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ADJOPS MLB Team Hitting & Pitching, Scatterplot, and R-squareds through 5/23/2017

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May 24, 2017, 3:24:28 PM5/24/17
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Raw data from Baseball-Reference.com

HITTING
Rpf = rank after adjusting for Park Factor (AdjAdjOPS)
Rk = raw ADJOPS rank
TEv = Team Events = PA + SB + CS
TOC = Team Outs Created = AB-H + CS + SF + SH + GIDP + OoB - ROE
TBP = Team Bases Produced = TB+BB+SB+SF+SH-CS-GIDP+HBP+CI -OoB +XBT + ROE
TAdjOPS = TBP/TOC
OrdOPS = ordinary OBP + SLG
PkF = Park Factor
AdjAdjOPS = AdjOPS*(200/(PkF+100))

Rpf Rk team TEv TOC TBP TAdjOPS OrdOPS PkF AdjAdjOPS
1 1 WSN 1771 1179 952 .807464 .827 100 .807464
2 3 CIN 1825 1215 956 .786831 .784 101 .782916
3 2 NYY 1758 1161 915 .788114 .801 105 .768892
4 4 ARI 1859 1233 966 .783455 .790 107 .756961
5 5 MIL 1777 1195 913 .764017 .785 102 .756452
6 7 HOU 1791 1227 885 .721271 .776 93 .747431
7 6 CHC 1783 1210 886 .732231 .746 98 .739627
8 9 TBR 1882 1289 922 .715283 .748 95 .733624
9 10 LAD 1799 1234 880 .713128 .771 96 .727682
10 12 NYM 1691 1178 830 .704584 .738 97 .715314
11 11 MIN 1639 1111 790 .711071 .750 99 .714644
12 19 OAK 1690 1190 809 .679832 .734 94 .700858
13 15 STL 1701 1169 804 .687767 .741 97 .698241
14 13 ATL 1707 1165 813 .697854 .755 101 .694382
15 14 BAL 1729 1198 834 .696160 .738 101 .692697
16 18 DET 1692 1168 797 .682363 .734 98 .689256
17 20 SEA 1806 1240 836 .674194 .723 97 .684461
18 22 MIA 1725 1207 801 .663629 .729 94 .684154
19 8 COL 1800 1247 899 .720930 .767 116 .667528
20 23 PHI 1659 1166 770 .660377 .727 98 .667047
21 16 BOS 1732 1181 809 .685013 .749 107 .661848
22 21 TEX 1764 1233 829 .672344 .733 106 .652761
23 24 LAA 1873 1308 836 .639144 .699 96 .652188
24 25 CHW 1687 1191 761 .638959 .705 96 .651999
25 17 CLE 1689 1173 803 .684569 .732 111 .648881
26 27 PIT 1765 1235 762 .617004 .677 100 .617004
27 28 SDP 1752 1269 761 .599685 .658 96 .611923
28 26 TOR 1766 1261 782 .620143 .697 103 .610978
29 29 KCR 1686 1220 713 .584426 .661 102 .578640
30 30 SFG 1804 1308 744 .568807 .642 97 .577469
totals: 52602 36361 25058 .689145

PITCHING (inc. WP + BK - IBB) + Field Allowed Runners (IBB + ROE)
Rpf = rank after adjusting for Park Factor (AdjAdjOPS)
Rk = raw ADJOPS rank
TEv = Team Events = Batters Faced + Steal Attempts
TOI = Team Outs Induced = 3*IP
TBG = Team Bases Given = TB+BB+SB+SF+SH-CS-GIDP+HBP + (WP+BK-IBB) + (IBB+ROE)
TAdjOPS = TBG/TOI
OrdOPS = ordinary OBP + SLG
PkF = Park Factor
AdjAdjOPS = TAdjOPS*(200/(PkF+100))

