Perilous Times
US Government 'hiding true amount of national debt'
* By Gregory Bresiger
* From: NewsCore
* September 20, 2010 9:09AM
THE actual figure of the US' national debt is much higher than the
official sum of $US13.4 trillion ($14.3 trillion) given by the
Congressional Budget Office, according to analysts cited on Sunday by
the New York Post.
"The Government is lying about the amount of debt. It is engaging in
Enron accounting," said Laurence Kotlikoff, an economist at Boston
University and co-author of The Coming Generational Storm: What You
Need to Know about America's Economic Future.
"The problem is we're seeing an explosion in spending," added Andrew
Moylan, director of government affairs for the National Taxpayers Union.
In 1980, the debt - the accumulated red ink incurred by the Federal
Government - was $US909 billion.
This represented some 33 per cent of gross domestic product, according
to the Congressional Budget Office (CBO).
Thirty years later, based on this year's second-quarter numbers, the
CBO said the debt was $US13.4 trillion, or 92 per cent of GDP.
The CBO estimates the debt will be at $US16.5 trillion in two years, or
100.6 per cent of GDP.
But these numbers are incomplete.
They do not count off-budget obligations such as required spending for
Social Security and Medicare, whose programs represent a balloon
payment for the Government as more Americans retire and collect
benefits.
In the case of Social Security, beginning in 2016, the US Government
will be paying out more than it is collecting in taxes.
Without basic measures - such as payment cuts or higher payroll taxes -
the system could be on the road to bankruptcy, according to officials.
"Without changes," wrote Social Security Commissioner Michael Astrue,
"by 2037 the Social Security Trust Fund will be exhausted. There will
be enough money only to pay about $US0.76 for each dollar of benefits."
Mr Kotlikoff and Mr Moylan agree US national debt is much more than the
official $US13.4 trillion number, but they disagree over how to add up
the exact number.
Mr Kotlikoff says the debt is actually $US200 trillion.
Mr Moylan says the number is likely about $US60 trillion.
That is close to the figure quoted by David Walker, the US Comptroller
General from 1998 to 2008.
He launched a campaign to convince Americans that the federal spending
and debt is a greater threat than terrorism.
But whichever figure is accurate, all three agree that the problem has
worsened in the last few years.
They say it is because Congress and the Administration, whether
Republican or Democrat, consistently overspend.