Perilous
Times
US stocks continue to plunge on recession warning
* From correspondents in New York
* From: AFP
* August 19, 2011 4:39AM
US stock markets have plunged around four per cent after
investment bank Morgan Stanley warned that the United States and
Europe were teetering on the brink of a new recession.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 436.92 points (3.8 per
cent) to 10,973.29 as of 1am AEST today.
The broader S&P 500 sank 48.13 points (4.0 per cent) to
1145.75, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite fell 110.32 points
(4.4 per cent) to 2401.16.
Morgan Stanley said its new forecasts showed the United States and
the eurozone "hovering dangerously close to recession".
The bank cut its 2011 global growth outlook to 3.9 per cent from
4.2 per cent, and the 2012 forecast to 3.8 per cent from 4.5 per
cent.
Adding to the market fears, the US Federal Reserve Bank of
Philadelphia revealed that manufacturing in the mid-Atlantic
states took a sharp hit in August.
The bank said manufacturing activity "dipped significantly",
lowering its index to negative 30.7 in August from positive 3.2 in
July.
RDQ Economics described the Philadelphia report as "shockingly
weak" and noted that "you have to go back to the depths of the
2008/09 recession and financial crisis to see as weak a reading".
Separately, the Labor Department reported that new claims for
unemployment benefits rose back above 400,000 last week,
underscoring the continued weakness of the US labour market.
"Morgan Stanley becoming the latest firm to lower its economic
outlook certainly adds fuel to the fire regarding global growth
prospects," said David Campione, an analyst with Briefing.com.
"But this morning's sell-off is not coming from any new catalyst.
Instead, it is a continuation of the negative sentiment that has
plagued the market these last few weeks."
US bank stocks were battered, with Bank of America sliding 6.6 per
cent and Citigroup plummeting 8.4 per cent.
All 30 of the Dow's blue-chip stocks were down. Some of the
hardest-hit companies were tech giant Hewlett-Packard, down 6.5
per cent, and aluminum producer Alcoa, down 5.3 per cent.
Bond prices surged as investors fled to the traditional safe haven
of US government debt.
The 10-year Treasury yield fell to 1.974 per cent, lower than the
previous record set during the US "Great Recession", before
recovering slightly to 2.007 per cent. The 30-year hit 3.337 per
cent before rebounding to 3.371.
"We're still a safe haven for international flows with the turmoil
that is still going on abroad," said Lindsey Piegza of investment
bank FTN, referring to uncertainty about the eurozone.
Stock markets in London, Paris and Frankfurt were all down more
than five per cent overnight, driven by steep losses in European
banking stocks.
A huge sell-off over concerns that the United States and Europe
might begin to contract again has wiped trillions of dollars in
value off world stock markets in the past couple of weeks.