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Will Bay hit .230 or .240 in NY?

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MuahMan

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Jan 2, 2010, 8:37:57 PM1/2/10
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I'm gonna go with .237 avg for the season.

The Venerable Sarge

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Jan 2, 2010, 9:45:40 PM1/2/10
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On Jan 2, 8:37 pm, MuahMan <muah...@gmail.com> wrote:
> I'm gonna go with .237 avg for the season.

Well let's see - if he is going to face Brad penny and John Schmoltz
he might hit .320

Ray O'Hara

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Jan 2, 2010, 10:51:13 PM1/2/10
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"The Venerable Sarge" <srgnt...@yahoo.com> wrote in message
news:ffcc691f-f07d-460e...@35g2000yqa.googlegroups.com...


============================================================================

I don't get all this hate for Bay?
he was great for the Sox and the Sox decided to let him leave because of a
slavish attraction to sabermetrics.
we will miss Bay.


OceanView

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Jan 2, 2010, 11:08:36 PM1/2/10
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"Ray O'Hara" <raymon...@hotmail.com> wrote in
news:hhp47j$hd8$1...@news.eternal-september.org:

>
> "The Venerable Sarge" <srgnt...@yahoo.com> wrote in message
> news:ffcc691f-f07d-460e...@35g2000yqa.googlegroups.com..

> . On Jan 2, 8:37 pm, MuahMan <muah...@gmail.com> wrote:
>> I'm gonna go with .237 avg for the season.
>
> Well let's see - if he is going to face Brad penny and John Schmoltz
> he might hit .320
>
>
> =======================================================================
> =====
>
> I don't get all this hate for Bay?
> he was great for the Sox and the Sox decided to let him leave because
> of a slavish attraction to sabermetrics.
> we will miss Bay.
>
>
>

I agree he was a good player here, but not worth $16M or whatever it
worked out to.

--
-------
Golf is a good walk spoiled.- Mark Twain

Dano

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Jan 2, 2010, 11:14:09 PM1/2/10
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"Ray O'Hara" <raymon...@hotmail.com> wrote in message
news:hhp47j$hd8$1...@news.eternal-september.org...

I don't know that there's a lot of hate. Just not a lot of passion about
him.

Do you have a lot of great memories...moments you'd care to share? Big game
winning hits? His swagger? Stepping up and putting the team on his broad
shoulders type of stuff? Just curious...

Good ballplayer? Sure. Irreplaceable? No. Ironically he was the guy that
proved even Manny could be replaced. So can he.


Ray O'Hara

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Jan 2, 2010, 11:25:26 PM1/2/10
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"Dano" <janea...@yahoo.com> wrote in message
news:hhp5j7$6q8$1...@news.eternal-september.org...

he stepped in for Manny and he produced. his one full year he led the team
in HRs and RBIs.
can you point to anything you'd complain about?
in the aftermath of Mannygate Bay was the calm they needed.
and if Drew is worth 14 he's worth 16.


Mortimer

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Jan 3, 2010, 12:07:37 AM1/3/10
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On Jan 2, 11:25 pm, "Ray O'Hara" <raymond-oh...@hotmail.com> wrote:
>  he stepped in for Manny and he produced. his one full year he led the team
> in HRs and RBIs.
> can you point to anything you'd complain about?
> in the aftermath of Mannygate Bay was the calm they needed.
> and  if Drew is worth 14 he's worth 16.

That's true, but I dont want too pay Bay $16.5 and Drew $14 on the
payroll for this upcoming year. I think its clear that its the Red Sox
intentions to say just under the $170 million dollar luxury tax
threshold, so TEE are the only team that pays luxury tax. But if i had
too choose, I'd rather pay Bay up to $17 million, instead off
overpaying for Drew at $14 (or whatever he's making this upcoming
year).

Dano

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Jan 3, 2010, 2:02:16 AM1/3/10
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"Ray O'Hara" <raymon...@hotmail.com> wrote in message
news:hhp67p$n84$1...@news.eternal-september.org...

Absolutely not.

> in the aftermath of Mannygate Bay was the calm they needed.
> and if Drew is worth 14 he's worth 16.
>

But that is the point. Do YOU think Drew is worth 14M?

Would we have been pleased for long with Bay as the 16.5 million dollar
superstar? Maybe. But he couldn't get away with hiding out in the fifth or
sixth spot in the order. And when he vanished as a power threat for a month
or two at a time...I wonder how he would take what might have come with
that. I just don't believe he is at that level any more than Drew is.

