ADJOPS MLB hitting & pitching, scatterplot and R-squareds through 4/28/2019

[nate]

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Raw data from Baseball-Reference.com

HITTING
Rpf = rank after adjusting for Park Factor (AdjAdjOPS)
Rk = raw ADJOPS rank
TEv = Team Events = PA + SB + CS
TOC = Team Outs Created = AB-H + CS + SF + SH + GIDP + OoB - ROE
TBP = Team Bases Produced = TB+BB+SB+SF+SH-CS-GIDP+HBP+CI -OoB +XBT + ROE
TAdjOPS = TBP/TOC
OrdOPS = ordinary OBP + SLG
PkF = Park Factor
AdjAdjOPS = AdjOPS*(200/(PkF+100))

Rpf Rk team TEv TOC TBP TAdjOPS OrdOPS PkF AdjAdjOPS
1 1 SEA 1268 840 708 .842857 .815 94 .868925
2 4 STL 1066 705 580 .822695 .809 97 .835223
3 2 ATL 1081 709 590 .832158 .824 101 .828018
4 5 LAD 1170 789 642 .813688 .816 98 .821907
5 6 MIN 957 656 529 .806402 .846 101 .802390
6 11 NYM 1094 723 552 .763485 .768 91 .799461
7 9 HOU 1085 731 567 .775650 .823 98 .783485
8 7 NYY 1116 743 590 .794078 .799 103 .782343
9 3 TEX 1078 705 581 .824113 .814 111 .781150
10 13 TBR 1074 722 548 .759003 .780 97 .770561
11 8 CHC 1058 702 554 .789174 .796 105 .769926
12 15 CHW 988 661 495 .748865 .759 98 .756429
13 12 PHI 1127 760 579 .761842 .770 103 .750583
14 10 WSN 1043 700 535 .764286 .785 105 .745645
15 14 ARI 1179 808 611 .756188 .795 107 .730616
16 16 MIL 1106 762 564 .740157 .783 103 .729219
17 17 KCR 1105 753 546 .725100 .745 100 .725100
18 18 OAK 1150 802 547 .682045 .732 96 .695964
19 19 LAA 1108 775 513 .661935 .726 99 .665261
20 22 BAL 1108 781 500 .640205 .695 98 .646672
21 20 BOS 1076 752 496 .659574 .706 104 .646641
22 25 SDP 1020 751 454 .604527 .690 94 .623224
23 23 DET 992 701 434 .619116 .676 101 .616036
24 26 TOR 1048 756 457 .604497 .683 97 .613703
25 21 COL 1105 789 514 .651458 .714 117 .600422
26 27 PIT 976 703 415 .590327 .656 97 .599317
27 24 CLE 1014 714 433 .606443 .636 105 .591652
28 28 CIN 973 717 422 .588563 .658 103 .579865
29 29 SFG 1028 760 411 .540789 .617 95 .554655
30 30 MIA 1030 762 386 .506562 .619 89 .536044
totals: 32223 22232 15753 .708573

PITCHING (inc. WP + BK - IBB) + Field Allowed Runners (IBB + ROE)
Rpf = rank after adjusting for Park Factor (AdjAdjOPS)
Rk = raw ADJOPS rank
TEv = Team Events = Batters Faced + Steal Attempts
TOI = Team Outs Induced = 3*IP
TBG = Team Bases Given = TB+BB+SB+SF+SH-CS-GIDP+HBP + (WP+BK-IBB) + (IBB+ROE)
TAdjOPS = TBG/TOI
OrdOPS = ordinary OBP + SLG
PkF = Park Factor
AdjAdjOPS = TAdjOPS*(200/(PkF+100))

