Newsgroups: alt.math.recreational, alt.sport, alt.sports, sci.math
From: Graham Cooper <grahamcoop...@gmail.com>
Date: Wed, 13 Jun 2012 04:27:59 -0700 (PDT)
Local: Wed, Jun 13 2012 7:27 am
Subject: Re: Role of luck in sport
On Jun 13, 10:15 pm, quasi <qu...@null.set> wrote:
> Peter Webb wrote:what about:
> >It seems clear to me that in some sports, the better team
> >almost always wins whereas in others a significant amount of
> >luck is involved - particularly where balls can bounce
> >randomly, and scores are low and subject to probability rather
> >than statistics.
> >This can potentially be measured with an arguable amount of
> >The basic strategy is to use the half time result to break
> I think you need 3 components, not 2 ...
> (1) skill
> For teams with approximately equal skill, the human element, not
> I'll outline two categories of situations for which the human
> (1) Strategic Adjustment
> Team A's chosen strategy may take team B by surprise, but
> Or, for multi-player team games, perhaps some player on team B
> (2) The Emotion Factor
> Suppose Team A wins the first half by a large margin. In the
> On the other hand, suppose team A gets a huge, essentially
> Alternatively, for the huge, unrecoverable lead scenario, the
> Bottom line -- I think the human element dominates the luck
SKILL: win 1st half - win 2nd half
Taking into account both Teams lose a little STAMINA by the 2nd half.
Certainly if they widened the soccer goals by 1 meter it would score
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