> I may be too far off the mark but this contest is not all about
> winning the money (although you failed to mention the second round
> which has substantial amount with it). Imagine how much publicity, and
> with that the big jumpstart for their product, the winning entries
> will have.
"The pushing back of the deadline for the benefit of commerical/big
time players doesn't seem logical to me."
I guess it depends on how we're both defining commerical/big time
players and that's probably why we're kind of not on the same page.
For me a big time player should be looking to make in excess of a few
100 million dollars (or dreaming at least in doing so and that's a
small dream) and should have enough funding to give it a legitimate
shot. So even if they won both stages of round 1 and both stages of
round 2, it wouldn't amount to much comparitvely speaking. To be
dependent on googles competition time-frame would not be a very good
business decision on their part.
For the publicity, I guess it depends on what kind of app is being
built and who the target market is such that winning this competition
is important for a commercial (big time) player.But I'm suspecting
that a large majority of the public aren't and won't be aware of this
competition. Winning the competition will be more for finding VCs and
possibly business partners such that we of the unconnected and under-
funded can start even thinking about publicity.
I could be completely wrong on this but given the format of this
competition I don't think google is going to do a marketing blitz
after the end of Round 1, more like start a buzz for the winners but
it'll be up to the winners to keep up the buzz after that. A
commercial company should have money set aside for them to generate
their own buzz and publicity, especially a company that would have
enough push to make google change the deadline of this competion.
Going at a different angle, look at google and facebook that didn't go
the publicity route and still became very successful. Requesting a
favor from google to push back the deadline for the first stage of the
first round, IMHO, would be a waste of a favor.
> That's where lies the point you missed. Even if there are pre-
> determined winners, Google still needs a significant developer
> community. They do not want just a bunch of partners. Hence, this
> contest. They are shooting two birds with one stone. Fund their
> favorite players, and at the same time hope to build a siginificant
> developers community.
For this case I guess it depends on how we're both defining google and
that's what's leading us to different conclusions. For me I believe
(and as you implied) that google sees the importance of creating a
significant developer community. Poisoning the community to appease a
favorite player (or even 10) wouldn't be a move google would make (for
how I view and define google). It's a high risk low reward move. Sure
they could profile a favorite player as a winner in Round 1 Stage 1 of
this competition but google could profile/back them at anytime whereas
they only have one shot in creating a significant developer community
(especially with the iPhone SDK coming out soon). Right now their
risking over $4 billion to make sure that the wireless spectrum in the
US are open to all devices. That makes me believe that google has
enough stones to throw that they wouldn't need to resort to such
tactics.
This of course doesn't mean that google didn't mess up with how they
handled this extension or the whys of what they did was wrong or
right. I only commented because if people really started to believe
that google was playing favorites it would only demoralize the
community. Since I didn't think that was the case I added my two cents
on why not. You could, of course, be completely right on in your
assessment but in the end we won't really know for sure until they
explain it to us. Until I see enough evidence that they are starting
to behave like the next "Microsoft" is when I start questioning their
decisions with ill intent but for now I still believe in their "do no
evil" policy so will give them the benefit of the doubt.