Inland flooding / more lows

[Ken Kato]

Some impressive totals progged for interior parts near the junctions of the QLD/NSW/SA/NT borders early this week to the E and S of the cutoff low. With >100 to 150mm progged and further falls likely in eastern SA (and elsewhere) later this week, will be interesting to see how much drainage there'll be into Lake Eyre as well as inland flooding.
 
Ken.

[Marcus]

Bring it on!!

 

I’m surprised the BOM hasn’t released flood watch for some of our rivers.  Clyve hit 85mm I think.

 

Clyve – can you please take some pics from trentham falls today?  Lol

 

Cheers

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[Blair Trewin]

This may also mean Moomba, which has somehow managed to fail to get anything out of the weekend's system, advances significantly on its current annual total of 11mm, although EC has the centre of the action a bit further east than the model Ken's referring to (which I presume is GFS?), focusing the heavy falls on the Windorah/Thargomindah corridor.

 

Blair

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From: Ken Kato [mailto:kka...@hotmail.com]
Sent: Sunday, 22 November 2009 12:02 PM
To: Austpacwx
Subject: [austpacwx] Inland flooding / more lows

Some impressive totals progged for interior parts near the junctions of the QLD/NSW/SA/NT borders early this week to the E and S of the cutoff low. With >100 to 150mm progged and further falls likely in eastern SA (and elsewhere) later this week, will be interesting to see how much drainage there'll be into Lake Eyre as well as inland flooding.
 
Ken.

[Ken Kato]

Hi Blair, I was referring to PME.
Am about to have a quick look at JMA, UK and some others.
 
Ken.
 

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[Bussy]

I'll be watching with interest Ken. Great to see a decent fall of rain again. Certainly freshens things up.

 

33.6mm all up here. Very steamy 26 degrees here at present.

 

Bussy

----- Original Message -----

From: Ken Kato

To: Austpacwx

Sent: Sunday, November 22, 2009 12:02 PM

Subject: [austpacwx] Inland flooding / more lows

Some impressive totals progged for interior parts near the junctions of the QLD/NSW/SA/NT borders early this week to the E and S of the cutoff low. With >100 to 150mm progged and further falls likely in eastern SA (and elsewhere) later this week, will be interesting to see how much drainage there'll be into Lake Eyre as well as inland flooding.
 
Ken.

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[Ken Kato]

I just had that look. My first impression is GFS looks like a bit of an outlier for this event in having the heavier precip further W than many others at about +72hr. Even the majority of its own ensemble members have the heavier rain right on, or W of the QLD border on the spaghetti plots. I noticed many others (JMA, UK, CMC, Nogaps, etc) have it a bit futher E... although EC swirls a lot of the cloud in over mid northern SA after the low becomes fully developed. The consensus from the PME output looks like a good compromise to me between the above models for this system. Have not had a close look at the actual dynamics of this event yet though.
 
Ken.
 

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Hi Blair, I was referring to PME.
Am about to have a quick look at JMA, UK and some others.
 
Ken.
 

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