By Gregory Chin of York University,
Canada
The announcement of
Robert Zoellick’s departure as World Bank president has
triggered another round of debate on the selection of the next head of a major
Bretton Woods institution. Demands are growing to break the 65-year old
tradition of automatically selecting an American the next head of the World
Bank. There are other clear alternatives.
At a
time when the advanced economies would prefer to talk about correcting global
macroeconomic imbalances of trade and finance, for the South, the imbalances are
more basic: including North-South representational imbalances in global
institutions.
Brazil is among those urging that proper consideration be given
to developing country candidates.
Guido Manteaga, Brazil’s finance minister,
said: “There is no reason that the president of the World Bank is a specific
nationality. It should just be someone competent and capable.”
He added: “Our
goal is that emerging countries have the same chance to compete to lead these
multilateral organizations.”
Mantega doesn’t have to look far. How about
Lula?
Under the leadership of Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva [president from 2003
to 2010], Brazil went into the global financial crisis strong and well governed
and emerged more quickly than most advanced economies. Its banks and
multinationals, meanwhile, have continued to ascend up the global ranks.
Lula
has been one of the most charismatic leaders from the Global South over the past
decade. His profile has been robust at G20 summits, calling out those who
mismanaged the world economy, and demanding reforms to correct outdated
representational arrangements in the global economic system.
His credentials
as a champion of the developing economies are strong. He has travelled the
globe, advocating for stronger South-South ties, including with Africa, and
within the Brics, and has thrown support behind regional forums for South
America. He has demanded a greater voice for developing countries in global
decision making and agenda setting.
Lula is respected by opinion shapers in
the North. Brazil has made substantial contributions to multilateral
institutions, from the UN system, to giving more than China to the International
Development Association (IDA), the World Bank’s fund for the poorest
countries.
In the policy influence world, both Chatham House in London, and
Sciences Po in Paris, awarded Lula with “person of the year” type
honours.
The appointment of the former Brazilian president would not by
itself solve the legitimacy challenges that the World Bank faces.
Although
the credibility problems of the Bank are not as severe as those of the IMF, it
should not be forgotten that it was only four years ago that the Bank appointed
its first chief economist from the developing world – from China.
The
symbolism of appointing Lula would be hard to miss.
For the US, it would
break America’s hold on the presidency and could be seen as bringing risk at a
time when many around the world are questioning the model of development that
the Bank should be promoting. The global financial crisis shook the previous
assumptions.
However, with Lula as president, the Bank would be led by
someone who has fought courageously for democracy, equality and social justice.
There would be agreement, at least at this level, on the good governance
model.
For the traditional and has-been-great powers, this upside of Lula
should not be underestimated.
If, for health reasons, Lula would prefer not
to take up the position – a totally understandable response – the search should
then turn to someone with similar, even if not equal, credentials.