The Law of Accelerating Returns

[Sky89]

Hello,

An analysis of the history of technology shows that technological change
is exponential, contrary to the common-sense “intuitive linear” view. So
we won’t experience 100 years of progress in the 21st century — it will
be more like 20,000 years of progress (at today’s rate). The “returns,”
such as chip speed and cost-effectiveness, also increase exponentially.
There’s even exponential growth in the rate of exponential growth.
Within a few decades, machine intelligence will surpass human
intelligence, leading to The Singularity — technological change so rapid
and profound it represents a rupture in the fabric of human history. The
implications include the merger of biological and nonbiological
intelligence, immortal software-based humans, and ultra-high levels of
intelligence that expand outward in the universe at the speed of light.


Read the rest here:

The Law of Accelerating Returns

http://www.kurzweilai.net/the-law-of-accelerating-returns



Thank you,
Amine Moulay Ramdane.