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New Study: Climate Scientists Overwhelmingly Agree Global Warming Is Real and Our Fault
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James Warren
May 21, 2013, 3:08:27 PM5/21/13
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http://www.slate.com/blogs/bad_astronomy/2013/05/17/global_warming_climate_scientists_overwhelmingly_agree_it_s_real_and_is.html
http://tinyurl.com/asxqjok
New Study: Climate Scientists Overwhelmingly Agree Global Warming Is Real and Our Fault
A new study has just come out that looked at nearly 12,000 professional scientific journal papers about global warming,
and found that—of the papers expressing a stance on global warming—97 percent endorse both the reality of global warming
and the fact that humans are causing it.
Ninety-seven percent. That’s what we call a “consensus”, folks.
The study was clever. They found the papers by searching on the terms “global warming” and “global climate change”. Once
they compiled the list of papers, they looked at the abstracts (a short summary of the results scientists put at the top
of their papers) to see if the paper itself talked about the causes of global warming. About 4000 of the papers did so.
That may seem like a smallish fraction, but most papers analyze measurements and climate effects, not the cause of
global warming (like most astronomical papers on, say, galaxies don’t discuss how galaxies form, but focus on their
structure, content, and so on—also, because there is such a strong consensus on warming, scientists don't generally feel
the need to state the obvious in their abstracts).
Examining those 4000 papers, the study authors determined that 97.1 percent of them endorsed the consensus that humans
are causing global warming. And here’s where they did the clever bit: They contacted 8500 authors of the papers in
question and asked them to self-rate those papers. They got responses from 1200 authors (a nice fraction), and, using
the same criteria as the study, it turns out 97.2 percent of the authors endorse the consensus.
That’s a remarkable agreement! And it’s no surprise. There have been several studies showing almost exactly the same
thing. This new one is interesting due to the methodology, and the fact that it’s so robust.
So, the bottom line: The vast majority of scientists who conduct climatological research and publish their results in
professional journals say humans are the cause of global warming. There is essentially no controversy among actual
climate scientists about this.
Of course, if you read the Wall Street Journal or the contrarian blogs, you might think the controversy among scientists
is bigger. But you’ll find that the vast majority of people writing those articles, or who are quoted in them, are not
climatologists. You’ll also find many, including politicians so vocally denying global warming, are heavily funded by
fossil fuel interests, or lead institutes funded that way.
Because deniers tend to go to the OpEd pages and TV, rather than science journals, the public perception is skewed in
their favor; people think this is a bigger controversy than it is. The only controversy here is a manufactured one; made
up by people who are basing it on ideology, not facts, evidence, and science. That’s not just my opinion; that statement
itself is backed up by facts, evidence, and science.
Global warming is real. Climate change is happening. Carbon dioxide in the air is increasing, and is at a higher level
than it has been for the past three million years. That carbon dioxide is increasingly heating us up: we are warming at
a rate faster than in the past 11,000 years, and most likely far longer than that.
And it’s our fault. It’s well past time we do something about it, and we need to get past this false controversy. For
more information, go to The Consensus Project, and see what we can do about it.
http://tinyurl.com/asxqjok
New Study: Climate Scientists Overwhelmingly Agree Global Warming Is Real and Our Fault
A new study has just come out that looked at nearly 12,000 professional scientific journal papers about global warming,
and found that—of the papers expressing a stance on global warming—97 percent endorse both the reality of global warming
and the fact that humans are causing it.
Ninety-seven percent. That’s what we call a “consensus”, folks.
The study was clever. They found the papers by searching on the terms “global warming” and “global climate change”. Once
they compiled the list of papers, they looked at the abstracts (a short summary of the results scientists put at the top
of their papers) to see if the paper itself talked about the causes of global warming. About 4000 of the papers did so.
