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ADJOPS MLB Team Hitting & Pitching, Scatterplot, and R-squareds through 4/30/2017
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May 1, 2017, 1:34:44 PM5/1/17
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Raw data from Baseball-Reference.com
Scads of checksum errors there this morning
HITTING
Rpf = rank after adjusting for Park Factor (AdjAdjOPS)
Rk = raw ADJOPS rank
TEv = Team Events = PA + SB + CS
TOC = Team Outs Created = AB-H + CS + SF + SH + GIDP + OoB - ROE
TBP = Team Bases Produced = TB+BB+SB+SF+SH-CS-GIDP+HBP+CI -OoB +XBT + ROE
TAdjOPS = TBP/TOC
OrdOPS = ordinary OBP + SLG
PkF = Park Factor
AdjAdjOPS = AdjOPS*(200/(PkF+100))
Rpf Rk team TEv TOC TBP TAdjOPS OrdOPS PkF AdjAdjOPS
1 1 WSN 1030 669 584 .872945 .879 101 .868602
2 2 NYY 870 604 487 .806291 .804 105 .786625
3 4 MIL 1007 688 533 .774709 .788 100 .774709
4 5 CIN 947 644 491 .762422 .764 100 .762422
5 6 CHC 981 656 486 .740854 .755 97 .752136
6 3 ARI 1079 709 551 .777151 .770 107 .750871
7 10 LAD 997 686 479 .698251 .743 95 .716155
8 8 DET 921 630 444 .704762 .754 97 .715494
9 12 SEA 1017 697 482 .691535 .724 96 .705648
10 11 PHI 880 613 425 .693312 .740 98 .700315
11 15 TBR 1012 698 476 .681948 .733 96 .695865
12 16 HOU 976 675 453 .671111 .765 93 .695452
13 13 STL 932 640 439 .685937 .727 98 .692866
14 14 ATL 905 626 428 .683706 .740 99 .687142
15 7 CLE 937 637 454 .712716 .757 111 .675560
16 17 MIN 893 610 405 .663934 .707 98 .670640
17 21 OAK 919 657 419 .637747 .697 94 .657471
18 20 MIA 907 642 410 .638629 .710 95 .655004
19 18 BAL 836 626 407 .650160 .713 102 .643723
20 9 COL 980 692 485 .700867 .752 118 .642997
21 19 PIT 931 642 413 .643302 .704 101 .640101
22 22 NYM 938 679 430 .633284 .686 98 .639681
23 24 CHW 865 615 382 .621138 .690 95 .637065
24 25 SDP 1008 731 448 .612859 .665 96 .625366
25 23 TEX 949 671 424 .631893 .689 106 .613488
26 27 LAA 1027 735 427 .580952 .666 96 .592808
27 26 BOS 911 635 382 .601575 .716 108 .578437
28 28 SFG 987 711 403 .566807 .631 97 .575439
29 29 TOR 973 703 398 .566145 .645 103 .557778
30 30 KCR 856 634 331 .522082 .605 103 .514367
totals: 28471 19855 13376 .673684
PITCHING (inc. WP + BK - IBB) + Field Allowed Runners (IBB + ROE)
Rpf = rank after adjusting for Park Factor (AdjAdjOPS)
Rk = raw ADJOPS rank
TEv = Team Events = Batters Faced + Steal Attempts
TOI = Team Outs Induced = 3*IP
TBG = Team Bases Given = TB+BB+SB+SF+SH-CS-GIDP+HBP + (WP+BK-IBB) + (IBB+ROE)
TAdjOPS = TBG/TOI
OrdOPS = ordinary OBP + SLG
PkF = Park Factor
AdjAdjOPS = TAdjOPS*(200/(PkF+100))
Rpf Rk team TEv TOI TBG TAdjOPS OrdOPS PkF AdjAdjOPS
1 1 NYY 800 612 349 .570261 .677 105 .556352
2 2 CLE 903 639 392 .613459 .705 111 .581478
3 9 BOS 911 642 413 .643302 .707 108 .618560
4 16 COL 1007 702 477 .679487 .742 118 .623383
5 4 KCR 893 618 392 .634304 .696 103 .624930
6 3 LAD 957 687 423 .615721 .681 95 .631509
7 12 TEX 958 674 440 .652819 .722 106 .633805
8 5 LAA 1009 724 460 .635359 .710 96 .648326
9 6 CHW 868 617 393 .636953 .694 95 .653285
10 11 MIN 881 612 396 .647059 .704 98 .653595
11 8 TBR 978 689 443 .642961 .705 96 .656083
12 7 OAK 958 659 421 .638847 .667 94 .658605
13 20 ARI 1045 723 501 .692946 .711 107 .669513
