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Nate Silver says it should be Trout
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nate  
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 More options Nov 15 2012, 11:56 am
Newsgroups: alt.sports.baseball.bos-redsox
From: nate <greyst...@net1plus.com>
Date: Thu, 15 Nov 2012 08:56:01 -0800 (PST)
Local: Thurs, Nov 15 2012 11:56 am
Subject: Nate Silver says it should be Trout
 
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Ray Garraty  
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 More options Nov 15 2012, 12:39 pm
Newsgroups: alt.sports.baseball.bos-redsox
From: Ray Garraty <idahosha...@gmail.com>
Date: Thu, 15 Nov 2012 09:39:22 -0800 (PST)
Local: Thurs, Nov 15 2012 12:39 pm
Subject: Re: Nate Silver says it should be Trout

On Thursday, November 15, 2012 9:56:02 AM UTC-7, nate wrote:
> http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/11/14/the-statistical-c...

> Mr. 50-for-50 is on my side.

> - another nate

Good article. I was saying Cabrera but I think I've changed my mind.  Really they are not even comparable.

 
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Wayback1918  
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 More options Nov 15 2012, 1:03 pm
Newsgroups: alt.sports.baseball.bos-redsox
From: Wayback1918 <wayback1...@verizon.net>
Date: Thu, 15 Nov 2012 10:03:11 -0800 (PST)
Local: Thurs, Nov 15 2012 1:03 pm
Subject: Re: Nate Silver says it should be Trout
On Nov 15, 12:39 pm, Ray Garraty <idahosha...@gmail.com> wrote:

> On Thursday, November 15, 2012 9:56:02 AM UTC-7, nate wrote:
> >http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/11/14/the-statistical-c...

> > Mr. 50-for-50 is on my side.

> > - another nate

> Good article. I was saying Cabrera but I think I've changed my mind.  Really they are not even comparable.

Miguel Cabrera 1.079 OPS from Aug. 24 through end of season; Mike
Trout was at .824.

Most Valuable Player....not necessarily the best player


 
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PETER SHORTS  
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 More options Nov 15 2012, 1:16 pm
Newsgroups: alt.sports.baseball.bos-redsox
From: PETER SHORTS <petersh...@yahoo.com>
Date: Thu, 15 Nov 2012 10:16:12 -0800 (PST)
Local: Thurs, Nov 15 2012 1:16 pm
Subject: Re: Nate Silver says it should be Trout

ops is a small part of the picture.

 
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Wayback1918  
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 More options Nov 15 2012, 1:22 pm
Newsgroups: alt.sports.baseball.bos-redsox
From: Wayback1918 <wayback1...@verizon.net>
Date: Thu, 15 Nov 2012 10:22:15 -0800 (PST)
Local: Thurs, Nov 15 2012 1:22 pm
Subject: Re: Nate Silver says it should be Trout
On Nov 15, 1:16 pm, PETER SHORTS <petersh...@yahoo.com> wrote:

Sez who?

On Aug 24 Detroit was 2.5 games behind the White Sox....LA was 2.5 out
in the wild card.  Cabrera carried his team....Trout faded....still
leaning heavy on the 'Valuable' word.


 
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Wayback1918  
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 More options Nov 15 2012, 1:26 pm
Newsgroups: alt.sports.baseball.bos-redsox
From: Wayback1918 <wayback1...@verizon.net>
Date: Thu, 15 Nov 2012 10:26:08 -0800 (PST)
Local: Thurs, Nov 15 2012 1:26 pm
Subject: Re: Nate Silver says it should be Trout
On Nov 15, 1:22 pm, Wayback1918 <wayback1...@verizon.net> wrote:

"Trout faded" is unfair for a guy who had an .824 OPS but Cabrera did
much better in the playoff chase.

 
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PETER SHORTS  
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 More options Nov 15 2012, 1:37 pm
Newsgroups: alt.sports.baseball.bos-redsox
From: PETER SHORTS <petersh...@yahoo.com>
Date: Thu, 15 Nov 2012 10:37:49 -0800 (PST)
Local: Thurs, Nov 15 2012 1:37 pm
Subject: Re: Nate Silver says it should be Trout

sez who? people who favor rpsb, and consider the entire season.

 
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PETER SHORTS  
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 More options Nov 15 2012, 1:38 pm
Newsgroups: alt.sports.baseball.bos-redsox
From: PETER SHORTS <petersh...@yahoo.com>
Date: Thu, 15 Nov 2012 10:38:04 -0800 (PST)
Local: Thurs, Nov 15 2012 1:38 pm
Subject: Re: Nate Silver says it should be Trout

the playoff chase begins in april.

