GHG Projections Data

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CAIT

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Jun 29, 2009, 4:44:01 PM6/29/09
to WRI's Climate Analysis Indicators Tool
Originally emailed to ca...@wri.org:

I'm wondering where I might find the best 50-year projections on GG
emissions under "business as usual." Would it be in the 2007 IPCC
reports, or are there more recent projections taking account of the
last two years of data?

Phil Cafaro
Associate Professor of Philosophy
Colorado State University

Tom

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Jun 29, 2009, 4:46:37 PM6/29/09
to WRI's Climate Analysis Indicators Tool
Phil,

Thanks for your question. The IPCC is indeed probably a good place to
start. Their "A1F1" scenario is an estimate of "business as usual" out
to 2100. Other "business as usual" projections typically go out only
to 2030 or, in some cases, 2050. A few others that we've used for CAIT
in the past are included in:

The International Energy Agency's World Energy Outlook:
http://www.worldenergyoutlook.org/

The Energy Information Administration's International Energy Outlook:
http://www.eia.doe.gov/oiaf/ieo/index.html

And outputs from the European Commission's POLES model; see the
following report: http://ec.europa.eu/research/energy/pdf/weto-h2_en.pdf

Hope this helps. Let me know if you have any additional questions.

--Tom, CAIT manager

On Jun 29, 4:44 pm, CAIT <caitsupp...@gmail.com> wrote:
> Originally emailed to c...@wri.org:
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