That may seem like a smallish fraction, but most papers analyze measurements and climate effects, not the cause of
global warming (like most astronomical papers on, say, galaxies don’t discuss how galaxies form, but focus on their
structure, content, and so on—also, because there is such a strong consensus on warming, scientists don't generally feel
the need to state the obvious in their abstracts).
Examining those 4000 papers, the study authors determined that 97.1 percent of them endorsed the consensus that humans
are causing global warming. And here’s where they did the clever bit: They contacted 8500 authors of the papers in
question and asked them to self-rate those papers. They got responses from 1200 authors (a nice fraction), and, using
the same criteria as the study, it turns out 97.2 percent of the authors endorse the consensus.
That’s a remarkable agreement! And it’s no surprise. There have been several studies showing almost exactly the same
thing. This new one is interesting due to the methodology, and the fact that it’s so robust.
So, the bottom line: The vast majority of scientists who conduct climatological research and publish their results in
professional journals say humans are the cause of global warming. There is essentially no controversy among actual
climate scientists about this.
Of course, if you read the Wall Street Journal or the contrarian blogs, you might think the controversy among scientists
is bigger. But you’ll find that the vast majority of people writing those articles, or who are quoted in them, are not
climatologists. You’ll also find many, including politicians so vocally denying global warming, are heavily funded by
fossil fuel interests, or lead institutes funded that way.
Because deniers tend to go to the OpEd pages and TV, rather than science journals, the public perception is skewed in
their favor; people think this is a bigger controversy than it is. The only controversy here is a manufactured one; made
up by people who are basing it on ideology, not facts, evidence, and science. That’s not just my opinion; that statement
itself is backed up by facts, evidence, and science.
Global warming is real. Climate change is happening. Carbon dioxide in the air is increasing, and is at a higher level
than it has been for the past three million years. That carbon dioxide is increasingly heating us up: we are warming at
a rate faster than in the past 11,000 years, and most likely far longer than that.
And it’s our fault. It’s well past time we do something about it, and we need to get past this false controversy. For
more information, go to The Consensus Project, and see what we can do about it.
Jack
May 21, 2013, 3:45:14 PM5/21/13
to
On 2013-05-21 4:08 PM, in article
-sydnVE4d_axWwbM...@giganews.com, "James Warren"
<jwwar...@gmail.com> wrote:
> http://www.slate.com/blogs/bad_astronomy/2013/05/17/global_warming_climate_sci
-------------------
The louder the leftie whining, the better the Conservatives are doing
James Warren
May 21, 2013, 3:50:55 PM5/21/13
to
Jack
May 21, 2013, 4:36:49 PM5/21/13
to
On 2013-05-21 4:50 PM, in article
-o6dnew2wvG9TQbM...@giganews.com, "James Warren"
-------------------------------------------
Lefties are always beaking about democracy but the truth is they hate it.
Given the chance to effect change through voting or violence, they pick
violence every time.
