Perilous Times and Global Warming
Tropical depression in Caribbean heads for Cuba
By PAUL HAVEN
The Associated Press
Tuesday, September 28, 2010; 11:39 PM
HAVANA -- Cuba braced for heavy rains and high winds late Tuesday from
a tropical depression that formed in the northern Caribbean earlier in
the day and headed for the island on a path that would take it on to
Florida.
The storm's center was about 95 miles (155 kilometers) south-southeast
of Havana, moving northeast at 8 mph (17 kph), according to the U.S.
National Hurricane Center in Miami. Its projected path would take it
directly over the Cuban capital and surrounding provinces.
Maximum sustained winds were 35 mph (55 kph), but the depression was
forecast to strengthen some during the night and become a tropical
storm. It was expected to be near or over southeastern Florida by
Wednesday evening.
Cuba's chief meteorologist, Jose Rubiera, said the weather system was
large but disorganized and weak. He said the heaviest rains were
expected to hit east of the storm's center in an area from Matanzas
province to Las Tunas in the eastern part of the island.
Rubiera said the storm was already dumping rain on the island's
southern coast Tuesday night, and predicted the rainfall would cause
more problems in some mountainous regions and low-lying areas than the
winds associated with the storm.
"Don't be afraid," he said during the evening newscast on state
television, pointing to a model showing dark moisture associated with
the storm moving over the heart of the island. "This means little in
practical life."
He went on to forecast that top wind speeds would rise to no more than
50 mph (80 kph). "Those winds will not cause any damage, except
possibly to sensitive crops or weak structures," he said.
An official bulletin issued by the communist government warned citizens
in areas facing heavy rains to be especially vigilant, keeping a close
eye on the storm's trajectory.
Cuba has a well-trained civil defense force noted for its fast response
to natural disasters. The country often orders large-scale evacuations
ahead of even moderate storms. But no such evacuations were immediately
announced, and state media had no word on the activation of emergency
plans.
While the 2010 Atlantic hurricane season has been unusually active,
Tuesday's storm is the first to directly threaten Cuba. The island was
devastated by three hurricanes in 2008, but was entirely spared last
year.
Serious damage from a hurricane this year could be a major blow to the
cash-strapped government as it attempts to right its weak economy. This
month, Cuba's communist leaders announced that a half-million state
employees would be laid off and reforms implemented to allow more
private enterprise.
A tropical storm warning was in effect from Matanzas province eastward
to Ciego de Avila in Cuba, as well as the northwestern and central
Bahamas and in Florida from Jupiter Inlet to the Keys.
The depression's effects were already being felt south of Cuba in the
Cayman Islands, where meteorologists said more than four inches (10
centimeters) of rain in just 12 hours caused flooding. Public schools
closed at midday Tuesday, and government workers who live in low-lying
areas were allowed to leave early.
Chief Grand Cayman Meteorologist John Tibbetts said 5- to 7-foot (1.5-
to 2-meter) waves were forecast through Wednesday night and warned
boaters to remain ashore.
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Eds: Associated Press Writer Tammie Chisholm in Grand Cayman, Cayman
Islands, contributed to this report.