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-----Original Message-----
From: Dan Wells [mailto:danb...@comcast.net]
Sent: Friday, November 06, 2009 08:48
To: skf...@effectnet.com
Subject: RE: RE: Re: Fatal Paraglider Accident Near Chalfant (Owens
Valley)
What does PDMC stand for?
Dan
Dan Wells
503 531-9406
503 539-4601 cell
What ever you want them to.
Seriously we don't have great stats and need to know hours flown,
flights etc. to really compare the activities.
My believe is that strong thermal conditions and acro make paragliding
significantly more dangerous for the average weekend pilot.
Sf
a. how many active PG and HG pilots there are in the US
b. how many hours of PG or HG are flown in the US each year
c. how these hours break down with experience or ratings
d. how often pilots get injured (accidents and incidents are under reported)
e. whether we should be talking of intermediate syndrome or advanced syndrome or what
For obvious reasons, fatalities are 'known' but (statistically speaking) they are so infrequent it's hard to draw much of a conclusion from them.
But - at least to a binary order of magnitude - I suspect PG and HG are equally dangerous. Maybe HG are 'safer' for the sort of conditions you get in the Owens and PG are better for sled rides, I don't know. Maybe PG has a shorter learning curve than HG but ultimately needs better judgement.
I know nothing about the conditions Guen encountered except from Kari's account; but conditions didn't seem to be strong. I don't buy the 'analysis' that Rick Masters offers - I found it pretty distasteful. Flying a thermic site has special demands. The further you are from the terrain, the better you can cope with a problem. I hate watching pilots ridge soaring at a strong thermic site or letting go of the controls directly off launch. It sounds as though, with an extra 100ft or 200ft of ground clearance, Guen would have been fine.
So I don't think statistics are going to help here - I think you need to look at what could have helped in this case (more ground clearance, maybe better glider control, maybe SIV training) and apply it to your flying. And maybe just accept that flying is dangerous (the more you do, the more likely you are to have an accident; the stronger the conditions you fly in, the more likely you are to have an accident; the less you train for a problem, the more likely one is to kill you).
Thinking of Guen, all the people who knew her and of Kari...
Douglas
________________________________________
From: cp...@googlegroups.com [cp...@googlegroups.com] On Behalf Of Steve Forslund [skf...@effectnet.com]
Sent: Friday, November 06, 2009 7:05 PM