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ADJOPS MLB Team Hitting & Pitching, BRAND NEW Scatterplot, and R-squareds through 6/5/2017
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nate
Jun 6, 2017, 2:09:43 PM6/6/17
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Question is whether this NEW plot looks better...
Raw data from Baseball-Reference.com
HITTING
Rpf = rank after adjusting for Park Factor (AdjAdjOPS)
Rk = raw ADJOPS rank
TEv = Team Events = PA + SB + CS
TOC = Team Outs Created = AB-H + CS + SF + SH + GIDP + OoB - ROE
TBP = Team Bases Produced = TB+BB+SB+SF+SH-CS-GIDP+HBP+CI -OoB +XBT + ROE
TAdjOPS = TBP/TOC
OrdOPS = ordinary OBP + SLG
PkF = Park Factor
AdjAdjOPS = AdjOPS*(200/(PkF+100))
Rpf Rk team TEv TOC TBP TAdjOPS OrdOPS PkF AdjAdjOPS
1 3 HOU 2287 1540 1200 .779221 .816 92 .811689
2 1 WSN 2259 1497 1215 .811623 .823 100 .811623
3 4 CIN 2268 1518 1174 .773386 .777 102 .765729
4 2 NYY 2177 1450 1130 .779310 .794 104 .764029
5 7 TBR 2334 1601 1160 .724547 .756 94 .746956
6 6 MIL 2289 1555 1139 .732476 .759 102 .725224
7 9 DET 2175 1486 1065 .716689 .761 99 .720290
8 8 MIN 2104 1424 1024 .719101 .750 100 .719101
9 13 LAD 2294 1582 1106 .699115 .749 96 .713383
10 15 MIA 2178 1507 1041 .690776 .745 94 .712140
11 12 NYM 2162 1507 1057 .701393 .744 97 .712074
12 5 ARI 2317 1571 1163 .740293 .761 108 .711820
13 11 CHC 2202 1517 1072 .706658 .730 99 .710209
14 20 OAK 2128 1506 1017 .675299 .732 94 .696185
15 17 SEA 2275 1553 1065 .685769 .744 98 .692696
16 18 ATL 2183 1504 1025 .681516 .747 101 .678125
17 19 BAL 2123 1486 1010 .679677 .732 101 .676296
18 16 BOS 2190 1494 1026 .686747 .751 106 .666745
19 23 STL 2168 1514 991 .654557 .722 97 .664525
20 25 CHW 2100 1476 955 .647019 .720 96 .660223
21 10 COL 2268 1574 1121 .712198 .764 116 .659443
22 14 CLE 2110 1458 1014 .695473 .743 111 .659216
23 26 PHI 2090 1482 956 .645074 .719 97 .654897
24 24 PIT 2233 1549 1007 .650097 .704 99 .653364
25 21 TEX 2193 1535 1022 .665798 .721 105 .649559
26 27 LAA 2325 1623 1042 .642021 .699 98 .648506
27 22 TOR 2212 1565 1030 .658147 .727 103 .648421
28 28 SDP 2151 1554 936 .602317 .658 97 .611489
29 30 SFG 2265 1624 944 .581281 .648 96 .593144
30 29 KCR 2092 1510 888 .588079 .669 103 .579388
totals: 66152 45762 31595 .690420
PITCHING (inc. WP + BK - IBB) + Field Allowed Runners (IBB + ROE)
Rpf = rank after adjusting for Park Factor (AdjAdjOPS)
Rk = raw ADJOPS rank
TEv = Team Events = Batters Faced + Steal Attempts
TOI = Team Outs Induced = 3*IP
TBG = Team Bases Given = TB+BB+SB+SF+SH-CS-GIDP+HBP + (WP+BK-IBB) + (IBB+ROE)
TAdjOPS = TBG/TOI
OrdOPS = ordinary OBP + SLG
PkF = Park Factor
AdjAdjOPS = TAdjOPS*(200/(PkF+100))
Rpf Rk team TEv TOI TBG TAdjOPS OrdOPS PkF AdjAdjOPS
1 2 CLE 2032 1454 904 .621733 .700 111 .589320
2 1 LAD 2199 1587 931 .586641 .656 96 .598613
3 3 NYY 2059 1452 911 .627410 .678 104 .615108
4 4 ARI 2247 1581 1019 .644529 .692 108 .619739
5 9 COL 2264 1588 1063 .669395 .730 116 .619810
6 5 BOS 2119 1496 966 .645722 .719 106 .626915
7 6 STL 2155 1511 976 .645930 .704 97 .655766
8 8 LAA 2266 1608 1053 .654851 .730 98 .661466
9 12 KCR 2182 1504 1014 .674202 .737 103 .664238
10 10 WSN 2165 1508 1013 .671751 .732 100 .671751
11 7 HOU 2220 1576 1018 .645939 .688 92 .672853
12 15 TOR 2285 1567 1093 .697511 .740 103 .687203
13 11 TBR 2281 1589 1070 .673379 .718 94 .694205
14 14 CHC 2198 1518 1051 .692358 .725 99 .695837
15 13 SFG 2317 1597 1094 .685034 .738 96 .699014
16 24 TEX 2212 1517 1100 .725115 .768 105 .707429
