Perilous
Times
Expert warns of massive and horrific backlash after bin
Laden death
Will Brodie
May 2, 2011 - 1:52PM
An expert in global terrorism says the death of Osama bin Laden is
"by no means a knockout blow".
Professor Greg Barton from Monash University described news of the
al-Qaeda leader's demise as "quite remarkable", given the lack of
progress in tracking the terrorist leader in the past decade, but
warned America and its allies that their reaction to the news must
be measured.
"I think he's (US President Barack Obama) going to play it very
carefully and very coolly and not to gloat, not to have any sense
of hubris because if the President or America and its allies in
general are not very careful this could backfire.
"For many bin Laden will be a martyr once his death is confirmed
so any sense of gloating or any sense of unnecessary demonising is
only going to help that cause."
Professor Barton told radio 3AW this afternoon that al-Qaeda will
remain strong without its infamous leader.
"Al Qaeda has become several things today its become a series of
organisations in based geographically different parts of the world
so the loss of bin Laden doesn't change that.
"There will be others moving into his position. He was never a
great intellectual or a great writer so his role was really as a
charismatic front man more than anything else and his greatest
claim to fame was being on the run for so long and escaping arrest
or capture."
Professor Barton said there would be other figures to take the
place of the mastermind of the September 11 attacks.
"There certainly are. Whether they can project the same sort of
sense of almost a prophet of an Old Testament figure emerging with
tremendous charismatic appeal to some people in the world is the
question.
"A lot of scholars and intellectuals don't have that sense of
charisma that somehow bin Laden seemed to conjure up. We can be
sure he will be replaced and we can be sure the movement he
started is not going to go away.
"I don't think we get closure emotionally with this news nor do we
get a clear sense that the threat is over. There have to be great
concerns that this could spark a massive and horrific wave of
reprisals.
"If nothing else, Al-Qaeda will want to show it's not a spent
force, that it still has teeth and will still have something up
its sleeve to show the world it is still in business."