Oleg, the coordinates of the MM5 link you sent indicate a location closer to Mt Hood area. That could be the reason for such a good looking lapse rate and consistent wind direction.
________________________________ From: Larry Haffner <lghaff...@gmail.com> To: oleg.sot...@gmail.com Cc: Cascade Paragliding Club <cpcl@googlegroups.com> Sent: Sunday, August 19, 2012 10:09 AM Subject: Re: CPC: Chehalem Sunday
I could be interested, However, my MM5 shows predominately a westerly flow.(NWS) 503 705 3781. Best I can make is 2PM
On Sun, Aug 19, 2012 at 9:34 AM, Oleg <oleg.sot...@gmail.com> wrote:
On Aug 19, 10:23 am, David Cantrell <davecantre...@yahoo.com> wrote:
> Oleg, the coordinates of the MM5 link you sent indicate a location closer to Mt Hood area. That could be the reason for such a good looking lapse rate and consistent wind direction.
45.3551 -122.9975 is Chehalem launch.
Copy and paste into Google Maps to verify.
Using the sounding generator centered at Chehalem launch, I got a similar picture to Oleg's.
I think I'm going to stay in town and get to Chehalem around 2:00 - 3:00.
See you there, Oleg?
On Sun, 19 Aug 2012 10:23:10 -0700, David Cantrell <davecantre...@yahoo.com> wrote:
> Oleg, the coordinates of the MM5 link you sent indicate a location closer to Mt Hood area. That could be the reason for such a good looking lapse rate and consistent wind direction.
> ________________________________
> From: Larry Haffner <lghaff...@gmail.com>
> To: oleg.sot...@gmail.com
> Cc: Cascade Paragliding Club <cpcl@googlegroups.com>
> Sent: Sunday, August 19, 2012 10:09 AM
> Subject: Re: CPC: Chehalem Sunday
> I could be interested, However, my MM5 shows predominately a westerly flow.(NWS)
> 503 705 3781. Best I can make is 2PM
> On Sun, Aug 19, 2012 at 9:34 AM, Oleg <oleg.sot...@gmail.com> wrote:
On Aug 19, 10:47 am, "Reed Gleason" <ree...@comcast.net> wrote:
> Using the sounding generator centered at Chehalem launch, I got a similar picture to Oleg's.
> I think I'm going to stay in town and get to Chehalem around 2:00 - 3:00.
> See you there, Oleg?
Hmm...xcskies shows a different forecast than the MM5 that Oleg posted. The
xcskies forecast is weird. The GFS model shows winds light and out of the
West. NAM and RAP models show winds light and out of the NW or NNW
depending on the model. I think the thing they all agree on is the winds
will be light.
On Sun, Aug 19, 2012 at 11:00 AM, Oleg <oleg.sot...@gmail.com> wrote:
> On Aug 19, 10:47 am, "Reed Gleason" <ree...@comcast.net> wrote:
> > Using the sounding generator centered at Chehalem launch, I got a
> similar picture to Oleg's.
> > I think I'm going to stay in town and get to Chehalem around 2:00 - 3:00.
> > See you there, Oleg?
On Sun, Aug 19, 2012 at 11:22 AM, Glen Baker <g...@coakley-baker.com> wrote:
> Hmm...xcskies shows a different forecast than the MM5 that Oleg posted.
> The xcskies forecast is weird. The GFS model shows winds light and out of
> the West. NAM and RAP models show winds light and out of the NW or NNW
> depending on the model. I think the thing they all agree on is the winds
> will be light.
> ..glen
> On Sun, Aug 19, 2012 at 11:00 AM, Oleg <oleg.sot...@gmail.com> wrote:
>> On Aug 19, 10:47 am, "Reed Gleason" <ree...@comcast.net> wrote:
>> > Using the sounding generator centered at Chehalem launch, I got a
>> similar picture to Oleg's.
>> > I think I'm going to stay in town and get to Chehalem around 2:00 -
>> 3:00.
>> > See you there, Oleg?
On Sun, Aug 19, 2012 at 11:22 AM, Glen Baker <g...@coakley-baker.com> wrote:
> Hmm...xcskies shows a different forecast than the MM5 that Oleg posted. The
> xcskies forecast is weird. The GFS model shows winds light and out of the
> West. NAM and RAP models show winds light and out of the NW or NNW depending
> on the model. I think the thing they all agree on is the winds will be
> light.
> ..glen
Hey, it's very simple: light base wind on launch + a thermal cycle (if
you are lucky and time it right) and you're a few feet above. And if
you are lucky again you catch something and start working it (the
diagram shows a possibility). Definitely not a ridge soaring day. If
not, it's a sledder and I have no problem with that since I haven't
flown in about 3 weeks.
Chehalem is close and I like the scenery.
As to UofW GFS MM5 - this is in my opinion the most reliable source of
forecast for this area. Nothing comes close to it.
> On Sun, Aug 19, 2012 at 11:22 AM, Glen Baker <g...@coakley-baker.com> wrote:
>> Hmm...xcskies shows a different forecast than the MM5 that Oleg posted. The
>> xcskies forecast is weird. The GFS model shows winds light and out of the
>> West. NAM and RAP models show winds light and out of the NW or NNW depending
>> on the model. I think the thing they all agree on is the winds will be
>> light.
>> ..glen
> Hey, it's very simple: light base wind on launch + a thermal cycle (if
> you are lucky and time it right) and you're a few feet above. And if
> you are lucky again you catch something and start working it (the
> diagram shows a possibility). Definitely not a ridge soaring day. If
> not, it's a sledder and I have no problem with that since I haven't
> flown in about 3 weeks.
> Chehalem is close and I like the scenery.
> As to UofW GFS MM5 - this is in my opinion the most reliable source of
> forecast for this area. Nothing comes close to it.
