Sharekhan Investor's Eye dated September 08, 2006

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Sunil

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Sep 9, 2006, 12:06:04 PM9/9/06
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Investor's Eye
[September 08, 2006] Please see the attachment for details
Summary of Contents

STOCK UPDATE

Maruti Udyog
Cluster: Apple Green
Recommendation: Buy 
Price target: Rs1,050
Current market price: Rs941

Exports to rise
Maruti Udyog Ltd (MUL) has increased its investment outlay by Rs3,000 crore. It also plans to launch a new small car by 2008. We view these developments in positive light as the same reinforce Suzuki's focus on India and its endeavour to make it an outsourcing hub. As a result, we anticipate a surge in the company's exports in the coming years. 



Satyam Computer Services

Cluster: Apple Green
Recommendation: Buy 
Price target: Rs900
Current market price: Rs797

Growth on track
The management of Satyam was quite confident of maintaining the strong growth momentum shown in the past couple of years, due to the robust demand environment, strong positioning in fast growing enterprise solution business, incremental revenues from the large deals and tapping the emerging opportunity in newer service offerings (like BPO, infrastructure management and engineering services). The cost pressures would continue but the management has levers to cushion the impact on the overall profitability so that the margin stabilises going forward. 

At the current price the stock trades at 19.4x FY2007 and 16x its FY2008 estimated earnings. We maintain our Buy recommendation with price target of Rs900. 



NIIT Technologies
Cluster: Ugly Duckling
Recommendation: Buy 
Price target: Rs296
Current market price: Rs196

A joint venture with Adecco
NIIT Technologies Ltd (NTL) has announced a joint venture with Switzerland-based Adecco SA. The joint venture would be known as Adecco-NIIT Private Ltd and will be based in India. It would have an equity capital of $3 million with equal participation from both the partners (ie 50% holding each). 

Adecco is a Fortune 500 company with annual revenues of around 18 billion euros. It is a global leader in human resource (HR) services that involves providing flexible staffing and career resources to a large client base across 70 countries globally.


MONSOON WATCH

Monsoon deficiency at 2%

With the sowing season at the fag end, the overall crop situation looks satisfactory at this stage. The rainfall for the season has improved considerably since the dry spell witnessed in June. Some parts of Maharashtra and Gujarat experienced floods, but the extent of damage to the crops is too early to be ascertained. At this stage, however, the overall picture points towards a normal kharif season.


MUTUAL GAINS

Sharekhan's top equity fund picks

We have identified the best equity-oriented schemes available in the market today based on the following parameters: the past performance as indicated by the returns, the Sharpe ratio and Fama (net selectivity).

The past performance is measured by the returns generated by the scheme. Sharpe indicates risk-adjusted returns, giving the returns earned in excess of the risk-free rate for each unit of the risk taken.

FAMA measures the returns generated through selectivity, ie the returns generated because of the fund manager's ability to pick the right stocks. A higher value of net selectivity is always preferred as it reflects the stock picking ability of the fund manager.

Regards,
The Sharekhan Research Team
myac...@sharekhan.com  

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Investor's Eye-Sep08.pdf
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