Perilous Times and Climate Change
Obama declares record number of federal natural disasters
Lee Bowman/Scripps Howard News Service
Wednesday, November 10, 2010
WASHINGTON, D.C. — The White House and the Federal Emergency Management
Agency passed a mayhem milestone late last month -- issuing a record
number of presidential disaster declarations for any calendar year,
with nearly two months to go.
President Barack Obama's Oct. 26 determination that Puerto Rico needed
federal aid after a tropical storm was the 76th major disaster
declaration issued this year. Two more followed in the first week of
November.
The previous high mark for major disaster declarations was 75, set in
2008 by President George W. Bush and in 1996 by President Bill Clinton.
Nearly half of the presidential disaster declarations issued since 1953
came from the three most recent White House occupants -- a trend many
observers say has as much to do with government policy and politics as
it does with more bad weather or even community vulnerability to a
stormier climate.
FEMA and government weather scientists agree that 2010 has so far
lacked signature disasters like a major hurricane or big outburst of
tornadoes. The bulk of the declarations resulted from epic snowstorms
that hit the Mid-Atlantic states last winter and numerous severe storms
that spawned tornadoes and flooding from Texas to Tennessee to
Minnesota.
"The two biggest things about severe weather this year was that there
were a lot of winter storms, with some brutal cold associated with
them, and then during the spring and summer there were a lot of places
that really got pounded by flooding, and those both tend to affect
larger areas," said Harold Brooks, a researcher at the National Severe
Storms Laboratory in Norman, Okla.
FEMA officials said many of the storms each impacted several states,
resulting in separate declarations for each jurisdiction.
There also have been major incidents this year that weren't declared
disasters, most notably the BP oil spill. FEMA also turned down
declaration requests from Texas Gov. Rick Perry related to flooding
from Tropical Storm Hermine and from California Gov. Arnold
Schwarznenegger after the natural gas pipeline explosion in San Bruno
in September.
Governors typically ask for federal help with a disaster when it
appears that emergency response and recovery needs will overwhelm the
capacity of state and local governments. FEMA reviews the state request
and has assessment teams do damage estimates before making a
recommendation to the White House. The president has complete
discretion to make a declaration or not.
The president has other emergency powers that he can use to deploy the
military and other federal agencies to help in disasters even before
they strike.
But it takes a declaration of a major disaster to trigger most relief
programs through which the federal government picks up 75 percent or
more of the tab for repairing roads, bridges and other infrastructure,
debris removal, and more. Often, FEMA also offers individual disaster
grants to families.
The first disaster relief bill was passed in 1803 to aid Portsmouth,
N.H., merchants after a fire burned the town's main street. From then
until the 1950s, Congress enacted more than 100 pieces of legislation
responding to calamities.
The system was updated in 1950 to give the president power to issue
disaster declarations and provide direct assistance to governments. It
has been reformed and expanded several times since.
A 1998 update expanded the list of disasters to include crop losses;
freezes; nuclear, biological and chemical incidents; civil unrest; and
terrorism.
Over the years, governors' requests have increasingly been granted.
"It used to be that governors' requests were turned down about a third
of the time, but those odds have increased to 75 percent being approved
since 1988," said Richard Sylves, who has analyzed disaster aid
requests as a professor at the University of Delaware and George
Washington University. "There are a lot of marginal requests and some
are turned down, but a lot get through."
Some researchers have found evidence that partisan alignment or being a
battleground state with a lot of electoral votes can tip the scales on
disaster requests. But Sylves said he and colleagues found politics
makes a difference only "in recent years when sitting presidents (were)
running for re-election -- Clinton in 1996, Bush in 2004." Recent
presidents have become much more aware of the need to appear responsive
when a disaster strikes.
Both Bush presidencies were dogged by disasters to which the federal
response appeared insufficient: Hurricane Andrew in Florida in 1992,
when President George H.W. Bush was in office, and Hurricane Katrina in
New Orleans in 2005 during the younger Bush' s second term.
"With the 24-hour media cycle, the spotlight is on every event, every
storm, and this creates tremendous pressure for the White House to act.
I've heard reports of the White House calling governors and asking why
they haven't asked for a declaration," Sylves said.
But he also notes that state emergency managers and governors can more
quickly map and assess damage and "have gotten smarter in terms of
what's likely to qualify," which may have increased the approval rate.
Others suggest that state and local budgets are less able than the
national government to absorb disaster costs. "A lot of times local and
state governments really can't afford to respond in the ways that are
necessary without having federal expertise on the ground and
reimbursement of costs, particularly in the tough economic times of the
past several years," said Audrey Heffron-Casserleigh, director of the
Center for Disaster Risk Policy at Florida State University.
Federal disaster costs have soared with the growth in disaster
declarations: -- $29 billion under Clinton;
-- More than $88 billion under Bush, including $40 billion for
hurricanes Katrina and Rita alone in 2005. His administration's final
tab won't be known until all relief operations started on his watch
wind down.
-- More than $2 billion so far under Obama, plus a $5.1 billion
supplemental appropriation approved by Congress last summer to meet
holdover obligations from Katrina and other incidents while also
preparing to pay for the still-growing list of 2010 disasters.