Rpf Rk team TEv TOI TBG TAdjOPS OrdOPS PkF AdjAdjOPS
1 1 TBR 1007 741 409 .551957 .642 97 .560362
2 2 HOU 1008 735 431 .586395 .637 98 .592318
3 3 CIN 1010 709 434 .612130 .682 103 .603084
4 7 CLE 1008 708 451 .637006 .678 105 .621469
5 5 TOR 1061 755 470 .622517 .663 97 .631997
6 6 PIT 969 690 431 .624638 .684 97 .634150
7 4 SFG 1039 747 462 .618474 .692 95 .634332
8 10 DET 999 692 455 .657514 .715 101 .654243
9 11 NYY 1085 754 502 .665782 .693 103 .655943
10 8 LAD 1118 801 521 .650437 .705 98 .657007
11 15 COL 1126 775 555 .716129 .750 117 .660027
12 13 CHC 1015 697 477 .684362 .735 105 .667670
13 9 SDP 1070 759 497 .654809 .691 94 .675061
14 12 MIN 957 663 453 .683258 .727 101 .679859
15 14 PHI 1131 773 541 .699871 .769 103 .689528
16 17 ARI 1154 798 580 .726817 .760 107 .702239
17 19 WSN 1034 699 515 .736767 .758 105 .718797
18 18 OAK 1184 807 588 .728625 .744 96 .743495
19 24 MIL 1135 759 584 .769433 .794 103 .758062
20 20 STL 1030 720 538 .747222 .781 97 .758601
21 16 MIA 1088 747 537 .718876 .748 89 .760715
22 25 BOS 1087 734 570 .776567 .803 104 .761340
23 21 KCR 1107 739 563 .761840 .800 100 .761840
24 23 ATL 1072 714 548 .767507 .776 101 .763689
25 22 LAA 1151 768 587 .764323 .773 99 .768164
26 29 TEX 1091 712 588 .825843 .831 111 .782790
27 26 SEA 1265 843 661 .784104 .784 94 .808355
28 28 CHW 978 645 527 .817054 .800 98 .825307
29 27 NYM 1092 715 583 .815385 .798 91 .853806
30 30 BAL 1152 762 689 .904199 .911 98 .913332
totals: 32223 22161 15747 .710573
hitting: 32223 22232 15753 .708573

Plot of Wins per Game, Y, vs. Share of All Bases per Out, X

.4 .45 .5 .55 .6
.7 +-----------------+-----------------+-----------------+-----------------+
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.6 +-----------------+-----------------+-----------------+-----------------+
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+-----------------+-----------------+---*-------------+-----------------+
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.5 +-----------------+--------------*--+-----------------+-----------------+
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.4 +-----------------+-----------------+-----------------+-----------------+
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.3 +-----------------+-----------------+-----------------+-----------------+
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.2 +-----------------+-----------------+-----------------+-----------------+
.4 .45 .5 .55 .6

fit of plotted data above:
total data points = 30
equation is Y = 2.17248*X + -0.583657
R-squared = 0.717794 significance = 8.439090

fit to Adjusted OPS including Field Allowed Runners with no park factors
total data points = 30
equation is W/(W+L) = 0.773037*AdjOPSdiff/1 + 0.50099
R-squared = 0.710332 significance = 8.286284

fit to Adjusted OPS including Field Allowed Runners with park factors
total data points = 30
equation is W/(W+L) = 0.765204*AdjOPSdiff/ParkFactor + 0.501315
R-squared = 0.712964 significance = 8.339579

fit of ordinary OPS share (X) vs. Win share (Y)
total data points = 30
equation is Y = 2.98802*X + -0.993604
R-squared = 0.690408 significance = 7.901997

fit to ordinary OPS with no park factors
total data points = 30
equation is W/(W+L) = 0.994826*ordinaryOPSdiff/1 + 0.499748
R-squared = 0.682558 significance = 7.759189

fit to ordinary OPS with park factors
total data points = 30
equation is W/(W+L) = 0.989233*ordinaryOPSdiff/ParkFactor + 0.499947
R-squared = 0.687225 significance = 7.843548

fit to share of batting average
total data points = 30
equation is Y = 2.93289*X + -0.966688
R-squared = 0.521152 significance = 5.520298

fit to share of on base average
total data points = 30
equation is Y = 3.4285*X + -1.21335
R-squared = 0.678703 significance = 7.690691

fit to share of slugging average
total data points = 30
equation is Y = 2.32882*X + -0.664149
R-squared = 0.589331 significance = 6.338883


- nate

[BTTalb...@yahoo.com]

Thanks, Nate.

BTT