cc stated in post
18709416.1109.1333734979690.JavaMail.geo-discussion-forums@ynpp8 on 4/6/12
10:56 AM:
> On Friday, April 6, 2012 11:38:52 AM UTC-4, Snit wrote:
>> cc stated in post
>> 11888312.926.1333724431936.JavaMail.geo-discussion-forums@ynmc17 on 4/6/12
>> 8:00 AM:
>>
>>
>>> So your stance is that Linux usage has been trending upward over the last
>>> 10+
>>> years?
>>
>> Please show where you think I mentioned anything about a 10 year trend line.
>>
>> Oh.
>>
>> You made that up. The reality is I have made no comments about that... at
>> least not related to this topic.
>>
>
> I said it's the same as it ever was, and mentioned how Linux usage has been 1%
> for a decade. You said "And you base this on..." And I base this on the 10
> year trend of Linux usage. Then you decided to disagree based on a one year
> trend:
But now you have been shown what over the last year, and when you freaked
out about that, since Oct. 2010 it has *not* been doing a you said but been,
on average, increasing (having an upward trend line) you are not going to
admit you are wrong.
And let us keep the context clear, you got your panties in a bunch when I
noted that the greater focus on UI consistency and overall quality is likely
to lead to an increase in users. When it was noted that reports were coming
out that Linux desktop usage share were increasing, I noted that this made
sense to me - fit with my predictions: make a more usable / consistent
system (one where users can be more productive, are less prone to errors,
find more enjoyment in using it, etc.) and you are likely to get more users.
I also spoke of their being some lag time.
Repeatedly we keep seeing stories of how Gnome or KDE or - more importantly
- different distros are focusing on the UI issues. This is a good thing.
And while it is not the only weakness of desktop Linux (nor even the only
significant one), the idea that this has gained focus is a very good thing.
And while it is not sufficient to bring desktop Linux on par with the
competition, it makes sense that such an improvement in such a way can be
logically predicted to bring in more users. This is pretty much a given...
I mean, really, how much thought does it take to figure out that if you make
a free and easily accessible tool more productive, less error prone, and
more enjoyable to use that more people are likely to use it.
Now, of course, the above is not happening in a vacuum: there are
improvements in other OSs / environments, there *may* be a small "halo"
affect from Android (though that is questionable), etc. And, of course, all
of this ignore another key component of desktop Linux usage: what
applications are available and what quality are they. But with that I see
nothing indicating the quality has gone done - though one can argue if it
has improved as quickly as the competition (the quality is a comparative
analysis, at least to some extent).
What I think happened, and you can correct me if I am wrong, is you got so
caught up in all these other variables (and I am sure I left some out) and
you then decided you would disagree with me because, well - face it, that is
a major past time of yours. You love to disagree.
When the increase in Linux usage was reported, you just were not going to
accept that my long-standing predictions are being supported. So you
decided to disagree. And, joy-of-joy to you, for the last couple of months
there has been a significant *downward* trend, at least based on the best
stats we have.
Aha!, you thought - now I have Snit. You figured you could finally prove me
wrong. You can show there is no upward movement. Heck, over the last
couple of months you can show how the trend line of usage share has been
dropping significantly.
But then came a better look at the data. First the year-over-year data which
was very supportive of my claims, even with the recent down trend. But
you decided to call a year-over-year look arbitrary (which was really rather
absurd of you), and you said we should use all of the data provided by the
same source. You even asked me to show the trend line (you show no ability
to figure out how to get one yourself).
Lo and behold, I did as you asked (as you have seen, I am a very kind person
who often goes out of my way to help even people such as yourself who, face
it, do all you can to spit on me out of jealousy or whatever). When I
looked at your data I found, of course, that there is still an upward trend
line.
Just as I predicted there should be.
Now a pickle for you. My data supported my view - the one you pretend to
have enough knowledge to have an intelligent disagreement with. And then
your own data did the same thing.
Slam dunk. You were wrong. The data - yours and mine - both fit with my
predictions, even with the last couple months of significant dropping.
This is where you - if you were a mature and intelligent adult - would
acknowledge this trend line and admit that, yes, my prediction is holding
true. Maybe, since your goal is simply to disagree with me, you would
attribute to the trend to something else, say the halo effect or
astrological movements or whatever meaningless drivel popped into your head
(because, face it, you do not have the industry experience or knowledge to
make any reasoned explanations to counter mine).
But you did not do this. You just went on insisting, contrary to my data
*and your own*, that you were right.
You just gave up. You made it so your trolling, which it is clear is all
you are doing, just is not as much fun. So, cc, at least try: come up with
some other explanation where you can pretend to have a reasoned disagreement
with me (we both know you can only pretend this, given how you are not
capable of making reasoned arguments). That would be fun.
I will give you another chance... as I have noted, I am a kind and generous
man, but if you just keep running from the data you show you are not even
trying to sound reasonable. And that is no fun... I want a third party to
be able to come into this thread and at least have to think a little to
figure out who is making sense. But any reasonable person who sees this:
<
http://tmp.gallopinginsanity.com/LinuxTrendMar2012Snit-vs-cc.png> and then
sees you are still in denial - well, they will immediately see how absurd
you are being.
And look below where you try to pretend my comments and predictions were
about the last 10 years. No, that is just silly. You are doing nothing but
focusing on a change of goal posts I did not call you on.
My original prediction is still being shown to be upheld, though the next
few months might flatten that trend line or even push it down. Certainly
the last two months have gone against the trend... and in a *big way*.
Now I have theories and reasons for this - and, frankly - it would not
really be contrary to my overall claims that focus on the UI, if successful,
will bring new users. It may very well be that the focus on the UI is one
of the key reasons why the upswing was so high for about six months. As far
as I know, nobody else has offered a better explanation (which is not to say
it is the full reason). Once they use it, though, it clearly is still not
on par with the competition... and there are now a lot of people leaving it
or, at best, a lack of growth (we would have to compare the percentages with
the overall growth of the market).
> cc: "This month last year Linux was attracting users at the same rate as this
> year and at the same rate 10 years ago, all the while improving the UI."
> Snit: "See above where the best data we have is discussed and where you are
> shown there is, at least, a reported upward trend."
>
> I was obviously referring to the past 10 years, and you disagree saying there
> is an upward trend. If you don't think Linux has been trending upwards over
> the past 10 years, then you have a weird way of agreeing with me.
>
> To get back on topic, I think we both agree that Linux has been stagnant in
> terms of percentage of users over the past decade. We can start there.
There have been ups and downs, but, as I noted and as you were disagreeing
with me, there has been an upward trend at about the same time (with a lag)
as there has been an increased focus on the UI. I have not been following
desktop Linux percentage use for the last 10 years and, unlike you, will not
pretend to have knowledge of information I do not. I simply shall not sink
to your level (a common theme in our "discussions")
Oh, and again, the question you keep running from (the one that makes it so
obvious you are not even trying to be reasonable). Given this:
I predicted you would run. And you proved that, again, my predictions tend
to be correct. See: even when you troll me with the goal to make me look
wrong you end up supporting me. I love how you put yourself into no-win
situations with your trolling. It is one of the things that makes you so
amusing.
--
🙈🙉🙊