Perilous Times and Climate Change
Thousands Of Undiscovered Plant Species Face Extinction
by Staff Writers
Durham NC (SPX) Jul 09, 2010
Faced with threats such as habitat loss and climate change, thousands
of rare flowering plant species worldwide may become extinct before
scientists can even discover them, according to a paper published by a
trio of American and British researchers in the journal Proceedings of
the Royal Society B.
"Scientists have estimated that, overall, there could be between 5
million and 50 million species, but fewer than 2 million of these
species have been discovered to date," says lead author Lucas Joppa of
Microsoft Research in Cambridge, U.K., who received his doctorate from
Duke University earlier this year.
"Using novel methods, we were able to refine the estimate of total
species for flowering plants, and calculate how many of those remain
undiscovered."
Based on data from the online World Checklist of Selected Plant
Families at the Royal Botanic Gardens, Kew, the scientists calculated
that there are between 10 and 20 percent more undiscovered flowering
plant species than previously estimated. This finding has "enormous
conservation implications, as any as-yet-unknown species are likely to
be overwhelmingly rare and threatened," Joppa says.
The new, more accurate estimate can be used to infer the proportion of
all threatened species, says coauthor David Roberts of the Durrell
Institute of Conservation and Ecology at the University of Kent.
"If we take the number of species that are currently known to be
threatened, and add to that those that are yet to be discovered, we can
estimate that between 27 percent and 33 percent of all flowering plants
will be threatened with extinction," he says.
"That percentage reflects the global impact of factors such as habitat
loss. It may increase if you factor in other threats such as climate
change," Joppa adds.
"The timing couldn't be more perfect," says co-author Stuart Pimm,
Doris Duke Professor of Conservation Ecology at Duke's Nicholas School
of the Environment. "The year 2010 is the International Year of
Biodiversity. We wrote the paper to help answer the obvious questions:
How much biodiversity is out there, and how many species will we lose
before they are even discovered?"