17 23 MIL 2298 1576 1134 .719543 .769 102 .712419
18 18 PIT 2262 1537 1090 .709174 .761 99 .712738
19 16 CHW 2082 1449 1014 .699793 .744 96 .714074
20 22 BAL 2205 1487 1069 .718897 .774 101 .715320
21 21 MIN 2100 1437 1033 .718859 .768 100 .718859
22 19 SEA 2233 1545 1104 .714563 .755 98 .721781
23 17 MIA 2195 1494 1046 .700134 .731 94 .721788
24 27 ATL 2183 1478 1096 .741543 .775 101 .737854
25 20 OAK 2226 1497 1072 .716099 .724 94 .738246
26 25 SDP 2277 1537 1120 .728692 .754 97 .739789
27 26 DET 2205 1478 1095 .740866 .778 99 .744589
28 28 CIN 2237 1516 1158 .763852 .793 102 .756289
29 29 PHI 2161 1460 1123 .769178 .803 97 .780891
30 30 NYM 2287 1512 1166 .771164 .789 97 .782908
totals: 66152 45656 31596 .692045
hitting: 66152 45762 31595 .690420
Plot of Wins per Game, Y, vs. Share of All Bases per Out, X
.42 .46 .5 .54 .58
+-----------------+-----------------+-----------------+-----------------+
| | | | |
| | | | |
| | | | * |
| | | | |
.7 +-----------------+-----------------+-----------------+-----------------+
| | | | |
| | | | |
| | | | |
| | | | |
+-----------------+-----------------+-----------------+-----------------+
| | | | * |
| | | | |
| | | | |
| | | * | |
.6 +-----------------+-----------------+-----------------+-----------------+
| | | | * * |
| | | * | |
| | | | |
| | | | |
+-----------------+-----------------*------*----------+-----------------+
| | | | |
| | * | * | |
| | | 2 | |
| | | | |
.5 +-----------------+-------------*---+-----------------+-----------------+
| | | * | |
| | * * * | | |
| | |* | |
| | 2 |* | |
+-----------------+-----------------+-----------------+-----------------+
| | * 2 * | | |
| | * * | | |
| | | | |
| * | | |
.4 +--------------*--+-----------------+-----------------+-----------------+
| | | | |
| | | | |
| | | | |
| * | | | |
+-----------------+-----------------+-----------------+-----------------+
| | | | |
| | | | |
| | | | |
| | | | |
.3 +-----------------+-----------------+-----------------+-----------------+
.42 .46 .5 .54 .58
fit of plotted data above:
total data points = 30
equation is Y = 2.53698*X + -0.766717
R-squared = 0.778210 significance = 9.911885
fit to Adjusted OPS including Field Allowed Runners with no park factors
total data points = 30
equation is W/(W+L) = 0.927192*AdjOPSdiff/1 + 0.501193
R-squared = 0.787306 significance = 10.180606
fit to Adjusted OPS including Field Allowed Runners with park factors
total data points = 30
equation is W/(W+L) = 0.928117*AdjOPSdiff/ParkFactor + 0.50157
R-squared = 0.793622 significance = 10.376564
fit of ordinary OPS share (X) vs. Win share (Y)
total data points = 30
equation is Y = 3.37951*X + -1.18953
R-squared = 0.719174 significance = 8.467932
fit to ordinary OPS with no park factors
total data points = 30
equation is W/(W+L) = 1.16137*ordinaryOPSdiff/1 + 0.500013
R-squared = 0.728962 significance = 8.677941
fit to ordinary OPS with park factors
total data points = 30
equation is W/(W+L) = 1.15633*ordinaryOPSdiff/ParkFactor + 0.500198
R-squared = 0.731861 significance = 8.742051
fit to share of batting average
total data points = 30
equation is Y = 2.82867*X + -0.914363
R-squared = 0.555930 significance = 5.920563
fit to share of on base average
total data points = 30
equation is Y = 3.20719*X + -1.10394
R-squared = 0.618007 significance = 6.730518
fit to share of slugging average
total data points = 30
equation is Y = 2.7873*X + -0.89327
R-squared = 0.633509 significance = 6.957034
- nate
Question is whether this NEW plot looks better...
