Risk Tolerance?
No, I do not think its risk tolerance. Risk tolerance is to tolerate
certain risk, where perception of risk and its tolerable level will
not change.
The situation you describe is really risk habituation, where risk
perception change with time and result of activities in the question.
Risk of hazards are objective but unfortunately our process to
evaluate it is subjective. In our world, risk perception is a
personal experience. A lot of compaines do it in a collective way and
bring out a single number for each risk. But that is how the company
perceives this risk, the ones who are involved in the risk may not buy
in. (OK, you may argue that we shall involve these guys in the risk
evaluation. But somehow risk evaluation is subjective process. a
collective process just create a compromise result instead of a result
that everybody agrees. And in such situation, if there is a leader or
some guys hold a higher position in this evaluation process, the
result of evaluation will normally end up with his judgement)
Even a person agrees on the evaluation result at the very beginning.
say possible/severe with riding a bicycle to school (quote your
adjusted risk in your article). He will pay very attention and take
precaution at the very beginning. And because he has safe precaution,
no accident for a long time (saddly is even he has at risk behaviors,
high possibility he will be rewarded with 0 accident, Heinrich told
us) . Then he may reconsider the risk evaluation. Sooner or later,
after a enough long period of 0 accident, he will adjust the risk to
unlikely/major until a accident knocks him down. That is risk
habituation I call it.
How we can handle risk habituation? Training with real accidents? Good
ideas, but really hard to find real accidents as most companies keep
them confidential. Group discussion to exchange experience/knowledge,
a good solution but time consuming and we can not discuss each risk.
BBS? no, it will not chane perception.
So what is more effective way?
Tom
On 10月24日, 下午5时36分, Chen Tom <
tomcsc...@gmail.com> wrote:
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