Chehalem Saturday?

[James Lee]

Anyone else think Chehalem might be worth a look today?

[Reed Gleason]

Yep. Looks inverted at the coast, weak (and thunderstorms) at Detroit.

[Oleg]

Chehalem.
Sunday.

[David]

Winds in Sherwood are gusting 5-10mph from North.
Not good for chehalem.

Sent from my iPhone

[David]

Winds are light south in Sherwood. Driving to Chehalem to check it out.
Sent from my iPhone

[David]

Conditions on Chehalem launch are too light and west in the valley.

Maybe Sunday.

Sent from my iPhone

[Oleg]

2 pm:
http://www.atmos.washington.edu/mm5rt/rt/sound_gen/scripts/sound_gen.cgi?date=2012081912&type=stuve&domain=d2&hours=9&height=600&xx=&yy=&lat=45.3551&lon=122.9975&station=NA

5 pm:
http://www.atmos.washington.edu/mm5rt/rt/sound_gen/scripts/sound_gen.cgi?date=2012081912&type=stuve&domain=d2&hours=12&height=600&lat=45.3551&lon=122.9975&station=NA

I'd like to go.
I'd like to be there at 1:00-1:30.
I won't go if nobody posts about going.

:) still too early for thinking and typing

[Larry Haffner]

I could be interested, However, my MM5 shows predominately a westerly flow.(NWS)

503 705 3781. Best I can make is 2PM 

[David Cantrell]

Oleg, the coordinates of the MM5 link you sent indicate a location closer to Mt Hood area. That could be the reason for such a good looking lapse rate and consistent wind direction.

[Oleg]

On Aug 19, 10:23 am, David Cantrell <davecantre...@yahoo.com> wrote:
> Oleg, the coordinates of the MM5 link you sent indicate a location closer to Mt Hood area. That could be the reason for such a good looking lapse rate and consistent wind direction.
>

45.3551 -122.9975 is Chehalem launch.
Copy and paste into Google Maps to verify.

OK, it doesn't matter any more I guess.

[skf...@effectnet.com]

Hmmm looks west and noaa is calling for only a couple degrees between first usable lift and max temp?

Silverstar, at least it will be cooler up there.

driving across the desert to el paso(12 week project) flew my new hang glider yesterday at crestline  sorry no photos but big clouds over the back

SF

Sent from my HTC on the Now Network from Sprint!

[Reed Gleason]

Using the sounding generator centered at Chehalem launch, I got a similar picture to Oleg's.
I think I'm going to stay in town and get to Chehalem around 2:00 - 3:00.
See you there, Oleg?

On Sun, 19 Aug 2012 10:23:10 -0700, David Cantrell <daveca...@yahoo.com> wrote:

> Oleg, the coordinates of the MM5 link you sent indicate a location closer to Mt Hood area. That could be the reason for such a good looking lapse rate and consistent wind direction.
>
>

> ________________________________

[Oleg]

On Aug 19, 10:47 am, "Reed Gleason" <ree...@comcast.net> wrote:
> Using the sounding generator centered at Chehalem launch, I got a similar picture to Oleg's.
> I think I'm going to stay in town and get to Chehalem around 2:00 - 3:00.
> See you there, Oleg?

Yes.

[Glen Baker]

Hmm...xcskies shows a different forecast than the MM5 that Oleg posted. The xcskies forecast is weird. The GFS model shows winds light and out of the West. NAM and RAP models show winds light and out of the NW or NNW depending on the model. I think the thing they all agree on is the winds will be light.

..glen

[Glen Baker]

Even with the variable forecast, I think I'll head out there at 2:00 since:

a) I've got a new wing that's dying to get out of the bag.

b) Chehalem is relatively close.

c) I'm bored.

..glen

[Oleg Sotnik]

On Sun, Aug 19, 2012 at 11:22 AM, Glen Baker <gl...@coakley-baker.com> wrote:

> Hmm...xcskies shows a different forecast than the MM5 that Oleg posted. The
> xcskies forecast is weird. The GFS model shows winds light and out of the
> West. NAM and RAP models show winds light and out of the NW or NNW depending
> on the model. I think the thing they all agree on is the winds will be
> light.
>
> ..glen

Hey, it's very simple: light base wind on launch + a thermal cycle (if
you are lucky and time it right) and you're a few feet above. And if
you are lucky again you catch something and start working it (the
diagram shows a possibility). Definitely not a ridge soaring day. If
not, it's a sledder and I have no problem with that since I haven't
flown in about 3 weeks.
Chehalem is close and I like the scenery.

As to UofW GFS MM5 - this is in my opinion the most reliable source of
forecast for this area. Nothing comes close to it.

[Bill Briskey]

I'll be there too.

Bill B