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Копипаста. Punish Trump’s voters
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999Vulcan
Apr 29, 2019, 8:20:10 AM4/29/19
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Why you should never start a trade war with an autocracy
Unlike the EU, China seems willing to pay any price to punish Donald Trump’s voters
https://econ.st/2ZEuvzM
America’s government seems unfazed by the damage its tariffs do to the economy. One study by scholars at the Federal Reserve and Princeton and Columbia Universities found that the new levies have raised costs for consumers by $1.4bn per month.
However, Donald Trump is devoted to his voters. And his trading rivals have retaliated where it hurts. A paper by Joseph Parilla and Max Bouchet of the Brookings Institution, a think-tank, estimated that 61% of jobs affected by retaliatory tariffs are in counties that voted for Mr Trump.
...
The study found that the EU prioritised minimising such damage. Its tariffs deftly protected domestic consumers, causing less disruption than 99% of alternatives. The bloc targeted Trump voters as well—its tariffs matched the election of 2016 more closely than in 87% of simulations—but not at the cost of upsetting its own citizens.
In contrast, China focused on punishing Trump voters. Its tariffs tracked the election better than 99% of alternatives. They also disrupted China’s own economy more than in 99% of simulations. Even among plans including soyabeans—one of China’s main imports, grown mostly in Republican areas—China’s policy was just slightly more politically targeted than similar options, but far worse for its economy.
China’s choice of tariffs seems designed to deter escalation at any cost. Only regimes with no voters to satisfy can run that risk. The lesson is clear: if you start a trade war, fight a democracy, not an autocracy.
Unlike the EU, China seems willing to pay any price to punish Donald Trump’s voters
https://econ.st/2ZEuvzM
America’s government seems unfazed by the damage its tariffs do to the economy. One study by scholars at the Federal Reserve and Princeton and Columbia Universities found that the new levies have raised costs for consumers by $1.4bn per month.
However, Donald Trump is devoted to his voters. And his trading rivals have retaliated where it hurts. A paper by Joseph Parilla and Max Bouchet of the Brookings Institution, a think-tank, estimated that 61% of jobs affected by retaliatory tariffs are in counties that voted for Mr Trump.
...
The study found that the EU prioritised minimising such damage. Its tariffs deftly protected domestic consumers, causing less disruption than 99% of alternatives. The bloc targeted Trump voters as well—its tariffs matched the election of 2016 more closely than in 87% of simulations—but not at the cost of upsetting its own citizens.
In contrast, China focused on punishing Trump voters. Its tariffs tracked the election better than 99% of alternatives. They also disrupted China’s own economy more than in 99% of simulations. Even among plans including soyabeans—one of China’s main imports, grown mostly in Republican areas—China’s policy was just slightly more politically targeted than similar options, but far worse for its economy.
China’s choice of tariffs seems designed to deter escalation at any cost. Only regimes with no voters to satisfy can run that risk. The lesson is clear: if you start a trade war, fight a democracy, not an autocracy.
D
Apr 29, 2019, 8:59:52 AM4/29/19
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On 4/29/2019 8:20 AM, 999Vulcan wrote:
> Why you should never start a trade war with an autocracy
Да, нужно немедленно сдаваться.
> Why you should never start a trade war with an autocracy
> In contrast, China focused on punishing Trump voters.
Bye, Anatol
999Vulcan
Apr 29, 2019, 9:19:54 AM4/29/19
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On Monday, April 29, 2019 at 8:59:52 AM UTC-4, D wrote:
> On 4/29/2019 8:20 AM, 999Vulcan wrote:
>
> > Why you should never start a trade war with an autocracy
>
> Да, нужно немедленно сдаваться.
это пусть сойбиновые фермеры решают
> On 4/29/2019 8:20 AM, 999Vulcan wrote:
>
> > Why you should never start a trade war with an autocracy
>
> Да, нужно немедленно сдаваться.
> > In contrast, China focused on punishing Trump voters.
>
> Будет чем Мюллеру заняться по настоящему.
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2019-04-28/trump-ally-calls-for-more-sanctions-on-russia-ahead-of-elections
Republican Senator Lindsay Graham, a close ally of Donald Trump, called for more sanctions on Russia and criticized presidential adviser Jared Kushner’s statements downplaying the significance of that country’s interference in the 2016 election.