Rpf Rk team TEv TOI TBG TAdjOPS OrdOPS PkF AdjAdjOPS
1 2 CLE 1630 1163 729 .626827 .708 111 .594149
2 1 LAD 1712 1236 730 .590615 .669 96 .602668
3 3 NYY 1662 1167 738 .632391 .680 105 .616967
4 12 COL 1814 1266 850 .671406 .723 116 .621672
5 9 ARI 1789 1257 821 .653142 .689 107 .631055
6 10 BOS 1685 1181 780 .660457 .730 107 .638123
7 5 LAA 1816 1296 831 .641204 .716 96 .654290
8 4 HOU 1757 1252 796 .635783 .682 93 .658842
9 13 TEX 1766 1229 835 .679414 .742 106 .659625
10 6 TBR 1824 1286 829 .644635 .699 95 .661164
11 8 STL 1694 1181 770 .651990 .704 97 .661919
12 11 KCR 1760 1213 811 .668590 .728 102 .661970
13 7 CHW 1642 1163 756 .650043 .709 96 .663309
14 15 TOR 1823 1246 854 .685393 .740 103 .675264
15 14 MIN 1627 1125 770 .684444 .732 99 .687883
16 18 WSN 1717 1187 832 .700927 .751 100 .700927
17 20 PIT 1811 1222 864 .707038 .753 100 .707038
18 17 SFG 1879 1285 896 .697276 .737 97 .707894
19 19 CHC 1772 1212 855 .705446 .733 98 .712572
20 21 BAL 1787 1199 859 .716430 .770 101 .712866
21 22 ATL 1688 1154 829 .718371 .768 101 .714797
22 16 OAK 1762 1188 827 .696128 .712 94 .717658
23 26 MIL 1784 1209 907 .750207 .800 102 .742779
24 25 CIN 1792 1219 914 .749795 .770 101 .746065
25 23 SDP 1839 1246 913 .732745 .763 96 .747699
26 28 DET 1756 1169 880 .752780 .777 98 .760384
27 27 SEA 1802 1230 924 .751220 .782 97 .762660
28 24 MIA 1760 1176 873 .742347 .762 94 .765306
29 29 PHI 1674 1139 866 .760316 .798 98 .767996
30 30 NYM 1778 1177 914 .776551 .793 97 .788377
totals: 52602 36273 25053 .690679
hitting: 52602 36361 25058 .689145

Plot of Wins per Game, Y, vs. Share of All Bases per Out, X

0.7 +--------------+--------------+--------------+--------------+
| | | | |
| | | | |
| | | * | |
| | | | |
+--------------+--------------+--------------+--------------+
| | | * | |
| | | | |
| | | | |
| | | * | |
0.6 +--------------+--------------+-------------*+*-------------+
| | | *| |
| | | | |
| | * | * | |
| | |* | |
+--------------+--------------+------*-------+--------------+
| | | | |
| | | | |
| | ** 2* | |
| | | | |
0.5 +--------------+--------------+--------------+--------------+
| | | | |
| | * | * | |
| | * | * | |
| | | | |
+--------------+-------------*+--------------+--------------+
| | * * | | |
| * * ** | | |
| | * | | |
| | | | |
0.4 +--------------+--------------+--------------+--------------+
| | | | |
| | | | |
| | | | |
| | * | | |
+--------------+---*----------+--------------+--------------+
| * | | |
| | | | |
| | | | |
| | | | |
0.3 +--------------+--------------+--------------+--------------+
0.4 0.45 0.5 0.55 0.6

fit of plotted data above:
total data points = 30
equation is Y = 2.4996*X + -0.747925
R-squared = 0.702312 significance = 8.127618

fit to Adjusted OPS including Field Allowed Runners with no park factors
total data points = 30
equation is W/(W+L) = 0.91461*AdjOPSdiff/1 + 0.501005
R-squared = 0.706322 significance = 8.206244

fit to Adjusted OPS including Field Allowed Runners with park factors
total data points = 30
equation is W/(W+L) = 0.91479*AdjOPSdiff/ParkFactor + 0.501534
R-squared = 0.708205 significance = 8.243656

fit of ordinary OPS share (X) vs. Win share (Y)
total data points = 30
equation is Y = 3.30709*X + -1.15304
R-squared = 0.647447 significance = 7.170821

fit to ordinary OPS with no park factors
total data points = 30
equation is W/(W+L) = 1.13708*ordinaryOPSdiff/1 + 0.500105
R-squared = 0.652010 significance = 7.243079

fit to ordinary OPS with park factors
total data points = 30
equation is W/(W+L) = 1.13446*ordinaryOPSdiff/ParkFactor + 0.500459
R-squared = 0.652221 significance = 7.246446

fit to share of batting average
total data points = 30
equation is Y = 2.59779*X + -0.798889
R-squared = 0.478042 significance = 5.064004

fit to share of on base average
total data points = 30
equation is Y = 3.13818*X + -1.06927
R-squared = 0.551981 significance = 5.873445

fit to share of slugging average
total data points = 30
equation is Y = 2.76525*X + -0.882057
R-squared = 0.580294 significance = 6.222001


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