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The new normal
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999Vulcan
Mar 18, 2020, 1:22:08 PM3/18/20
to
We’re not going back to normal
https://www.technologyreview.com/s/615370/coronavirus-pandemic-social-distancing-18-months
We all want things to go back to normal quickly. But what most of us have probably not yet realized—yet will soon—is that things won’t go back to normal after a few weeks, or even a few months. Some things never will.
...
As long as someone in the world has the virus, breakouts can and will keep recurring without stringent controls to contain them. In a report yesterday, researchers at Imperial College London proposed a way of doing this: impose more extreme social distancing measures every time admissions to intensive care units (ICUs) start to spike, and relax them each time admissions fall.
...
Under this model, the researchers conclude, social distancing and school closures would need to be in force some two-thirds of the time—roughly two months on and one month off—until a vaccine is available, which will take at least 18 months (if it works at all).
https://www.technologyreview.com/s/615370/coronavirus-pandemic-social-distancing-18-months
We all want things to go back to normal quickly. But what most of us have probably not yet realized—yet will soon—is that things won’t go back to normal after a few weeks, or even a few months. Some things never will.
...
As long as someone in the world has the virus, breakouts can and will keep recurring without stringent controls to contain them. In a report yesterday, researchers at Imperial College London proposed a way of doing this: impose more extreme social distancing measures every time admissions to intensive care units (ICUs) start to spike, and relax them each time admissions fall.
...
Under this model, the researchers conclude, social distancing and school closures would need to be in force some two-thirds of the time—roughly two months on and one month off—until a vaccine is available, which will take at least 18 months (if it works at all).
Dmitry Krivitsky
Mar 18, 2020, 9:00:15 PM3/18/20
to
On 3/18/2020 1:22 PM, 999Vulcan wrote:
>
> As long as someone in the world has the virus, breakouts can and will keep recurring
Да не, куда-нибудь он денется нафиг. Как испанка. Нет же сейчас испанки.
>
> As long as someone in the world has the virus, breakouts can and will keep recurring
Const
Mar 18, 2020, 9:52:55 PM3/18/20
to
999Vulcan <999v...@gmail.com> wrote:
> We?re not going back to normal
> https://www.technologyreview.com/s/615370/coronavirus-pandemic-social-distancing-18-months
> We all want things to go back to normal quickly. But what most of us have probably not yet realized?yet will soon?is that things won?t go back to normal after a few weeks, or even a few months. Some things never will.
Оссподи, как же зае эти малолетние идиотики.
---
Const
> We?re not going back to normal
> https://www.technologyreview.com/s/615370/coronavirus-pandemic-social-distancing-18-months
> We all want things to go back to normal quickly. But what most of us have probably not yet realized?yet will soon?is that things won?t go back to normal after a few weeks, or even a few months. Some things never will.
> ...
> As long as someone in the world has the virus, breakouts can and will keep recurring without stringent controls to contain them. In a report yesterday, researchers at Imperial College London proposed a way of doing this: impose more extreme social distancing measures every time admissions to intensive care units (ICUs) start to spike, and relax them each time admissions fall.
Шо, прямо как с гриппом ?
> As long as someone in the world has the virus, breakouts can and will keep recurring without stringent controls to contain them. In a report yesterday, researchers at Imperial College London proposed a way of doing this: impose more extreme social distancing measures every time admissions to intensive care units (ICUs) start to spike, and relax them each time admissions fall.
Оссподи, как же зае эти малолетние идиотики.
---
Const
999Vulcan
Mar 18, 2020, 9:59:13 PM3/18/20
to
только с потенциально большим количеством жертв
> Оссподи, как же зае эти малолетние идиотики.
кстати, жена говорит, что тесты какие-то лажовые, куча совершенно явных
false negatives
D
Mar 18, 2020, 10:51:53 PM3/18/20
to
On 3/18/2020 9:59 PM, 999Vulcan wrote:
> кстати, жена говорит, что тесты какие-то лажовые, куча совершенно явных
> false negatives
А как ты думаешь Китай и Корея так много народу протестировали?
> кстати, жена говорит, что тесты какие-то лажовые, куча совершенно явных
> false negatives
12:27 — China is not planning on doing serologic testing on their
population. (This is second hand information Dr. Baric has been made
aware of.) This indicates that there has probably been significantly
more infection than what has been reported by China & that they do not
want the actual figures to be known.
https://medium.com/@hpcngmoh/you-will-be-hard-pressed-to-find-higher-quality-virological-information-during-this-outbreak-as-a1c7b53d686a
Bye, Anatol
Const
Mar 18, 2020, 10:52:53 PM3/18/20
to
999Vulcan <999V...@russian.z1> wrote:
> On 3/18/2020 9:52 PM, Const wrote:
> > 999Vulcan <999v...@gmail.com> wrote:
> >> We?re not going back to normal
> >
> >> https://www.technologyreview.com/s/615370/coronavirus-pandemic-social-distancing-18-months
> >
> >> We all want things to go back to normal quickly. But what most of us have probably not yet realized?yet will soon?is that things won?t go back to normal after a few weeks, or even a few months. Some things never will.
