Global Warming: The Science is Simple
Ron House
chappie called Fred to show you why the absence of an atmospheric
hotspot is, all by itself, a complete disproof of the hypothesis of
dangerous anthropogenic global warming (AGW). For those who came in
late, the entire basis for the AGW claim is that certain unverified, and
now falsified, computer models predict a lot of warming over the coming
100 years. It is shocking, but true, that there is no actual evidence
whatsoever for this idea; it is computer models alone, and those models
are basically no more than coded guesswork. And what do these models
predict?
They predict that the world is heated by the appearance of a 'hotspot'
in the atmosphere above the equator.
But the reality is that this hotspot has failed to develop.
This is fatal, absolutely fatal; no other evidence is needed to be
completely certain that the models on which the world is preparing at
Copenhagen to destroy the economies of the west are wrong. The entire
global warming panic is so very easily exposed for what it is�but so few
people have an understanding of science that the ones with money or
power to make from the fiasco are easily making fools of politicians,
lovers of the environment, and, sadly, other scientists, by the millions.
Now before you point out that this isn't the fault of any of those
people, science education being in the deplorable state it has been for
some decades, let my stress that I used the word "understanding", not
"knowledge". I don't think much actual scientific knowledge is needed
here, but it does need some affinity with the ideals and methods of
science. And it is probably fair to say that the essence of the
scientific method was understood by people with no access to any of the
snazzy apparatus or computers of whatnot of modern times. Some say
Francis Bacon invented it. Some even claim it was Thales of Miletus, who
lived around 600B.C. So any reasonably intelligent modern person with a
decent brain plus the internet, plus literacy, plus what to the ancients
would be seen as an undeniably good life�that is, enough leisure to sit
and think once in a while�should be able to take in the basics of the
scientific method. And that, plus the courage to disagree with
establishment opinion when it is as undeniably wrong as it is at
present, is all that is needed to see and understand that we are the
victims of the biggest and most dangerous mass delusion in all history.
The important ideas of science are not difficult, and you don't need to
study stuff like Popper's philosophy of science or anything of that ilk.
All you need is ideas as simple as this: things don't happen by magic.
So, if someone makes a claim�for example, that increased CO2 is
dangerously heating the atmosphere�then they should be able to propose a
mechanism by which this is supposed to be happening, and we should be
able to test the proposal to see if it agrees with reality. Anyone who
says "It's all too complicated for li'l ol' you�leave it to us experts"
is hoodwinking you.
So with that thought in mind, check out the cartoon of Fred in bed,
showing why this whole question is really so very simple.
http://peacelegacy.org/articles/global-warming-science-simple
(And here's the previous installment:
http://peacelegacy.org/articles/how-see-yourself-global-warming-climate-models-are-false
)
--
Ron House
Building Peace: http://peacelegacy.org
Australian Birds: http://wingedhearts.org
Principle of Goodness academic site: http://principleofgoodness.net