Raw data from Baseball-Reference.com
HITTING
Rpf = rank after adjusting for Park Factor (AdjAdjOPS)
Rk = raw ADJOPS rank
TEv = Team Events = PA + SB + CS
TOC = Team Outs Created = AB-H + CS + SF + SH + GIDP + OoB - ROE
TBP = Team Bases Produced = TB+BB+SB+SF+SH-CS-GIDP+HBP+CI -OoB +XBT + ROE
TAdjOPS = TBP/TOC
OrdOPS = ordinary OBP + SLG
PkF = Park Factor
AdjAdjOPS = AdjOPS*(200/(PkF+100))
Rpf Rk team TEv TOC TBP TAdjOPS OrdOPS PkF AdjAdjOPS
1 3 HOU 2287 1540 1200 .779221 .816 92 .811689
2 1 WSN 2259 1497 1215 .811623 .823 100 .811623
3 4 CIN 2268 1518 1174 .773386 .777 102 .765729
4 2 NYY 2177 1450 1130 .779310 .794 104 .764029
5 7 TBR 2334 1601 1160 .724547 .756 94 .746956
6 6 MIL 2289 1555 1139 .732476 .759 102 .725224
7 9 DET 2175 1486 1065 .716689 .761 99 .720290
8 8 MIN 2104 1424 1024 .719101 .750 100 .719101
9 13 LAD 2294 1582 1106 .699115 .749 96 .713383
10 15 MIA 2178 1507 1041 .690776 .745 94 .712140
11 12 NYM 2162 1507 1057 .701393 .744 97 .712074
12 5 ARI 2317 1571 1163 .740293 .761 108 .711820
13 11 CHC 2202 1517 1072 .706658 .730 99 .710209
14 20 OAK 2128 1506 1017 .675299 .732 94 .696185
15 17 SEA 2275 1553 1065 .685769 .744 98 .692696
16 18 ATL 2183 1504 1025 .681516 .747 101 .678125
17 19 BAL 2123 1486 1010 .679677 .732 101 .676296
18 16 BOS 2190 1494 1026 .686747 .751 106 .666745
19 23 STL 2168 1514 991 .654557 .722 97 .664525
20 25 CHW 2100 1476 955 .647019 .720 96 .660223
21 10 COL 2268 1574 1121 .712198 .764 116 .659443
22 14 CLE 2110 1458 1014 .695473 .743 111 .659216
23 26 PHI 2090 1482 956 .645074 .719 97 .654897
24 24 PIT 2233 1549 1007 .650097 .704 99 .653364
25 21 TEX 2193 1535 1022 .665798 .721 105 .649559
26 27 LAA 2325 1623 1042 .642021 .699 98 .648506
27 22 TOR 2212 1565 1030 .658147 .727 103 .648421
28 28 SDP 2151 1554 936 .602317 .658 97 .611489
29 30 SFG 2265 1624 944 .581281 .648 96 .593144
30 29 KCR 2092 1510 888 .588079 .669 103 .579388
totals: 66152 45762 31595 .690420
PITCHING (inc. WP + BK - IBB) + Field Allowed Runners (IBB + ROE)
Rpf = rank after adjusting for Park Factor (AdjAdjOPS)
Rk = raw ADJOPS rank
TEv = Team Events = Batters Faced + Steal Attempts
TOI = Team Outs Induced = 3*IP
TBG = Team Bases Given = TB+BB+SB+SF+SH-CS-GIDP+HBP + (WP+BK-IBB) + (IBB+ROE)
TAdjOPS = TBG/TOI
OrdOPS = ordinary OBP + SLG
PkF = Park Factor
AdjAdjOPS = TAdjOPS*(200/(PkF+100))
Rpf Rk team TEv TOI TBG TAdjOPS OrdOPS PkF AdjAdjOPS
1 2 CLE 2032 1454 904 .621733 .700 111 .589320
2 1 LAD 2199 1587 931 .586641 .656 96 .598613
3 3 NYY 2059 1452 911 .627410 .678 104 .615108
4 4 ARI 2247 1581 1019 .644529 .692 108 .619739
5 9 COL 2264 1588 1063 .669395 .730 116 .619810
6 5 BOS 2119 1496 966 .645722 .719 106 .626915
7 6 STL 2155 1511 976 .645930 .704 97 .655766
8 8 LAA 2266 1608 1053 .654851 .730 98 .661466
9 12 KCR 2182 1504 1014 .674202 .737 103 .664238
10 10 WSN 2165 1508 1013 .671751 .732 100 .671751
11 7 HOU 2220 1576 1018 .645939 .688 92 .672853
12 15 TOR 2285 1567 1093 .697511 .740 103 .687203
13 11 TBR 2281 1589 1070 .673379 .718 94 .694205
14 14 CHC 2198 1518 1051 .692358 .725 99 .695837
15 13 SFG 2317 1597 1094 .685034 .738 96 .699014
16 24 TEX 2212 1517 1100 .725115 .768 105 .707429
17 23 MIL 2298 1576 1134 .719543 .769 102 .712419
18 18 PIT 2262 1537 1090 .709174 .761 99 .712738
19 16 CHW 2082 1449 1014 .699793 .744 96 .714074
20 22 BAL 2205 1487 1069 .718897 .774 101 .715320