> >> ...
> >> As long as someone in the world has the virus, breakouts can and will keep recurring without stringent controls to contain them. In a report yesterday, researchers at Imperial College London proposed a way of doing this: impose more extreme social distancing measures every time admissions to intensive care units (ICUs) start to spike, and relax them each time admissions fall.
> >
> > Шо, прямо как с гриппом ?
> да, прямо как с гриппом
> только с потенциально большим количеством жертв
Может быть и с большим.
> On 3/18/2020 9:52 PM, Const wrote:
> > 999Vulcan <999v...@gmail.com> wrote:
> >> We?re not going back to normal
> >
> >> https://www.technologyreview.com/s/615370/coronavirus-pandemic-social-distancing-18-months
> >
> >> We all want things to go back to normal quickly. But what most of us have probably not yet realized?yet will soon?is that things won?t go back to normal after a few weeks, or even a few months. Some things never will.
> >> ...
> >> As long as someone in the world has the virus, breakouts can and will keep recurring without stringent controls to contain them. In a report yesterday, researchers at Imperial College London proposed a way of doing this: impose more extreme social distancing measures every time admissions to intensive care units (ICUs) start to spike, and relax them each time admissions fall.
> >
> > Шо, прямо как с гриппом ?
> да, прямо как с гриппом
> только с потенциально большим количеством жертв
Но не думаю, что намного.
Кроме того, им с простым гриппом придется делить
один и тот же пул жертв.
> > Оссподи, как же зае эти малолетние идиотики.
> MIT Technology Review - малолетний идиотик?
А ты думаешь, что миллениальный идиотизм только
в сельских колледжах ?
If anything, пижонские места ему еще больше подвержены.
> кстати, жена говорит, что тесты какие-то лажовые, куча совершенно явных
> false negatives
---
Const
CF
Mar 18, 2020, 11:00:10 PM3/18/20
to
999Vulcan пишет:
с подозрением эти 5 дней лежат в полной изоляции, заходят к ним
в костюме астронавта.
CF
Yury Mukharsky
Mar 19, 2020, 12:17:32 AM3/19/20
to
.
Yury Mukharsky
Mar 19, 2020, 12:19:09 AM3/19/20
to
On Wed, 18 Mar 2020 21:59:14 -0400, 999Vulcan wrote:
> On 3/18/2020 9:52 PM, Const wrote:
>> 999Vulcan <999v...@gmail.com> wrote:
>>> We?re not going back to normal
>>
>>> https://www.technologyreview.com/s/615370/coronavirus-pandemic-social-distancing-18-months
>>
>>> We all want things to go back to normal quickly. But what most of us have probably not yet realized?yet will soon?is that things won?t go back to normal after a few weeks, or even a few months. Some things never will.
>>> ...
>>> As long as someone in the world has the virus, breakouts can and will keep recurring without stringent controls to contain them. In a report yesterday, researchers at Imperial College London proposed a way of doing this: impose more extreme social distancing measures every time admissions to intensive care units (ICUs) start to spike, and relax them each time admissions fall.
>>
>> Шо, прямо как с гриппом ?
>
> да, прямо как с гриппом
> только с потенциально большим количеством жертв
Да с чего бы? При смертности, сравнимой с гриппом. В Китае вон уже 0.3%.
> On 3/18/2020 9:52 PM, Const wrote:
>> 999Vulcan <999v...@gmail.com> wrote:
>>> We?re not going back to normal
>>
>>> https://www.technologyreview.com/s/615370/coronavirus-pandemic-social-distancing-18-months
>>
>>> We all want things to go back to normal quickly. But what most of us have probably not yet realized?yet will soon?is that things won?t go back to normal after a few weeks, or even a few months. Some things never will.
>>> ...
>>> As long as someone in the world has the virus, breakouts can and will keep recurring without stringent controls to contain them. In a report yesterday, researchers at Imperial College London proposed a way of doing this: impose more extreme social distancing measures every time admissions to intensive care units (ICUs) start to spike, and relax them each time admissions fall.
>>
>> Шо, прямо как с гриппом ?