 
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Wayback1918  
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 More options Nov 15 2012, 1:49 pm
Newsgroups: alt.sports.baseball.bos-redsox
From: Wayback1918 <wayback1...@verizon.net>
Date: Thu, 15 Nov 2012 10:49:43 -0800 (PST)
Local: Thurs, Nov 15 2012 1:49 pm
Subject: Re: Nate Silver says it should be Trout
On Nov 15, 1:37 pm, PETER SHORTS <petersh...@yahoo.com> wrote:

I googled 'rpsb' and came up with 'Rapides Parish School Board'.  I'll
assume that wasn't it.

Even if you are going strictly stats, OPS is not a small part of any
evaluation.

This is an old award and has always historically emphasized the term
"Valuable'.

Trout had a great year and there awards like the SN Player of the year
that are more stat oriented.


 
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Ray Garraty  
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 More options Nov 15 2012, 2:07 pm
Newsgroups: alt.sports.baseball.bos-redsox
From: Ray Garraty <idahosha...@gmail.com>
Date: Thu, 15 Nov 2012 11:07:05 -0800 (PST)
Local: Thurs, Nov 15 2012 2:07 pm
Subject: Re: Nate Silver says it should be Trout

I changed my mind based on the WAR figures,  defensively and baserunning they are not even on the same planet.  This is like camparing David Ortiz to Michael Bourn.  I think it's a shame that a triple crown winner would not get an MVP but I don't think it should be based on Aug-24 on, it should start from April.  Anyway I won't be mad if Cabrera wins, he is very deserving, but I am agreeing with the argument for Trout.

 
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Wayback1918  
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 More options Nov 15 2012, 4:15 pm
Newsgroups: alt.sports.baseball.bos-redsox
From: Wayback1918 <wayback1...@verizon.net>
Date: Thu, 15 Nov 2012 13:15:59 -0800 (PST)
Local: Thurs, Nov 15 2012 4:15 pm
Subject: Re: Nate Silver says it should be Trout
On Nov 15, 2:07 pm, Ray Garraty <idahosha...@gmail.com> wrote:

Any value for April is all Cabrera's.   Trout didn't come up until
almost May

I think it would be a shame if we just turned this award over to WAR.


 
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PETER SHORTS  
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 More options Nov 15 2012, 4:38 pm
Newsgroups: alt.sports.baseball.bos-redsox
From: PETER SHORTS <petersh...@yahoo.com>
Date: Thu, 15 Nov 2012 13:38:34 -0800 (PST)
Local: Thurs, Nov 15 2012 4:38 pm
Subject: Re: Nate Silver says it should be Trout

first of all, i wouldn't be upset with either pick, and enjoy years where there is some controversy instead of a clear-cut winner.  just saying this so that this doesn't come across as a heated argument instead of a discussion that i'm actually enjoying.

ok, so it seems as though you believe i'm ignoring the word 'valuable,' but i'm not really.  i see the award as rewarding the individual value that a player contributes. obviously, people assess value differently, but i still think i'm trying to evaluate value here.  ops is part of that, of course, but ignores other aspects of a player's value, e.g., defense, baserunning, park factors, etc. so while ops is part of the evaluation for me, it doesn't stop there, and i don't have a single number that i can look at that gives me the answer.

also, i understand the team viewpoint, but to me this is an individual award, and don't take team performance into account.  not saying my view is more correct than yours, but that's how i arrive at my conclusion. i think that more people take your view, though, and that cabrera will ending up winning it.


 
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PETER SHORTS  
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 More options Nov 15 2012, 4:40 pm
Newsgroups: alt.sports.baseball.bos-redsox
From: PETER SHORTS <petersh...@yahoo.com>
Date: Thu, 15 Nov 2012 13:40:37 -0800 (PST)
Local: Thurs, Nov 15 2012 4:40 pm
Subject: Re: Nate Silver says it should be Trout

or to ops.  why the hell was trout batting leadoff anyway? he should have been batting third.

 
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Wayback1918  
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 More options Nov 15 2012, 4:52 pm
Newsgroups: alt.sports.baseball.bos-redsox
From: Wayback1918 <wayback1...@verizon.net>
Date: Thu, 15 Nov 2012 13:52:44 -0800 (PST)
Local: Thurs, Nov 15 2012 4:52 pm
Subject: Re: Nate Silver says it should be Trout
On Nov 15, 4:38 pm, PETER SHORTS <petersh...@yahoo.com> wrote:

No heat here.  Clearly either player is a good choice.

