Perilous
Times
Europe set to announce ban on Iranian oil, William Hague
says
Europe will agree sanctions banning the purchase of oil from Iran
by the end of the month, William Hague, the foreign secretary,
said on Sunday as Saudi Arabia promised it could boost output to
make up the shortfall.
Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, sanctions banning the
purchase of oil from Iran to be implemented by the end of the
month
By Richard Spencer, Middle East Correspondent
6:16PM GMT 15 Jan 2012
The Telegraph UK
Mr Hague was speaking as part of what appeared to be a concerted
ramping up of pressure on Iran from the EU. His German and French
counterparts sent the same message in separate interviews,
insisting that the Iranian regime was continuing its work on
nuclear weapons and additionally threatening to block dealings
with its Central Bank.
He repeated long-standing government policy that military action
was being neither ruled in or out, but said: "This is an
increasingly dangerous situation that Iran is developing a
military nuclear programme.
"Our sanctions are part of getting Iran to change course and to
enter negotiations."
Israel, the United States, the EU and Iran's Arab neighbours in
the Gulf, mostly hostile, are engaged in a complex game of threat
and counter-threat with Iran in the hope of persuading it to back
down from its nuclear programme without having to use force, which
even its proponents admit could have disastrous consequences.
Saudi Arabia's oil production currently stands at 10 million
barrels per day, against a potential capacity estimated at 12.5
million, though whether it could in practice achieve that has been
questioned.
Iran is the second-largest producer in OPEC, the oil cartel,
producing 3.5 million barrels per day.
While proposing sanctions, the West also fears that they could
trigger a rise in the oil price, damaging already fragile
economies further.
The Saudi oil minister, Ali al-Naimi, said in a newspaper
interview at the weekend that the country was "prepared to meet
the increase in global demand as a result of any circumstances".
This brought an angry response from Iran, whose OPEC
representative, Mohammad Ali Khatibi, warning that a compensatory
increase would "not be considered friendly".
"If the oil producing nations on the Persian Gulf decide to
substitute Iran's oil, then they will be held responsible for what
happens," he said.
Iran has already threatened to close the Straits of Hormuz if oil
exports are sanctioned, an act which the United States said would
be tantamount to an act of war.
The brinkmanship may be aimed at influencing Israel as much as
Iran.
Israel's prime minister, Benjamin Netanyahu, and defence minister,
Ehud Barak, are both thought to favour a pre-emptive strike on
Iran's nuclear facilities.
They have refused to promise the Obama administration that it
would at least receive advance warning of such an attack – a
refusal likely to be discussed by General Martin Dempsey, the US
chairman of the joint chiefs of staff, who is to visit Israel
later this week.