>
> да, прямо как с гриппом
> только с потенциально большим количеством жертв
>> Оссподи, как же зае эти малолетние идиотики.
>
> MIT Technology Review - малолетний идиотик?
идиотики, наверное, тоже бывают.
Юра
TAZ
Mar 19, 2020, 12:43:55 AM3/19/20
to
https://www.facebook.com/dr.anishsamuel/posts/10158247987971528
Но это всё не важно, а важно то, что денег на весь этот фетишъ у
госпиталя нет. И не будет.
Татьяна
PS. Я знаю кто в этой "гонке вооружения" выиграет - мексиканцы ;) потому
что в большинстве своем PPE там для нас делают.
Sergey Kubushyn
Mar 19, 2020, 12:49:42 AM3/19/20
to
---
******************************************************************
* KSI@home KOI8 Net < > The impossible we do immediately. *
* Las Vegas NV, USA < > Miracles require 24-hour notice. *
******************************************************************
Георгий Малышев
Mar 19, 2020, 5:40:21 AM3/19/20
to
ребенка задушенного.
Георгий Малышев
Mar 19, 2020, 5:42:14 AM3/19/20
to
On 3/18/2020 21:59, 999Vulcan wrote:
> кстати, жена говорит, что тесты какие-то лажовые, куча совершенно явных
> false negatives
Бггг. Теперь осталось сделать только еще один шажок и медитировать над
> кстати, жена говорит, что тесты какие-то лажовые, куча совершенно явных
> false negatives
замечательным вьетнамским (или каким там еще) тестированием.
Но вы не рефлексируйте, не рефлексируйте.
Георгий Малышев
Mar 19, 2020, 5:43:05 AM3/19/20
to
On 3/18/2020 22:47, CF wrote:
Барух ашем, а то я уж начал мохать, куда ты пропал.
Барух ашем, а то я уж начал мохать, куда ты пропал.
Const
Mar 19, 2020, 5:52:53 AM3/19/20
to
Yury Mukharsky <iouri.mo...@libertysurf.fr> wrote:
> On Wed, 18 Mar 2020 10:22:07 -0700 (PDT), 999Vulcan wrote:
> > We?re not going back to normal
> On Wed, 18 Mar 2020 10:22:07 -0700 (PDT), 999Vulcan wrote:
> >
> > https://www.technologyreview.com/s/615370/coronavirus-pandemic-social-distancing-18-months
> >
> > We all want things to go back to normal quickly. But what most of us have probably not yet realized?yet will soon?is that things won?t go back to normal after a few weeks, or even a few months. Some things never will.
> > ...
> > As long as someone in the world has the virus, breakouts can and will keep recurring without stringent controls to contain them. In a report yesterday, researchers at Imperial College London proposed a way of doing this: impose more extreme social distancing measures every time admissions to intensive care units (ICUs) start to spike, and relax them each time admissions fall.
> > ...
> > Under this model, the researchers conclude, social distancing and school closures would need to be in force some two-thirds of the time?roughly two months on and one month off?until a vaccine is available, which will take at least 18 months (if it works at all).
> > As long as someone in the world has the virus, breakouts can and will keep recurring without stringent controls to contain them. In a report yesterday, researchers at Imperial College London proposed a way of doing this: impose more extreme social distancing measures every time admissions to intensive care units (ICUs) start to spike, and relax them each time admissions fall.
> > ...
> ?? ??????-?? ????? ? ????-?? ? ???? ????? - ??? ? ???? ?????????. ?? ??????
> ??? ?????.
> ???
Поддерживаю, полностью поддерживаю.
Прямо СРЕЗАЛ этого Костика.
---
Const
Const
Mar 19, 2020, 6:12:54 AM3/19/20
to
---
Const
Yury Mukharsky
Mar 19, 2020, 8:02:47 AM3/19/20
to
Юра
media
Mar 30, 2020, 1:32:06 PM3/30/20
to
On 19/03/2020 02:59, 999Vulcan wrote:
>>
>> Шо, прямо как с гриппом ?
>
> да, прямо как с гриппом
> только с потенциально большим количеством жертв
>
Да, прямо как с гриппом. Только с таким же количеством жертв. Средняя
>>
>> Шо, прямо как с гриппом ?
>
> да, прямо как с гриппом
> только с потенциально большим количеством жертв
>
годовая смертность стабильна. Умирают чаще всего старики - так было
всегда. Только раньше воспаление лёгких приносил грипп, а в последние 15
лет - и разные коронавирусы тоже. И они конкурируют между собой за жертв.
media
Mar 30, 2020, 1:37:59 PM3/30/20
to
. . -
.
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,
. 20-30
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