I was disappointed 2 years ago when the Cy Young went to Felix
Hernandez because the voters devalued 'Wins' completely.

I think it's obvious I don't have any anti-stat bias.  To me, even
something like Cabrera volunteering to move to 3B so his team could
sign Fielder add to his value to the team...and a Yaz like .600 BA in
the last series of the regular season to clinch the pennant should be
considered.


 
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Ray Garraty  
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 More options Nov 15 2012, 6:17 pm
Newsgroups: alt.sports.baseball.bos-redsox
From: Ray Garraty <idahosha...@gmail.com>
Date: Thu, 15 Nov 2012 15:17:26 -0800 (PST)
Local: Thurs, Nov 15 2012 6:17 pm
Subject: Re: Nate Silver says it should be Trout

Oh, I agree.  Personally I think what team would be most affected by the loss of either is important factor.  I see no difference dramatically here, the playoff thing doesn't hold much water for me as the Angels had a better record.

 
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PW  
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 More options Nov 15 2012, 6:56 pm
Newsgroups: alt.sports.baseball.bos-redsox
From: PW <emailaddyin...@ifIremember.com>
Date: Thu, 15 Nov 2012 16:56:37 -0700
Local: Thurs, Nov 15 2012 6:56 pm
Subject: Re: Nate Silver says it should be Trout
On Thu, 15 Nov 2012 10:38:04 -0800 (PST), PETER SHORTS

Probably not for us this year :-(  But who knows!  Selig may void the
Blue Jays trade (he's going over it now).

 
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McDuck  
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 More options Nov 15 2012, 11:59 pm
Newsgroups: alt.sports.baseball.bos-redsox
From: McDuck <wallymcduckdelet...@comcast.net>
Date: Thu, 15 Nov 2012 23:59:33 -0500
Local: Thurs, Nov 15 2012 11:59 pm
Subject: Re: Nate Silver says it should be Trout
On Thu, 15 Nov 2012 08:56:01 -0800 (PST), nate

<greyst...@net1plus.com> wrote:
>http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/11/14/the-statistical-c...

>Mr. 50-for-50 is on my side.

Okay, the Man makes a terrific case for Trout? Do I change my vote?
Yes, I guess.

But I'm not happy about it, as I hardly ever saw Trout play and I
still think that the Triple Crown, although it did not advance a
runner or win a game, is still a remarkable feat. I did not quite
realize how lucky Cabrera was to have a year with diminished
competitio for each of the 3 categories.


 
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McDuck  
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 More options Nov 16 2012, 12:03 am
Newsgroups: alt.sports.baseball.bos-redsox
From: McDuck <wallymcduckdelet...@comcast.net>
Date: Fri, 16 Nov 2012 00:03:20 -0500
Local: Fri, Nov 16 2012 12:03 am
Subject: Re: Nate Silver says it should be Trout
On Thu, 15 Nov 2012 10:26:08 -0800 (PST), Wayback1918

<wayback1...@verizon.net> wrote:
>On Nov 15, 1:22 pm, Wayback1918 <wayback1...@verizon.net> wrote:
>> On Nov 15, 1:16 pm, PETER SHORTS <petersh...@yahoo.com> wrote:

>> On Aug 24 Detroit was 2.5 games behind the White Sox....LA was 2.5 out
>> in the wild card.  Cabrera carried his team....Trout faded....still
>> leaning heavy on the 'Valuable' word.- Hide quoted text -

>> - Show quoted text -

>"Trout faded" is unfair for a guy who had an .824 OPS but Cabrera did
>much better in the playoff chase.

I switched to Trout and am not switching back, but your numbers
perhaps should have been included in Nate Silver's analysis, as they
seem v. relevant to me.

 
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nate  
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 More options Nov 16 2012, 12:11 am
Newsgroups: alt.sports.baseball.bos-redsox
From: nate <greyst...@net1plus.com>
Date: Thu, 15 Nov 2012 21:11:11 -0800 (PST)
Local: Fri, Nov 16 2012 12:11 am
Subject: Re: Nate Silver says it should be Trout
On Nov 16, 12:03 am, McDuck <wallymcduckdelet...@comcast.net> wrote:

Well, the old Tiger fan in me (1951-1973) is happy Cabrera won!

Trout may have faded in August and early September, but his last week
was awesome.

Let's see next about the famous "Sophomore Jinx".