Hey...I wish he had re-signed too. But once they decided to move on to
Cameron it was done. He had his chance and ended up with a little more cash
and a worse circumstance IMO. Too bad. But he'll live and so will we and
the Red Sox.


Wayback1918

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Jan 3, 2010, 7:22:14 AM1/3/10
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On Jan 3, 2:02 am, "Dano" <janeandd...@yahoo.com> wrote:
> "Ray O'Hara" <raymond-oh...@hotmail.com> wrote in message
>
> news:hhp67p$n84$1...@news.eternal-september.org...
>
> > "Dano" <janeandd...@yahoo.com> wrote in message
> >news:hhp5j7$6q8$1...@news.eternal-september.org...
>
> > > "Ray O'Hara" <raymond-oh...@hotmail.com> wrote in message
> > >news:hhp47j$hd8$1...@news.eternal-september.org...
>
> > >> "The Venerable Sarge" <srgntbi...@yahoo.com> wrote in message

>
> news:ffcc691f-f07d-460e...@35g2000yqa.googlegroups.com...> >> On Jan 2, 8:37 pm, MuahMan <muah...@gmail.com> wrote:
> > >> > I'm gonna go with .237 avg for the season.
>
> > >> Well let's see - if he is going to face Brad penny and John Schmoltz
> > >> he might hit .320
>
> ===========================================================================­=

I do. In fact I wish the Red Sox had 9 guys just llike him in the
line-up.

(Ok...if I had 9 guys in the line-up like him I'd need 3-4 more just
to fill in for the games missed)

Outside of the durability issue...and that's is a significant
one.....Drew and Youkilis are the most complete players on the team.
>

> Would we have been pleased for long with Bay as the 16.5 million dollar
> superstar?  Maybe.  But he couldn't get away with hiding out in the fifth or
> sixth spot in the order.  And when he vanished as a power threat for a month
> or two at a time...I wonder how he would take what might have come with
> that.  I just don't believe he is at that level any more than Drew is.
>
> Hey...I wish he had re-signed too.  But once they decided to move on to
> Cameron it was done.  He had his chance and ended up with a little more cash
> and a worse circumstance IMO.  Too bad.  But he'll live and so will we and

> the Red Sox.- Hide quoted text -
>
> - Show quoted text -

Pearly Soames

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Jan 3, 2010, 8:15:46 AM1/3/10
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I don't get the hate either, but "slavish attraction to sabermetrics?"
Not wanting to overpay != Sabermetrics.

Steve Robbins

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Jan 3, 2010, 9:55:37 AM1/3/10
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Wayback1918 wrote:
> On Jan 3, 2:02 am, "Dano" <janeandd...@yahoo.com> wrote:

>>> in the aftermath of Mannygate Bay was the calm they needed.
>>> and if Drew is worth 14 he's worth 16.
>> But that is the point. Do YOU think Drew is worth 14M?
>
> I do. In fact I wish the Red Sox had 9 guys just llike him in the
> line-up.

I second that. We know (or a least I feel we do) that Drew is far
better a defender than Bay.

So the rest over the last three years:

Games AVG OBP SLG
Drew 2007 140 .270 .373 .423
Bay 2007 145 .247 .327 .418
Drew 2008 109 .280 .408 .519
Bay 2008 155 .286 .373 .522
Drew 2009 137 .279 .392 .522
Bay 2009 151 .267 .384 .537

So they both stunk in 07, Bay moreso. Then there numbers are close with
Drew getting a slight OBP nod and Bay in SLG. Drew is a much better
defender and Bay plays more games. Does this add up to $3M more and
dogging Drew for getting overpaid?


--
The Unofficial a.s.b.b-r Reference Page
http://redsox.robbins-ut.com/index.html

Wayback1918

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Jan 3, 2010, 10:49:38 AM1/3/10
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They are both better than average baserunners also....Bay may have had
the better year.

Bay stole 13 bases in 16 tries and took the the extra base on a
single or double 43% of the time.

Drew was only 2 of 6 stealing and took the extra base 40% of the time
(league average for extra base taking is 39%)

Wanna guess which sloth was the lowest (percentage wise) in the AL at
taking an extra base at 8%?

Hint he is a Red Sox....

Giovanni Wassen

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Jan 3, 2010, 11:28:23 AM1/3/10
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Wayback1918 wrote:

> Wanna guess which sloth was the lowest (percentage wise) in the AL at
> taking an extra base at 8%?
>
> Hint he is a Red Sox....

