On Saturday, August 18, 2012 10:06:49 AM UTC-7, Dave Cantrell wrote:
> Analysis of Chehalem:
> Chehalem looks good according to WUG but the pressure differentials
> between Peterson Butte, McMinville through Hillsboro only show 0.01 inHg.
> So, wind flow looks too light.
> MM5 shows 0-5knots but a lapse rate to +3K ft after 2pm. XcSkies shows
> great thermals also, light winds all day. The dopler radar shows the
> cloud cover could dispate by early afternoon (maybe by 2pm). That would
> allow the lapse rate to potentially come true. But soaring would be
> totally dependent on being able to work those thermals.
> Coastal Analysis:
> WUG shows promissing wind conditions but the pressure diff between Lincoln
> City to Garibaldi only shows 0.01inHg. So, wind strength is too light for
> soaring. MM5 shows 0-5knts with a really low inversion. XcSkies shows
> light winds all day but increasing by 5pm to 5-10pm.
> Since I live close to Chahalem, If the cloud cover does dissipate I plan
> to give Chehalem Ridge a try. I suspect that will be by 2pm.
> I got some work todo but if cloud cover dissipates and I can get up to the
> Ridge sooner I will post an update.
> Dave