NT after no-queen *should* be nonforcing, with maybe 6C as
the grandslam try. But how many of you play that?

Carl
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judyorcarl

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Jun 29, 2008, 11:10:41 AM6/29/08
to The Kaplan-Sheinwold Bidding System
Correction:

Pessimism is justified 49.97% of the time.

Carl
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Kees Schaafsma

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Jun 30, 2008, 1:51:48 PM6/30/08
to kaplan-s...@googlegroups.com
Be it as it may, it's just another 50-50 decision whether go slamming or not
and NOT ANOTHER case of premature suit agreement.
Either way it belongs in rec.games.bridge and not in the K-S newsgroup.
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