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   Spinning off Insurance and
       AMC into a listable entity — ICICI will be spinning off its holdings in
       Life Insurance, General Insurance and Asset Management businesses into a
       100%-owned holding company. The transfer – Rs19.5b (9% of capital) of
       its investment will be at book value. Management suggests a listing
       timeframe of 6-9 months, within regulatory approvals needed for this
       structure.Objectives: Raise and
       generate capital, crystalize value, management continuity — Primary
       drivers for this move appear to be: (1) creating structure to generate
       capital for and from these business and avoid regulatory roadblocks with
       the current holding structure; (2) better recognize value of its
       investments through a market-priced holding; (3) ensure management
       continuity – Ms Kalpana Morporia, Joint MD, slated to retire in
       mid-2007, will now be CEO of this entity.Capital self-sufficiency
       for the parent, the big gain — This structuring and expected capital
       raising thereafter should bring capital self-sufficiency for the parent,
       for the medium term. We see this as a positive for ICBK valuations;
       frequent access to the capital markets has, in our view, been a drag on
       ROEs, and an overhang on valuations. This should now no longer be the
       case.How much is the subsidiary
       business worth? — The value of the subsidiaries has not been ignored by
       the market; the issue is how much is recognized in ICBK's stock price.
       Our estimates suggest a value of Rs177 per share for the 3 entities
       (Rs160 for Life Insurance). This translates into about 21% of market
       value or about 16% of our target price of Rs1,125. |