21 21 MIN 2100 1437 1033 .718859 .768 100 .718859
22 19 SEA 2233 1545 1104 .714563 .755 98 .721781
23 17 MIA 2195 1494 1046 .700134 .731 94 .721788
24 27 ATL 2183 1478 1096 .741543 .775 101 .737854
25 20 OAK 2226 1497 1072 .716099 .724 94 .738246
26 25 SDP 2277 1537 1120 .728692 .754 97 .739789
27 26 DET 2205 1478 1095 .740866 .778 99 .744589
28 28 CIN 2237 1516 1158 .763852 .793 102 .756289
29 29 PHI 2161 1460 1123 .769178 .803 97 .780891
30 30 NYM 2287 1512 1166 .771164 .789 97 .782908
totals: 66152 45656 31596 .692045
hitting: 66152 45762 31595 .690420
Plot of Wins per Game, Y, vs. Share of All Bases per Out, X
.42 .46 .5 .54 .58
+-----------------+-----------------+-----------------+-----------------+
| | | | |
| | | | |
| | | | * |
| | | | |
.7 +-----------------+-----------------+-----------------+-----------------+
| | | | |
| | | | |
| | | | |
| | | | |
+-----------------+-----------------+-----------------+-----------------+
| | | | * |
| | | | |
| | | | |
| | | * | |
.6 +-----------------+-----------------+-----------------+-----------------+
| | | | * * |
| | | * | |
| | | | |
| | | | |
+-----------------+-----------------*------*----------+-----------------+
| | | | |
| | * | * | |
| | | 2 | |
| | | | |
.5 +-----------------+-------------*---+-----------------+-----------------+
| | | * | |
| | * * * | | |
| | |* | |
| | 2 |* | |
+-----------------+-----------------+-----------------+-----------------+
| | * 2 * | | |
| | * * | | |
| | | | |
| * | | |
.4 +--------------*--+-----------------+-----------------+-----------------+
| | | | |
| | | | |
| | | | |
| * | | | |
+-----------------+-----------------+-----------------+-----------------+
| | | | |
| | | | |
| | | | |
| | | | |
.3 +-----------------+-----------------+-----------------+-----------------+
.42 .46 .5 .54 .58
fit of plotted data above:
total data points = 30
equation is Y = 2.53698*X + -0.766717
R-squared = 0.778210 significance = 9.911885
fit to Adjusted OPS including Field Allowed Runners with no park factors
total data points = 30
equation is W/(W+L) = 0.927192*AdjOPSdiff/1 + 0.501193
R-squared = 0.787306 significance = 10.180606
fit to Adjusted OPS including Field Allowed Runners with park factors
total data points = 30
equation is W/(W+L) = 0.928117*AdjOPSdiff/ParkFactor + 0.50157
R-squared = 0.793622 significance = 10.376564
fit of ordinary OPS share (X) vs. Win share (Y)
total data points = 30
equation is Y = 3.37951*X + -1.18953
R-squared = 0.719174 significance = 8.467932
fit to ordinary OPS with no park factors
total data points = 30
equation is W/(W+L) = 1.16137*ordinaryOPSdiff/1 + 0.500013
R-squared = 0.728962 significance = 8.677941
fit to ordinary OPS with park factors
total data points = 30
equation is W/(W+L) = 1.15633*ordinaryOPSdiff/ParkFactor + 0.500198
R-squared = 0.731861 significance = 8.742051
fit to share of batting average
total data points = 30
equation is Y = 2.82867*X + -0.914363
R-squared = 0.555930 significance = 5.920563
fit to share of on base average
total data points = 30
equation is Y = 3.20719*X + -1.10394
R-squared = 0.618007 significance = 6.730518
fit to share of slugging average
total data points = 30
equation is Y = 2.7873*X + -0.89327
R-squared = 0.633509 significance = 6.957034
- nate
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