14 10 HOU 974 687 444 .646288 .687 93 .669728
15 14 WSN 968 680 458 .673529 .727 101 .670178
16 13 ATL 876 608 406 .667763 .730 99 .671119
17 19 TOR 1002 692 479 .692197 .742 103 .681967
18 21 BAL 892 631 439 .695721 .783 102 .688833
19 15 SFG 1019 698 474 .679083 .714 97 .689424
20 17 CHC 926 645 439 .680620 .720 97 .690985
21 24 PIT 960 640 449 .701562 .734 101 .698072
22 18 MIA 903 627 432 .688995 .744 95 .706662
23 23 PHI 867 610 427 .700000 .764 98 .707071
24 22 SEA 983 682 475 .696481 .758 96 .710695
25 25 STL 952 642 452 .704050 .744 98 .711162
26 26 NYM 1003 679 488 .718704 .743 98 .725964
27 28 CIN 941 642 470 .732087 .749 100 .732087
28 27 SDP 1033 710 511 .719718 .745 96 .734406
29 29 MIL 1045 701 530 .756063 .796 100 .756063
30 30 DET 965 635 493 .776378 .799 97 .788201
totals: 28477 19807 13366 .674812
hitting: 28471 19855 13376 .673684
Plot of Wins per Game, Y, vs. Share of All Bases per Out, X
0.7 +--------------+--------------+--------------+--------------+
| | | | |
| | | | WsN |
| | | | |
| | | | |
+--------------+--------Bal---+--------------+---------NYY--+
| | | Hou | |
| | | | |
| | |Col | |
| | | | |
0.6 +--------------+--------------+--------------+--------------+
| | | Ari | |
| | | Cle | |
| | ChW| | |
| | | | |
+--------------+--------------+--------------+--------------+
| | Bos | ChCLAD | |
| | | | |
| | LAA |Min | |
| | | | |
0.5 +--------------+------Det--StL+Mil-----------+--------------+
| | | | |
| | Mia Phi | |
| | | | |
| | Pit |CinTBR | |
+--------------+--------------+--------------+--------------+
| | TexOak | |
| | |Atl | |
| | NYM Sea | |
| | SDP | | |
0.4 +--------------+--------------+--------------+--------------+
| | | | |
| | | | |
| | | | |
| | | | |
+--------------SFG------------+--------------+--------------+
| | | | |
| | | | |
| Tor | | |
| | | | |
0.3 +-------------KCR-------------+--------------+--------------+
0.4 0.45 0.5 0.55 0.6
fit of plotted data above:
total data points = 30
equation is Y = 2.26992*X + -0.632168
R-squared = 0.530827 significance = 5.628452
fit to Adjusted OPS including Field Allowed Runners with no park factors
total data points = 30
equation is W/(W+L) = 0.823661*AdjOPSdiff/1 + 0.500438
R-squared = 0.517005 significance = 5.474637
fit to Adjusted OPS including Field Allowed Runners with park factors
total data points = 30
equation is W/(W+L) = 0.829851*AdjOPSdiff/ParkFactor + 0.500829
R-squared = 0.515430 significance = 5.457403
fit of ordinary OPS share (X) vs. Win share (Y)
total data points = 30
equation is Y = 3.43627*X + -1.21311
R-squared = 0.549474 significance = 5.843769
fit to ordinary OPS with no park factors
total data points = 30
equation is W/(W+L) = 1.16275*ordinaryOPSdiff/1 + 0.503476
R-squared = 0.534632 significance = 5.671632
fit to ordinary OPS with park factors
total data points = 30
equation is W/(W+L) = 1.16292*ordinaryOPSdiff/ParkFactor + 0.5037
R-squared = 0.531446 significance = 5.635455
fit to share of batting average
total data points = 30
equation is Y = 2.61422*X + -0.803585
R-squared = 0.423149 significance = 4.532046
fit to share of on base average
total data points = 30
equation is Y = 2.74218*X + -0.867481
R-squared = 0.418928 significance = 4.492976
fit to share of slugging average
