"The Working Group noted the importance of these countries
considering how these issues might influence one another---and raised concerns
that Russia may be a dominant nuclear supplier to such countries."
https://www.planetarysecurityinitiative.org/news/leading-experts-issue-first-its-kind-framework-managing-intersection-climate-change-and?utm_source=Adreslijst+PSI&utm_campaign=12f1b31c53-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_10_27&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_bee8b307c4-12f1b31c53-79889861
Washington,
DC, November 15, 2017 — In its initial report , the Working Group on Climate, Nuclear, and
Security Affairs, chaired by the Center for Climate and Security, has
articulated a first-of-its kind framework for understanding and addressing the
complex connections between climate change, security, and nuclear issues. The
report arrives as the 23rd Conference of the Parties concludes its meeting in
Bonn, Germany to plan implementation of the Paris Climate Change Agreement, and
in the aftermath of President Trump’s tour of Asia, during which nuclear weapons
issues featured prominently.
Countries
such as Nigeria, Jordan, Bangladesh, Egypt, and Saudi Arabia are dealing with
numerous internal climatic, economic, security, demographic, and environmental
pressures as they pursue nuclear energy. The Working Group noted the importance
of these countries considering how these issues might influence one
another---and raised concerns that Russia may be a dominant nuclear supplier to
such countries.
Without
question, the global security environment is complex, evolving and sometimes
rapidly changing. The report finds that the effects of climate change are
complicating that landscape, and intersecting with nuclear trends, including new
countries seeking nuclear energy, some traditional nuclear energy-producing
countries pivoting to other power sources, new pressures on the nonproliferation
regime, and many specific nuclear risks persisting or increasing.
“Even
more important,” said Dr.
Janne Nolan, the Working Group’s Co-chair, Chair of the Nuclear Security Working
Group, and Center for Climate and Security Advisory Board Member, “these
dynamics are connected. Climate, security, and nuclear trends influence one
another, and risk combining in unprecedented and catastrophic ways. This is why
understanding systemic risks and remedies and their interconnections is so
critical, and the heart of the Working Group’s first report.” For example, some
experts are concerned that combining tensions over water, territory, and other
issues may increase nuclear detonation risks in regions like South Asia.
The
framework presented in the report can serve as a guide for how smart planning,
preparations, and policies can help the United States and others navigate this
combination of stresses and create a more resilient, stable world. Bolstering
international mechanisms (e.g., supporting the IAEA and the Paris agreement),
addressing underlying drivers of insecurity and instability, and accounting for
social and political movements will be required to help mitigate the types of
concerns raised in this report. Smartly developing and applying key technologies
will likewise help in countries like those named above, including the safest
reactor designs for countries that adopt nuclear energy, modern security and
monitoring systems, and strong climate modeling capabilities. This is especially
critical in the potential crisis regions where combining security, climate, and
nuclear risks must be addressed with urgency: South Asia, the Middle East, the
South China Sea, and Central and North Africa.
“We
don’t know with full certainty the world's climatic trajectory or nuclear energy
future, nor can we fully decide these global trends. We must map the risks and
opportunities involved with all potential outcomes and find ways to promote U.S.
security interests in all scenarios,” said Christine
Parthemore, the Working Group’s co-chair and Director of the
Climate-Nuclear-Security Program at the Center for Climate and
Security. “The stakes are high on navigating these interacting
challenges with smart policies and programs.”
The
Working Group on Climate, Nuclear, and Security Affairs was launched in 2016 by
the Center for Climate and Security. This groundbreaking effort stems from the
mounting evidence that various security challenges, climatic trends, and nuclear
issues are combining in new and potentially high-risk ways. Mapping and
addressing this complexity is critical for protecting U.S. security interests in
places such as Jordan, Turkey, Saudi Arabia, and across the Indo-Asia-Pacific
and Europe---and in international fora.
In
today’s report, the
Working Group recommends beginning with a few broad but clear steps to begin
advancing U.S. interests regarding intertwining climate, nuclear, and security
affairs. These include developing realistic planning scenarios, improving
communication regarding existential nuclear and climate risks, and educating
policy makers about the practical ways they can protect America’s capacities for
navigating these challenges. For example, the report suggests that U.S.
governmental and non-governmental leaders:
●
Focus on potential crisis regions and game out ways in which applying specific
policies, technologies, normative structures, and other measures can be
stabilizing or destabilizing
●
Promote more robust public and policy maker engagement on existential risks like
nuclear conflict and climate change
●
Convey risks in relatable and immediate ways, for example emphasizing ways to
reduce threats to vulnerable infrastructure across the country
Christine
Parthemore, cparthemore@climateandsecurity.org
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Network
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Network
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Regional
Campaigns Communications Officer EECCA
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Sent: Wednesday,
November 22, 2017 9:03 PM
Subject: [can-eecca] Безопасность, климат, атом и Россия - новое
интересное исследование
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