Varitek.

--
Gio

http://www.watkijkikoptv.info
http://watkijkikoptv.info/animeblog


Wayback1918

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Jan 3, 2010, 11:33:00 AM1/3/10
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On Jan 3, 11:28 am, Giovanni Wassen <exta...@gmail.com> wrote:
> Wayback1918 wrote:
> > Wanna guess which sloth was the lowest (percentage wise) in the AL at
> > taking an extra base at 8%?
>
> > Hint he is a Red Sox....
>
> Varitek.
>
Nope....and I wouldn't throw one right down the middle for Gnork like
that.

Dano

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Jan 3, 2010, 11:35:22 AM1/3/10
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"Wayback1918" <wayba...@verizon.net> wrote in message
news:34d44deb-7f53-446b...@e37g2000yqn.googlegroups.com...
-----------------------------
Lowell?


Wayback1918

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Jan 3, 2010, 11:39:56 AM1/3/10
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On Jan 3, 11:35 am, "Dano" <janeandd...@yahoo.com> wrote:
> "Wayback1918" <wayback1...@verizon.net> wrote in message

No....Lowell was at 28%

Dano

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Jan 3, 2010, 11:46:27 AM1/3/10
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"Wayback1918" <wayba...@verizon.net> wrote in message
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No....Lowell was at 28%
--------------------------------------
Last guess. Papi.

Pearly Soames

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Jan 3, 2010, 11:48:11 AM1/3/10
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The only other Red Sock who makes sense is Martinez, unless it's a
pitcher or part-timer.

McDuck

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Jan 3, 2010, 11:58:04 AM1/3/10
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On Sun, 3 Jan 2010 07:49:38 -0800 (PST), Wayback1918
<wayba...@verizon.net> wrote:

>>
>> --
>They are both better than average baserunners also....Bay may have had
>the better year.
>
>Bay stole 13 bases in 16 tries and took the the extra base on a
>single or double 43% of the time.
>
>Drew was only 2 of 6 stealing and took the extra base 40% of the time
>(league average for extra base taking is 39%)
>
>Wanna guess which sloth was the lowest (percentage wise) in the AL at
>taking an extra base at 8%?
>
>Hint he is a Red Sox....
>
>

I am surprised that Lowell took the extra base 8% of the time. Do
outfielders fall down or die 8% of the time?

I'm also a little surprised that Drew was not better on the bases, in
terns of taking the extra base. I assume all or most of the JD
"steals" were H&R plays that failed. Drew does not try to steal, or
does so hardly at all, perhaps due to lost speed, or injury concerns.
Drew had pretty decent steal numbers in his first 3 full years with
the Cardinals, but then nothing much. Lifetime an absymal 84 SB/ 35
CS. Those look to me like broken H&R numbers.

Wayback1918

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Jan 3, 2010, 12:12:33 PM1/3/10
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> CS. Those look to me like broken H&R numbers.- Hide quoted text -

>
> - Show quoted text -

Actually if you look at the way Francona makes out his lineup...the
dumb L-R-L-R thing....it gives an advantage to RHB when they get on
first because the LHB to follow is more likely to pull the ball to
right and give even Lowell a better chance to take the extra base.

Wayback1918

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Jan 3, 2010, 1:10:13 PM1/3/10
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> right and give even Lowell a better chance to take the extra base.- Hide quoted text -

>
> - Show quoted text -

a couple more baserunning stats

The Most Reckless Baserunner......Juan Rivera: Thrown out 11 times on
the bases and only took the extra base 28% he was on. Carl Crawford
was thrown out 13 times but he took the extra base 52% of the time he
was on.

Most Careful Baserunner.....Ken Griffey JR. He was the only player
in the AL with at least 300 PA to not be thrown out on the bases. (He
only took 2 extra bases all season however.)

Most Careful GOOD Baserunner Vernon Wells Took the extra base 54%
of the time he had the opportunity and was only caught 1

The Pay Attention Award..... Scott Posednik Picked off 11
times.....stole 30 bases..but was also caught 13 times.

...also David Dejesus Stole 4 bases.....was caught stealing 9 times
and picked off 4 more.

The I Wish I was like Jacoby Award. Kurt Suzuki. Attempted 10
steals.......secondbase 8 times without being caught......but was
cuaght twice trying to steal home.

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