total data points = 30
equation is Y = 2.88305*X + -0.937002
R-squared = 0.475354 significance = 5.036792
- nate
Raw data from Baseball-Reference.com
Scads of checksum errors there this morning
HITTING
Rpf = rank after adjusting for Park Factor (AdjAdjOPS)
Rk = raw ADJOPS rank
TEv = Team Events = PA + SB + CS
TOC = Team Outs Created = AB-H + CS + SF + SH + GIDP + OoB - ROE
TBP = Team Bases Produced = TB+BB+SB+SF+SH-CS-GIDP+HBP+CI -OoB +XBT + ROE
TAdjOPS = TBP/TOC
OrdOPS = ordinary OBP + SLG
PkF = Park Factor
AdjAdjOPS = AdjOPS*(200/(PkF+100))
Rpf Rk team TEv TOC TBP TAdjOPS OrdOPS PkF AdjAdjOPS
1 1 WSN 1030 669 584 .872945 .879 101 .868602
2 2 NYY 870 604 487 .806291 .804 105 .786625
3 4 MIL 1007 688 533 .774709 .788 100 .774709
4 5 CIN 947 644 491 .762422 .764 100 .762422
5 6 CHC 981 656 486 .740854 .755 97 .752136
6 3 ARI 1079 709 551 .777151 .770 107 .750871
7 10 LAD 997 686 479 .698251 .743 95 .716155
8 8 DET 921 630 444 .704762 .754 97 .715494
9 12 SEA 1017 697 482 .691535 .724 96 .705648
10 11 PHI 880 613 425 .693312 .740 98 .700315
11 15 TBR 1012 698 476 .681948 .733 96 .695865
12 16 HOU 976 675 453 .671111 .765 93 .695452
13 13 STL 932 640 439 .685937 .727 98 .692866
14 14 ATL 905 626 428 .683706 .740 99 .687142
15 7 CLE 937 637 454 .712716 .757 111 .675560
16 17 MIN 893 610 405 .663934 .707 98 .670640
17 21 OAK 919 657 419 .637747 .697 94 .657471
18 20 MIA 907 642 410 .638629 .710 95 .655004
19 18 BAL 836 626 407 .650160 .713 102 .643723
20 9 COL 980 692 485 .700867 .752 118 .642997
21 19 PIT 931 642 413 .643302 .704 101 .640101
22 22 NYM 938 679 430 .633284 .686 98 .639681
23 24 CHW 865 615 382 .621138 .690 95 .637065
24 25 SDP 1008 731 448 .612859 .665 96 .625366
25 23 TEX 949 671 424 .631893 .689 106 .613488
26 27 LAA 1027 735 427 .580952 .666 96 .592808
27 26 BOS 911 635 382 .601575 .716 108 .578437
28 28 SFG 987 711 403 .566807 .631 97 .575439
29 29 TOR 973 703 398 .566145 .645 103 .557778
30 30 KCR 856 634 331 .522082 .605 103 .514367
totals: 28471 19855 13376 .673684
PITCHING (inc. WP + BK - IBB) + Field Allowed Runners (IBB + ROE)
Rpf = rank after adjusting for Park Factor (AdjAdjOPS)
Rk = raw ADJOPS rank
TEv = Team Events = Batters Faced + Steal Attempts
TOI = Team Outs Induced = 3*IP
TBG = Team Bases Given = TB+BB+SB+SF+SH-CS-GIDP+HBP + (WP+BK-IBB) + (IBB+ROE)
TAdjOPS = TBG/TOI
OrdOPS = ordinary OBP + SLG
PkF = Park Factor
AdjAdjOPS = TAdjOPS*(200/(PkF+100))
Rpf Rk team TEv TOI TBG TAdjOPS OrdOPS PkF AdjAdjOPS
1 1 NYY 800 612 349 .570261 .677 105 .556352
2 2 CLE 903 639 392 .613459 .705 111 .581478
3 9 BOS 911 642 413 .643302 .707 108 .618560
4 16 COL 1007 702 477 .679487 .742 118 .623383
5 4 KCR 893 618 392 .634304 .696 103 .624930
6 3 LAD 957 687 423 .615721 .681 95 .631509
7 12 TEX 958 674 440 .652819 .722 106 .633805
8 5 LAA 1009 724 460 .635359 .710 96 .648326
9 6 CHW 868 617 393 .636953 .694 95 .653285
10 11 MIN 881 612 396 .647059 .704 98 .653595
11 8 TBR 978 689 443 .642961 .705 96 .656083
12 7 OAK 958 659 421 .638847 .667 94 .658605
13 20 ARI 1045 723 501 .692946 .711 107 .669513
14 10 HOU 974 687 444 .646288 .687 93 .669728
15 14 WSN 968 680 458 .673529 .727 101 .670178
16 13 ATL 876 608 406 .667763 .730 99 .671119
17 19 TOR 1002 692 479 .692197 .742 103 .681967