“I like Jared a lot, but he’s leaving out a big detail,” Graham said on CBS’s Face the Nation, noting that Russia hacked into the emails of Democratic candidate Hillary Clinton’s campaign. “Can you imagine what we would be saying if the Russians or the Iranians hacked into the presidential team of the Republican Party?”
Георгий גאורגי מלישב Малышев
Apr 29, 2019, 9:27:37 AM4/29/19
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Как говорится, не задавай страшных вопросов, а то получиш пугающие ответы.
SB
Apr 29, 2019, 8:18:25 PM4/29/19
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-СБ
999Vulcan
Apr 30, 2019, 3:34:54 PM4/30/19
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ALich
Apr 30, 2019, 10:20:02 PM4/30/19
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999Vulcan пишет:
>> > Unlike the EU, China seems willing to pay any price to punish Donald Trump’s voters
Лично я уверен на 100%, что Китай пытается не наказать конкретно тех кто голосовал за Трампа (им на это насрать) а ищет все слабые места в американском экспорте, которые можно прищемить, вне зависимости от политических предпочтений.
Всё остальное в статье настолько же притянуто за уши.
А
>> > Unlike the EU, China seems willing to pay any price to punish Donald Trump’s voters
>> И как всегда несут чушь вперемешку со враньем.
>
> что именно тут вранье?
Вот например с самой первой фразы, которую я и оставил чтобы слабый мозг сумел её осознать.
>
> что именно тут вранье?
Лично я уверен на 100%, что Китай пытается не наказать конкретно тех кто голосовал за Трампа (им на это насрать) а ищет все слабые места в американском экспорте, которые можно прищемить, вне зависимости от политических предпочтений.
Всё остальное в статье настолько же притянуто за уши.
А
999Vulcan
Apr 30, 2019, 11:15:00 PM4/30/19
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On Tuesday, April 30, 2019 at 10:20:02 PM UTC-4, ALich wrote:
> 999Vulcan пишет:
>
> >> > Unlike the EU, China seems willing to pay any price to punish Donald Trump’s voters
>
>
> >> И как всегда несут чушь вперемешку со враньем.
> >
> > что именно тут вранье?
>
> Вот например с самой первой фразы, которую я и оставил чтобы слабый мозг сумел её осознать.
>
> Лично я уверен на 100%, что Китай пытается не наказать конкретно тех кто голосовал за Трампа (им на это насрать) а ищет все слабые места в американском экспорте, которые можно прищемить, вне зависимости от политических предпочтений.
> 999Vulcan пишет:
>
> >> > Unlike the EU, China seems willing to pay any price to punish Donald Trump’s voters
>
>
> >> И как всегда несут чушь вперемешку со враньем.
> >
> > что именно тут вранье?
>
> Вот например с самой первой фразы, которую я и оставил чтобы слабый мозг сумел её осознать.
>
> Лично я уверен на 100%, что Китай пытается не наказать конкретно тех кто голосовал за Трампа (им на это насрать) а ищет все слабые места в американском экспорте, которые можно прищемить, вне зависимости от политических предпочтений.
а, ну т.е. ты не пропарсил
ALich
Apr 30, 2019, 11:40:03 PM4/30/19
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999Vulcan пишет:
США пытаются решить свои финансовые проблемы, и наезжают на всех подряд - Китай, ЕС, Япония, Россия, ЮК. в основном в том стиле, чтобы дать преференции своим производителям.
Каждый выбирает ответные меры - закрывают экспорт из США. выбирают из того, что можно заместить собственными силами.
А
999Vulcan
May 1, 2019, 7:42:27 AM5/1/19
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нихера ты не пропарсил
перечитай ещё три раза
do not collect $200
SB
May 1, 2019, 8:36:20 PM5/1/19
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-СБ
Yury Mukharsky
May 5, 2019, 1:10:25 AM5/5/19
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On Mon, 29 Apr 2019 05:20:10 -0700 (PDT), 999Vulcan
<999v...@gmail.com> wrote:
> Why you should never start a trade war with an autocracy
да и с обычными войнами та же история. надо было сдаваться. мы пили
<999v...@gmail.com> wrote:
> Why you should never start a trade war with an autocracy
бы баварское,
юра
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