Важные новости от Международного энергетического агентства:
выбросы СО2 не росли в 2019 году, а стабилизировались. По
крайней мере пока на один год.
Главный месседж от МЭА - это то, что мы должны делать все, чтобы 2019
вошел в историю как год с самыми высокими выбросами СО2 в истории. А
человечество - делать все возможное, чтобы теперь ежегодно выбросы парниковых
газов снижались. Главной причиной стабилизации выбросов является с одной стороны
их снижение в развитых странах (США, ЕС, Япония), но параллельно с этим - рост в
других странах (особенно в странах Азии, где уголь в энергетике приобретает все
большую важность).
Defying expectations of a rise, global carbon dioxide
emissions flatlined in 2019
Despite widespread expectations of another increase, global energy-related
carbon dioxide emissions stopped growing in 2019, according to IEA data
released today.
After two years of growth, global emissions were
unchanged at 33 gigatonnes in 2019 even as the world economy expanded
by 2.9%. This was primarily due to declining emissions from electricity
generation in advanced economies, thanks to the expanding role of renewable
sources (mainly wind and solar), fuel switching from coal to natural gas, and
higher nuclear power generation. Other factors included milder weather in
several countries, and slower economic growth in some emerging
markets.
“We now need to work hard to make sure that 2019 is remembered
as a definitive peak in global emissions, not just another pause in
growth,” said Dr Fatih Birol, the IEA’s Executive Director. “We have the energy
technologies to do this, and we have to make use of them all. The IEA is
building a grand coalition focused on reducing emissions – encompassing
governments, companies, investors and everyone with a genuine commitment to
tackling our climate challenge.”
A significant decrease in emissions in
advanced economies in 2019 offset continued growth elsewhere. The United States
recorded the largest emissions decline on a country basis, with a fall of
140 million tonnes, or 2.9%. US emissions are now down by almost
1 gigatonne from their peak in 2000. Emissions in the European Union fell
by 160 million tonnes, or 5%, in 2019 driven by reductions in the power
sector. Natural gas produced more electricity than coal for the first time ever,
meanwhile wind-powered electricity nearly caught up with coal-fired
electricity. Japan’s emissions fell by 45 million tonnes, or around 4%, the
fastest pace of decline since 2009, as output from recently restarted
nuclear reactors increased. Emissions in the rest of the world grew by close to
400 million tonnes in 2019, with almost 80% of the increase coming from
countries in Asia where coal-fired power generation continued to
rise.
Across advanced economies, emissions from the power sector
declined to levels last seen in the late 1980s, when electricity demand was
one-third lower than today. Coal-fired power generation in advanced economies
declined by nearly 15% as a result of growth in renewables, coal-to-gas
switching, a rise in nuclear power and weaker electricity demand.
“This
welcome halt in emissions growth is grounds for optimism that we can tackle the
climate challenge this decade,” said Dr Birol. “It is evidence that clean
energy transitions are underway – and it’s also a signal that we have the
opportunity to meaningfully move the needle on emissions through more
ambitious policies and investments.”
To support these objectives, the IEA
will publish a World Energy Outlook Special Report in June that
will map out how to cut global energy-related carbon emissions by one-third
by 2030 and put the world on track for longer-term climate goals.
The
Agency will also hold an IEA Clean Energy Transitions Summit in Paris
on 9 July, bringing together key government ministers, CEOs, investors and
other major stakeholders from around the world with the aim of accelerating the
pace of change through ambitious and real-world solutions.
--
Coordinator
Climate Action Network
Eastern Europe, Caucasus and Central Asia
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