James Warren
May 21, 2013, 5:36:26 PM5/21/13
to
On 5/21/2013 5:36 PM, Jack wrote:
>
>
>
> On 2013-05-21 4:50 PM, in article
> -o6dnew2wvG9TQbM...@giganews.com, "James Warren"
> <jwwar...@gmail.com> wrote:
>
>> On 5/21/2013 4:45 PM, Jack wrote:
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>> On 2013-05-21 4:08 PM, in article
>>> -sydnVE4d_axWwbM...@giganews.com, "James Warren"
>>> <jwwar...@gmail.com> wrote:
>>>
>>>> http://www.slate.com/blogs/bad_astronomy/2013/05/17/global_warming_climate_s
>>>> ci
>>>> entists_overwhelmingly_agree_it_s_real_and_is.html
>>>>
>>>> http://tinyurl.com/asxqjok
>>>>
>>>> New Study: Climate Scientists Overwhelmingly Agree Global Warming Is Real
>>>> and
>>>> Our Fault
>>>>
>>>> A new study has just come out that looked at nearly 12,000 professional
>>>> scientific journal papers about global warming,
>>>> and found that‹of the papers expressing a stance on global warming‹97
>
>
>
> On 2013-05-21 4:50 PM, in article
> -o6dnew2wvG9TQbM...@giganews.com, "James Warren"
> <jwwar...@gmail.com> wrote:
>
>> On 5/21/2013 4:45 PM, Jack wrote:
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>> On 2013-05-21 4:08 PM, in article
>>> -sydnVE4d_axWwbM...@giganews.com, "James Warren"
>>> <jwwar...@gmail.com> wrote:
>>>
>>>> http://www.slate.com/blogs/bad_astronomy/2013/05/17/global_warming_climate_s
>>>> ci
>>>> entists_overwhelmingly_agree_it_s_real_and_is.html
>>>>
>>>> http://tinyurl.com/asxqjok
>>>>
>>>> New Study: Climate Scientists Overwhelmingly Agree Global Warming Is Real
>>>> and
>>>> Our Fault
>>>>
>>>> A new study has just come out that looked at nearly 12,000 professional
>>>> scientific journal papers about global warming,
>>>> percent
>>>> endorse both the reality of global warming
>>>> and the fact that humans are causing it.
>>>>
>>>> Ninety-seven percent. That¹s what we call a ³consensus², folks.
>>>> endorse both the reality of global warming
>>>> and the fact that humans are causing it.
>>>>
>>>>
>>>> The study was clever. They found the papers by searching on the terms
>>>> ³global
>>>> The study was clever. They found the papers by searching on the terms
>>>> warming² and ³global climate change². Once
>>>> they compiled the list of papers, they looked at the abstracts (a short
>>>> summary of the results scientists put at the top
>>>> of their papers) to see if the paper itself talked about the causes of
>>>> global
>>>> warming. About 4000 of the papers did so.
>>>> That may seem like a smallish fraction, but most papers analyze measurements
>>>> and climate effects, not the cause of
>>>> global warming (like most astronomical papers on, say, galaxies don¹t
>>>> summary of the results scientists put at the top
>>>> of their papers) to see if the paper itself talked about the causes of
>>>> global
>>>> warming. About 4000 of the papers did so.
>>>> That may seem like a smallish fraction, but most papers analyze measurements
>>>> and climate effects, not the cause of
>>>> discuss
>>>> how galaxies form, but focus on their
>>>> structure, content, and so on‹also, because there is such a strong consensus
>>>> how galaxies form, but focus on their
>>>> on warming, scientists don't generally feel
>>>> the need to state the obvious in their abstracts).
>>>>
>>>> Examining those 4000 papers, the study authors determined that 97.1 percent
>>>> of
>>>> them endorsed the consensus that humans
>>>> are causing global warming. And here¹s where they did the clever bit: They
>>>> the need to state the obvious in their abstracts).
>>>>
>>>> Examining those 4000 papers, the study authors determined that 97.1 percent
>>>> of
>>>> them endorsed the consensus that humans
>>>> contacted 8500 authors of the papers in
>>>> question and asked them to self-rate those papers. They got responses from
>>>> 1200 authors (a nice fraction), and, using
>>>> the same criteria as the study, it turns out 97.2 percent of the authors
>>>> endorse the consensus.
>>>>
>>>> That¹s a remarkable agreement! And it¹s no surprise. There have been several
>>>> question and asked them to self-rate those papers. They got responses from
>>>> 1200 authors (a nice fraction), and, using
>>>> the same criteria as the study, it turns out 97.2 percent of the authors
>>>> endorse the consensus.
>>>>
>>>> studies showing almost exactly the same
>>>> thing. This new one is interesting due to the methodology, and the fact that
>>>> it¹s so robust.
>>>> thing. This new one is interesting due to the methodology, and the fact that
>>>>
>>>> So, the bottom line: The vast majority of scientists who conduct
>>>> climatological research and publish their results in
>>>> professional journals say humans are the cause of global warming. There is
>>>> essentially no controversy among actual
>>>> climate scientists about this.