18 21 BAL 892 631 439 .695721 .783 102 .688833
19 15 SFG 1019 698 474 .679083 .714 97 .689424
20 17 CHC 926 645 439 .680620 .720 97 .690985
21 24 PIT 960 640 449 .701562 .734 101 .698072
22 18 MIA 903 627 432 .688995 .744 95 .706662
23 23 PHI 867 610 427 .700000 .764 98 .707071
24 22 SEA 983 682 475 .696481 .758 96 .710695
25 25 STL 952 642 452 .704050 .744 98 .711162
26 26 NYM 1003 679 488 .718704 .743 98 .725964
27 28 CIN 941 642 470 .732087 .749 100 .732087
28 27 SDP 1033 710 511 .719718 .745 96 .734406
29 29 MIL 1045 701 530 .756063 .796 100 .756063
30 30 DET 965 635 493 .776378 .799 97 .788201
totals: 28477 19807 13366 .674812
hitting: 28471 19855 13376 .673684
Plot of Wins per Game, Y, vs. Share of All Bases per Out, X
0.7 +--------------+--------------+--------------+--------------+
| | | | |
| | | | WsN |
| | | | |
| | | | |
+--------------+--------Bal---+--------------+---------NYY--+
| | | Hou | |
| | | | |
| | |Col | |
| | | | |
0.6 +--------------+--------------+--------------+--------------+
| | | Ari | |
| | | Cle | |
| | ChW| | |
| | | | |
+--------------+--------------+--------------+--------------+
| | Bos | ChCLAD | |
| | | | |
| | LAA |Min | |
| | | | |
0.5 +--------------+------Det--StL+Mil-----------+--------------+
| | | | |
| | Mia Phi | |
| | | | |
| | Pit |CinTBR | |
+--------------+--------------+--------------+--------------+
| | TexOak | |
| | |Atl | |
| | NYM Sea | |
| | SDP | | |
0.4 +--------------+--------------+--------------+--------------+
| | | | |
| | | | |
| | | | |
| | | | |
+--------------SFG------------+--------------+--------------+
| | | | |
| | | | |
| Tor | | |
| | | | |
0.3 +-------------KCR-------------+--------------+--------------+
0.4 0.45 0.5 0.55 0.6
fit of plotted data above:
total data points = 30
equation is Y = 2.26992*X + -0.632168
R-squared = 0.530827 significance = 5.628452
fit to Adjusted OPS including Field Allowed Runners with no park factors
total data points = 30
equation is W/(W+L) = 0.823661*AdjOPSdiff/1 + 0.500438
R-squared = 0.517005 significance = 5.474637
fit to Adjusted OPS including Field Allowed Runners with park factors
total data points = 30
equation is W/(W+L) = 0.829851*AdjOPSdiff/ParkFactor + 0.500829
R-squared = 0.515430 significance = 5.457403
fit of ordinary OPS share (X) vs. Win share (Y)
total data points = 30
equation is Y = 3.43627*X + -1.21311
R-squared = 0.549474 significance = 5.843769
fit to ordinary OPS with no park factors
total data points = 30
equation is W/(W+L) = 1.16275*ordinaryOPSdiff/1 + 0.503476
R-squared = 0.534632 significance = 5.671632
fit to ordinary OPS with park factors
total data points = 30
equation is W/(W+L) = 1.16292*ordinaryOPSdiff/ParkFactor + 0.5037
R-squared = 0.531446 significance = 5.635455
fit to share of batting average
total data points = 30
equation is Y = 2.61422*X + -0.803585
R-squared = 0.423149 significance = 4.532046
fit to share of on base average
total data points = 30
equation is Y = 2.74218*X + -0.867481
R-squared = 0.418928 significance = 4.492976
fit to share of slugging average
total data points = 30
equation is Y = 2.88305*X + -0.937002
R-squared = 0.475354 significance = 5.036792
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