Perilous Times and Climate Change
Massive Arctic ice island splits in two
By Hilary Whiteman, CNN
September 10, 2010 3:05 p.m. EDT
An image from ESA's ENVISAT satellite shows the ice island has split in
two while passing through the Nares Strait.
STORY HIGHLIGHTS
* Satellite images show ice island has broken in two
* Original piece broke off Petermann Glacier in early August
* Ice island moved into Nares Strait in early September
* Scientists interested in the impact of its departure on the
remaining ice
(CNN) -- A massive ice island four times the size of Manhattan that
broke off the Petermann Glacier early last month has split in two.
Satellite images show that the ice island broke in two after repeatedly
smashing into Joe Island, a small rocky outcrop in the Nares Strait,
west of Greenland.
"In the satellite imagery, you can hardly see the island because it's
so much smaller than the ice island, but it's there; it's a piece of
rock," said Andreas Muenchow, an associate professor at the University
of Delaware.
The ice island hit Joe Island last week, and since then, combined
forces of ocean currents and strong winds have weakened its structure.
"The forces of the ocean currents and the winds wiggling it on and off
the island were too much," Muenchow said.
The largest piece is approximately 152 square kilometers in diameter,
or around 2.5 times the size of the New York borough of Manhattan,
while the smaller piece is around 84 square kilometers, he said.
The exciting stuff as far as we are concerned is trying to understand
the physics of the piece intact. --Andreas Muenchow, University of
Delaware
The ice island made headlines in early August, when it split from the
Petermann Glacier, before moving up the Petermann Fjord and then into
the Nares Strait in early September.
It was the biggest break-off in 140 years, according to Muenchow, whose
team consulted the earliest known reports about the glacier.
"We went back to 1876 to find all glacier positions that have ever been
reported. From this analysis, we found that this indeed was the largest
event that has been observed at Petermann, but that the trend of area
lost by this glacier over the last 140 years is indistinguishable from
zero," Muenchow said.
He and international teams spanning at least nine time zones have been
tracking the ice island hourly since it broke off from the main
glacier. Muenchow predicts the main pieces will be found off the
Canadian province of Newfoundland and Labrador in two to three years'
time.
While the floating ice island has captured the public's imagination, he
says, scientists are more interested in what its departure means for
the glacier left behind.
"The exciting stuff as far as we are concerned is trying to understand
the physics of the piece intact," Muenchow says. "As far as I'm
concerned, the piece that has broken off has gone."
He said it is still unclear how the Petermann Glacier will react after
losing such a large proportion of its mass.
"Because you're changing the balance of forces by removing a large
piece, what will happen next is that it will probably start moving
forward faster than it has been before because it has to find a new
equilibrium."
By studying NASA satellite images, his team has determined that
Petermann Glacier has been moving forward and backward in 20- to
30-year cycles. What is not clear how much global warming has
contributed to its melting and movement, and how much is attributable
to the cycle observed.
"Ice that is floating that is in contact with the ocean. If you melt
that from below, faster, then it's getting thinner. As it's getting
thinner it keeps flowing faster so it's using more mass, and that mass
is being replaced by ice that's sitting on Greenland, that's sitting on
land. That's where the main worry is, that you get an accelerated rate
of upstream ice that's sitting on land out into the ocean."
Greenland is known to have been losing mass over the past 10 to 20
years.
In testimony to the Select Committee on Energy Independence and Global
Warming last month, Richard Alley, professor of Geosciences at
Pennsylvania State University, said the ice loss was due to "a warming
world."
"Greenland is losing mass at an accelerated rate and that appears to be
because it's melting more on top from warmer air, and it is dumping
more icebergs into the ocean from warmer water as well as warmer air,"
he said.
To try to understand what may happen in future, Muenchow is delving
further into the past. He is trying to secure access to classified spy
satellites which may provide more clues to the movement of the ice.
"Right now I'm looking at the data already has been declassified and
I'm hoping that there are people within governments that make decisions
or have decision making powers on what data to declassify that they
will consider declassifying imagery to further our understanding of
climate change."