>>>>
>>>> Of course, if you read the Wall Street Journal or the contrarian blogs, you
>>>> might think the controversy among scientists
>>>> is bigger. But you¹ll find that the vast majority of people writing those
>>>> So, the bottom line: The vast majority of scientists who conduct
>>>> climatological research and publish their results in
>>>> professional journals say humans are the cause of global warming. There is
>>>> essentially no controversy among actual
>>>> climate scientists about this.
>>>>
>>>> Of course, if you read the Wall Street Journal or the contrarian blogs, you
>>>> might think the controversy among scientists
>>>> articles, or who are quoted in them, are not
>>>> climatologists. You¹ll also find many, including politicians so vocally
>>>> denying global warming, are heavily funded by
>>>> fossil fuel interests, or lead institutes funded that way.
>>>>
>>>> Because deniers tend to go to the OpEd pages and TV, rather than science
>>>> journals, the public perception is skewed in
>>>> their favor; people think this is a bigger controversy than it is. The only
>>>> controversy here is a manufactured one; made
>>>> up by people who are basing it on ideology, not facts, evidence, and
>>>> science.
>>>> That¹s not just my opinion; that statement
>>>> fossil fuel interests, or lead institutes funded that way.
>>>>
>>>> Because deniers tend to go to the OpEd pages and TV, rather than science
>>>> journals, the public perception is skewed in
>>>> their favor; people think this is a bigger controversy than it is. The only
>>>> controversy here is a manufactured one; made
>>>> up by people who are basing it on ideology, not facts, evidence, and
>>>> science.
>>>> itself is backed up by facts, evidence, and science.
>>>>
>>>> Global warming is real. Climate change is happening. Carbon dioxide in the
>>>> air
>>>> is increasing, and is at a higher level
>>>> than it has been for the past three million years. That carbon dioxide is
>>>> increasingly heating us up: we are warming at
>>>> a rate faster than in the past 11,000 years, and most likely far longer than
>>>> that.
>>>>
>>>> And it¹s our fault. It¹s well past time we do something about it, and we
>>>>
>>>> Global warming is real. Climate change is happening. Carbon dioxide in the
>>>> air
>>>> is increasing, and is at a higher level
>>>> than it has been for the past three million years. That carbon dioxide is
>>>> increasingly heating us up: we are warming at
>>>> a rate faster than in the past 11,000 years, and most likely far longer than
>>>> that.
>>>>
>>>> need
>>>> to get past this false controversy. For
>>>> more information, go to The Consensus Project, and see what we can do about
>>>> it.
>>>
>>> Ha ha ha..stop it Jimmy, you're killing me !!!
>>
>> You can't deal with real science, eh Jack? Figures.
>>
>
> Apparently you couldn't either, hence coffee boy for REAL scientists ???
Once again, insult gratuitously when you have no arguments.
>>>> to get past this false controversy. For
>>>> more information, go to The Consensus Project, and see what we can do about
>>>> it.
>>>
>>> Ha ha ha..stop it Jimmy, you're killing me !!!
>>
>> You can't deal with real science, eh Jack? Figures.
>>
>
> Apparently you couldn't either, hence coffee boy for REAL scientists ???
>
> -------------------------------------------
>
> Lefties are always beaking about democracy but the truth is they hate it.
> Given the chance to effect change through voting or violence, they pick
> violence every time.
What about Islamic theocracies? Are they right or left wing? They surely are
violent.
Jack
May 21, 2013, 5:57:45 PM5/21/13
to
On 2013-05-21 6:36 PM, in article
xKOdnUbUvNlHdQbM...@giganews.com, "James Warren"
---------------
Illegal immigrants are to immigration what shoplifters are to shopping.
- Mark Steyn
James Warren
May 21, 2013, 10:17:32 PM5/21/13
to
--
-jw
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