Infosys may cut FY13 guidance to 6-8 per cent: Jefferies
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alok agarwal
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Jun 22, 2012, 12:46:10 PM6/22/12
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NEW DELHI: Banking group Jefferies said on Friday that software giant Infosys may cut its guidance for the current financial year to 6-8 per cent from the current 8-10 per cent.
Jefferies in its report has cited delays in IT spending from Infosys'
clients and adverse cross currency movements as the reason for this
outlook. The report comes at time when other analysts have warned of
rising risks to Infosys as global corporates cut IT spending. The recent
foreign exchange volatility also has analysts worried.
At 03:12 PM, shares in Infosys were trading at Rs 2475.10, down 0.69% on the Bombay Stock Exchange.
Earlier this week ET had reported that Infosys may be forced to pare
its already low growth guidance due to the wild swings of global
currencies, including pound sterling, Australian dollar and euro,
against the US dollar - the currency in which Infosys forecasts growth.
BNP Paribas,
HSBC and Prabudhas Lilladher - have flagged the possibility of
cross-currency fluctuations forcing Infosys to lower its guidance.
Based on current exchange rates, analysts estimate that Infosys' sales
growth forecast of 8-10 per cent may be impacted between 1 per cent and
1.5 per cent. However, this could change depending on these currencies'
exchange rate versus dollar during the course of the fiscal year.
Among the top Indian software services companies, only Wipro provides
growth guidance, but only for a quarter and not the full year, like
Infosys. New Jersey-based Cognizant Technology Solutions
gives full-year guidance, but gets over 75 per cent of revenues from
the US. To that extent, the company is less impacted by cross-currency
fluctuations.
"At the current currency rates (GBP/USD, EUR/USD,
AUD/USD) the USD top line growth is likely to be impacted by near 1.5
per cent for the full-year," wrote Yogesh Aggarwal and Karthik
Subramaniam of HSBC Securities in a client note last week. "In that regard, fiscal year 2013 guidance may have to be adjusted downwards."
Industry body Nasscom
has guided for a 10-14 per cent growth for the sector while Cognizant
recently revised its growth forecast down to 20 per cent, from 23 per
cent earlier, in the year to December.