Perilous Times
Turks greatly fear Greek frog plague of doom
They may just be looking for food and greener pastures. But in Turkey,
the sudden movement of hundreds of thousands of frogs that forced
authorities in neighbouring Greece to close down a major highway is
seen as a sign that a devastating earthquake may be nigh.
by Thomas Seibert — 28 May 2010
Earlier this week, a massive plaque of frogs, estimated by local
authorities to be in the millions, flooded a road near the town of
Langadas in northern Greece, about 200 miles west of the Greek-Turkish
border. Authorities described “a carpet” of amphibians covering the
asphalt.
Police closed down the highway east of the city of Thessaloniki
completely for two hours on Wednesday after some cars slid off the road
as drivers tried to avoid hitting the animals. A day later, traffic was
still slowed down by the frog migration, which was expected to continue
for several days.
Thessaloniki traffic police chief Giorgos Thanoglou said the frogs may
have left a nearby lake in search of food, according to the AP. But in
Turkey, news of the frogs immediately triggered concerns that the
animals may know something humans don’t.
“Frogs on the highway – earthquake at the door”, said a headline in the
Turkish Aksam newspaper.
The newspaper pointed to recent findings by British scientists saying
that there may be a connection between strange behaviour of frogs and a
subsequent major earthquake. Frogs had been seen before a devastating
earthquake in China in 2008, and a similar phenomenon was recorded
before an earthquake in Italy last year.
Writing in the April issue of the Journal of Zoology, Rachel Grant of
the Open University in Milton Keynes said that toads at a site 46 miles
from the Italian town of L’Aquila started showing “a dramatic change in
behaviour” five days before a quake hit the L’Aquila region last year,
“abandoning spawning and not resuming normal behaviour until some days
after the event”. The earthquake in the early hours of April 6 last
year, measuring 6.3 on the Richter scale, killed more than 300 people
and devastated several medieval towns in the area.
“It is unclear what environmental stimuli the toads were responding to
so far in advance of the [earthquake], but reduced toad activity
coincides with pre-seismic perturbations in the ionosphere, detected by
very low frequency radio sounding,” an abstract of the article in the
Journal said.
Scientists say there is no way to predict earthquakes. But the public
in Turkey, a country where tremors occur in some region almost every
day and where around 20,000 people were killed by a massive quake in
1999, is very receptive to reports of alleged breakthroughs in
earthquake prediction, especially if those observations are connected
to unusual natural phenomena.
After the 1999 quake in northwestern Turkey, which struck in the middle
of the night, reports said animals like wolves and dogs displayed an
unusual and excited behaviour shortly before the catastrophe.
People also look into space to find hints of a coming quake. Because
the 1999 quake occurred just six days after a solar eclipse, a new
eclipse in Turkey in 2006 triggered fears that another quake was about
to hit. People in a central Anatolian province left their homes and
moved into tents as a precaution, but the earthquake failed to
materialise.
Still, the Langadas toad migration led Turkish newspapers to remind
their readers that a mass of toads suddenly appeared in a Chinese city
days before it was devastated by an earthquake in 2008. There were also
reports saying that animals in a zoo 600 miles east of the epicentre of
the Chinese quake started behaving strangely before the event. Around
90,000 people died in the earthquake.
Greek authorities were quoted as saying that the toad movement near
Langadas was a yearly event and that there was nothing to worry about.
But that did not keep Turkish newspapers from drawing a connection
between the hopping frogs and impending disaster. “The earthquake is
coming,” the Takvim daily said, while the Vatan newspaper said the
alleged connection between the toads and a new quake was a
“fear-inspiring claim”.
Turkish experts say there is a wide discrepancy between an abundance of
earthquake fears and alleged signs of doom on one hand and a lack of
concrete action to prepare for a future quake on the other.
Almost the entire territory of Turkey is though to be earthquake-prone,
but although scientists say that Turkey’s metropolis Istanbul, a city
of at least twelve million people, will probably be hit by a major
earthquake at some point in the coming decades, authorities and
citizens alike are slow to take safety measures.
Tens of thousands of buildings in Istanbul, including schools and
hospitals, are thought to be too weak to withstand a major tremor, and
streets marked as emergency lanes to be kept open at all times for
rescue teams to get through in case of an earthquakes are routinely
clogged up by traffic and illegally parked cars. One estimate says
around 70,000 people could die in an Istanbul quake.