ADJOPS scatterplot and R-squared of the pythagorean predicted W-L record against the observed W-L record as of 9/29/2016

[nate]

View in fixed font!
Raw data from http://www.espn.com/mlb/standings/_/view/expanded

0.7 +--------------+--------------+--------------+--------------+
| | | | |
| | | | |
| | | | |
| | | | |
+--------------+--------------+--------------+--------------+
| | | | ChC |
| | | | |
| | | | |
| | | | |
0.6 +--------------+--------------+--------------+--------------+
| | Tex | |
| | | * | 2 |
| | | * | |
| | | | |
+--------------+--------------+-*-------*----+--------------+
| | | * | |
| | | 2 * | |
| | *| * * | |
| | * | | |
0.5 +--------------+--------------+--------------+--------------+
| | ** | | |
| | * | | |
| | *| | |
| | | | |
+--------------+-------*----*-+--------------+--------------+
| Phi | | | |
| | * | | |
| |*2* * | | |
| | | | |
0.4 +--------------+--------------+--------------+--------------+
| | | | |
| | | | |
| | | | |
| Min| | | |
+--------------+--------------+--------------+--------------+
| | | | |
| | | | |
| | | | |
| | | | |
0.3 +--------------+--------------+--------------+--------------+
0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7

total data points = 30
equation is Y = 0.862498*X + 0.0680345
R-squared = 0.826957 significance = 11.567613


.82+ is very good! The Cubs way up on everyone else either way. Texas is an embarrassing 13 games better than their pythagorean numbers. Minnesota much more to the left, where they should be, than in my AdjOPS plot. Philadelphia appears to be an outlier here. Boston & Washington share that 2-spot under the Cubs.

- nate

[dcp7]

Yawn....

[bttalb...@yahoo.com]

Thanks, Nate

BTT