- nate


 
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Wayback1918  
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 More options Nov 16 2012, 9:55 am
Newsgroups: alt.sports.baseball.bos-redsox
From: Wayback1918 <wayback1...@verizon.net>
Date: Fri, 16 Nov 2012 06:55:41 -0800 (PST)
Local: Fri, Nov 16 2012 9:55 am
Subject: Re: Nate Silver says it should be Trout
The vote.....

VOTED FOR TROUT
 Tim Britton, Providence Journal-Bulletin
 Jim Caple, ESPN
 Joe Haakenson, At Large
 Sean McAdam, CSN New England
 Roger Mooney, Tampa Tribune
 Jeff Passan, Yahoo!

VOTED FOR CABRERA
 Bob Dutton, KC Star
 Bob Elliot, Toronto Sun
 Mark Feinsand, NY Daily News
 Tom Gage, Detroit News
 Mark Gonzalez, Chicago Tribune
 Evan Grant, Dallas Morning News
 Paul Hoynes, Cleveland Plain Dealer
 George King, NY Post
 Tim Kurkjian, ESPN
 Larry LaRue, Tacoma News Tribune
 John Lowe, Detroit Free Press
 La Velle Neal III, Minneapolis Star Tribune
 Sheldon Ocker, Akron Beach Journal (3rd place vote)
 John Shipley, St. Paul Pioneer Press
 Susan Slusser, San Francisco Chronicle
 Joe Stiglich, Bay Are News Group
 Marc Topkin, Tampa Bay Times
 Mark Whicker, Orange County Register
 Paul White, USA Today
 Jeff Wilson, Ft. Worth Star Telegram
 Daryl Van Schouwen, Chicago Sun Times
 Mark Zwolinski, Toronto Star


 
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PETER SHORTS  
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 More options Nov 16 2012, 10:55 am
Newsgroups: alt.sports.baseball.bos-redsox
From: PETER SHORTS <petersh...@yahoo.com>
Date: Fri, 16 Nov 2012 07:55:01 -0800 (PST)
Local: Fri, Nov 16 2012 10:55 am
Subject: Re: Nate Silver says it should be Trout

oh, absolutely considered, but different people will give it different weight.

 
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McDuck  
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 More options Nov 16 2012, 6:36 pm
Newsgroups: alt.sports.baseball.bos-redsox
From: McDuck <wallymcduckdelet...@comcast.net>
Date: Fri, 16 Nov 2012 18:36:24 -0500
Local: Fri, Nov 16 2012 6:36 pm
Subject: Re: Nate Silver says it should be Trout
On Fri, 16 Nov 2012 06:55:41 -0800 (PST), Wayback1918

WHAT! They haven't taken away George King's vote yet?

 
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Wayback1918  
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 More options Nov 16 2012, 8:02 pm
Newsgroups: alt.sports.baseball.bos-redsox
From: Wayback1918 <wayback1...@verizon.net>
Date: Fri, 16 Nov 2012 17:02:32 -0800 (PST)
Local: Fri, Nov 16 2012 8:02 pm
Subject: Re: Nate Silver says it should be Trout
On Nov 16, 6:36 pm, McDuck <wallymcduckdelet...@comcast.net> wrote:

> On Fri, 16 Nov 2012 06:55:41 -0800 (PST), Wayback1918

> WHAT! They haven't taken away George King's vote yet?- Hide quoted text -

Must be how Raul Ibanez got a vote.

I wonder how long its been since no Red Sox players got a single vote?

Rank    Name            Tm      Vote Pts
1       Miguel Cabrera  DET     362
2       Mike Trout                      LAA     281
3       Adrian Beltre   TEX     210
4       Robinson Cano   NYY     149
5       Josh Hamilton   TEX     127
6       Adam Jones      BAL     120
7       Derek Jeter     NYY     77
8       Justin Verlander        DET     58
9       Prince Fielder  DET     56
10      Yoenis Cespedes OAK     41
11      Edwin Encarnacion       TOR     33
12      David Price     TBR     26
13      Fernando Rodney TBR     24
14      Jim Johnson     BAL     22
15      Alex Rios                       CHW     17
16      Josh Reddick    OAK     14
17      Albert Pujols   LAA     8
18      Ben Zobrist     TBR     7
19      Joe Mauer                       MIN     6
20      Rafael Soriano  NYY     5
21      Matt Wieters    BAL     4
22      Felix Hernandez SEA     2
22      Jered Weaver    LAA     2
24      Raul Ibanez     NYY     1


 
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