*[Enwl] Будущее личного автотранспорта (взгляд Блумберга)

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Mar 14, 2019, 8:46:56 AM3/14/19
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Интересная статья по будущему транспорта от Блумберга

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/features/2019-02-28/this-is-what-peak-car-looks-like

Резюме: Мировой рынок продажи авто подходит к пику продаж. Некоторые
устоявшиеся рынки их уже прошли. Причина - урбанизация и смена поведения
людей. Автомобиль в городе рассматривается не как собственность, но как
сервис для передвижения.

Некоторые цитаты:

"Young people continue to turn away from cars, with only 26 percent of
U.S. 16-year-olds earning a driver’s license in 2017, a rite of passage
that almost half that cohort would have obtained just 36 years ago"

"Increasingly, major urban centers such as London, Madrid, and Mexico
City are restricting cars’ access".

"The tipping point worldwide will come at the end of the next decade,
when self-driving cars start gaining traction, predicts Mark Wakefield,
head of the automotive practice at consultant AlixPartners. Replacing a
taxi driver with a robot cuts 60 percent from a ride’s cost, making
travel in a driverless cab much cheaper than driving your own car. “The
takeoff point is the robo-taxi,” Wakefield says. “By 2030 we have a
pretty substantial amount of sales volume coming out [of vehicle sales]
because of that.”

ну и цены конечно растут

"To boost their profit margin, automakers have been loading cars with
expensive extras and high-tech touches, pushing the average price of a
new car in the U.S. to a record $37,777 by the end of last year,
according to Kelley Blue Book. That’s caused many people to hold on to
their existing rides longer; the average age of autos on U.S. roads
reached a record 11.7 years in 2018, according to IHS".

Кстати в РФ отечественные авто перешагнули 1 млн рублевую психопланку.
При этом правительство снижает субсидирование покупки личных авто.



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Sent: Wednesday, March 13, 2019 4:36 PM
Subject: Будущее личного автотранспорта (взгляд Блумберга)


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